Sunrise 6:49 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 10:08 AM

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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022
Rest of today - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Tonight - Southeast wind around 10 knots shifting south after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight. Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Patchy fog in the morning. Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough. Thursday - Northeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday - North wind 10 to 15 knots shifting southeast in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday night - Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bays choppy. Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy. Saturday night - Southeast wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

GMZ200 733 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 29 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
weak to moderate onshore flow will continue tonight through Tuesday night with a low chance for showers and Thunderstorms this evening and tonight and a medium chance tomorrow. Seas are expected to continue to gradually subside tonight. Generally moderate onshore flow expected Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will become weak to moderate Friday, as a frontal boundary enters southern texas and then stalls. Upper level disturbances will contribute to isolated showers and Thunderstorms over portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday. Weak to moderate onshore flow will persist Saturday and Sunday.

FXUS64 KCRP 292343 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 643 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Key Messages:

▶ Low to medium chance for showers and storms tomorrow

▶ Coastal flood and high risk of rip currents will continue tomorrow

A quiet radar continues this afternoon with all the convection today remaining just northeast of South Texas. Low chances for thunderstorms (less than 25%) will continue this afternoon and evening, however, if something does develop it could become severe with damaging winds and hail as the primary threats. Rain chances will decrease tonight before increasing to a low to medium chance tomorrow morning. While the upper-level forcing doesn't look impressive tomorrow, plenty of moisture (PWAT 1.5-1.8") and vorticity in the 850 and 700 mb levels could promote showers and thunderstorms. At this time, any showers or thunderstorms that develop tomorrow are not expected to become severe.

While winds continue to decrease, swell heights and periods continue to remain elevated, thus, continuing the threat of coastal flooding and high risk of rip currents. With current swell heights from Buoy 42019 coming in at 6.5-7.5 ft with swell periods between 8-9 seconds, coastal flooding could remain a concern and did not feel comfortable allowing it to expire this evening. These conditions will also lead to a continued risk of high rip currents. This will be especially noticeable in any areas of egress from the intracoastal waters as the waters from minor coastal flooding find their way back to the Gulf.

Warm temperatures are expected to continue tomorrow with highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s with heat index values from the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. Overnight lows will not provide much relief as temperatures will remain warm in the 70s.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Key Messages:

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms Wednesday through Saturday

- Strong to severe thunderstorms possible Wednesday

- Risk of coastal flooding to persist Wednesday and Thursday

Global/mesoscale deterministic NWP models predict upper forcing (either shortwaves or subtropical jet streaks) to affect the CWA Wednesday through Saturday. The GFS maintains above normal PWAT values during the period. The combination of the foregoing will maintain a slight chance/chance for convection Wednesday through Saturday. In response to one of the upper disturbances predicted to move across the central/northern Plains, a cold front is expected to approach central/southern Texas and stall. Given the addition of surface forcing, decided to increase POPs over the CWA Friday beyond that of the NBM. Concur with SPC with regard to a Marginal risk of severe convection Wednesday over much of CWA, as the deterministic GFS predicts CAPE/DCAPE values comparable to strong/severe and predicts BRN values consistent with multicells/supercells. The deterministic models predict a flat upper ridge to build over the region Sunday, and result in a decreasing chance for precipitation. The P-ETSS maintains waters levels, during the times of high tide, near the threshold for coastal flooding at Aransas Pass Wednesday/Thursday.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions can be expected across VCT, CRP and ALI as clouds fill in and bases lower through the evening.
Clouds will spread west with MVFR CIGs developing across LRD and COT after 09Z. Light patchy fog will also lead to periods of MVFR VSBYs overnight into Tuesday morning. VFR conditions will resume by mid to late Tuesday morning. Isolated TSRAs across the northern Brush Country this evening will diminish though 01-03Z. Isolated to scattered SHRAs/TSRAs can be expected Tuesday, mainly across the eastern areas of S TX beginning Tuesday morning along the coast and continuing through Tuesday afternoon farther inland with sea breeze. The chance of convection is low to medium (15-30%).

MARINE
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Weak to moderate onshore flow will continue today through Tuesday night with a low chance for showers and thunderstorms this evening and tonight and a medium chance tomorrow. Seas are expected to continue to gradually subside this afternoon dropping below 7 feet late this afternoon and allowing for the Small Craft Advisory to expire. The combination of upper disturbances and moist conditions will contribute to isolated showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 74 87 75 86 / 10 30 0 20 Victoria 70 87 72 84 / 10 30 0 30 Laredo 74 95 75 94 / 20 10 0 30 Alice 73 90 74 89 / 10 30 0 30 Rockport 74 85 75 84 / 20 30 0 20 Cotulla 73 96 75 93 / 0 0 0 30 Kingsville 74 88 75 87 / 10 40 0 30 Navy Corpus 75 85 75 84 / 20 40 10 20

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ245-342>347- 442-443-447.

High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ250-255- 270-275.

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Nueces Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:55 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:57 AM CDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:08 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:03 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:19 PM CDT     0.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nueces Bay, Texas, Tide feet

Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:54 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:11 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:17 AM CDT     2.08 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:07 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:31 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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Corpus Christi, TX,