Monday, March18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Roseland, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:33PM Monday March 18, 2019 10:07 PM EDT (02:07 UTC) Moonrise 4:07PMMoonset 4:48AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 341 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning...
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Rain likely.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Rain likely.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 341 Pm Edt Mon Mar 18 2019
Synopsis..A weak cool front stalled across the florida straits and the northern bahamas will remain in place through midweek. Hazardous boating conditions will prevail behind the front with a moderate to fresh north to northeast breeze prevailing. Small craft advisories are in place through midweek. Winds will diminish slowly into the latter half of the week, but boating conditions will remain poor as a large northeast swell impacts the east florida coast.
Gulf stream hazards..North to northeast winds increasing to 20 to 25 knots. Seas building up to 8 to 10 feet by daybreak Tuesday morning. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday march 17th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Roseland, FL
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location: 27.86, -80.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 181940
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
340 pm edt Mon mar 18 2019

Discussion
Tonight-Tuesday... A distinct clearing line has dvlpd north of the i-
4 corridor while shras have largely been confined over the atlc due
to shallow and oblique onshore flow. However, anticipate clouds to
return as an h85-h50 vort MAX over the central gomex works its way
east under the influence of strong deep W SW flow abv h85... Riding
along a stationary front stalled over the fl straits NRN bahamas
like a guy-wire. Meanwhile, the south half of the fl peninsula
remains under the influence of the ascending right rear quad of 100-
120kt jet streak with an area of strong h30-h20 divergence upstream.

No sig changes to the latest fcst philosophy: cldy wet cool wx
pattern to continue with a sharp precip gradient dvlpg acrs central
fl. The western portion of a large h100-h70 anticyclone extending
from the central plains to the mid atlc coast will be forced into
the lwr ms valley by an h30-h20 jet streak diving out of central
canada. Once there, the anticyclone will become sandwiched btwn a
short wave trof to the north accompanying the jet streak, and the
present stationary front currently pinned to the south. The eastward
extension of the anticyclone will remain stationary. Interaction
between ridging over the deep south mid atlc and the frontal trof to
the south will tighten the low mid lvl pgrad acrs central fl,
resulting in a brisk NE flow thru the h100-h85 lyr. Breezy conds
expected along the coast.

Moisture will expand north as the gomex disturbance approaches...

mainly aft midnight. Pops rise significantly south of orlando cape
canaveral, particularly over the treasure coast lake-o region where
will be 80-100pct thru tue... Tapering to 20pct north of i-4 tonight
and 40pct on tue. N NE flow blow h70 backing to W SW abv h70 is
characteristic of a classic isentropic stratiform rain event, though
heaviest precip not anticipated until aft daybreak tue. Overnight...

qpf btwn 0.25"-0.50" south of melbourne lake-k... Tapering to blo
0.10" north of i-4. On tue... QPF btwn 1.00"-1.50" over the treasure
coast lake-o region... Tapering arnd 0.10" north of i-4.

Dense cloud cover and steady N NE winds will keep min temps aoa
avg... L m50s interior i-4 corridor... U50s l60s space and treasure
coasts. Nearly uniform temps on Tue with aftn maxes in the
u60s l70s.

Tue night... Additional shortwave energy will traverse the fl
peninsula during this time with pwats ranging from near 1 inch north
of i-4 in upwards of 1.45 inches across the treasure coast. High pop
for many, but low QPF for most, except okeechobee cty and the
treasure coast which may experience some continued heavier bands of
rainfall. Pops will range from 50-70 near the east coast to 20-30
percent for lake county. Lows in the 50s for NRN and interior
sections to the lower 60s from the CAPE south along the coast. Nne
winds remain elevated, actually breezy along the coast.

Wed-wed night... Deeper moisture pulls away eastward as drier air
filters down the peninsula. Mid-level energy transfers eastward,
too, but a fairly strong jet streak will nose in overhead. The
pressure gradient remains tight with continued gusty nne winds. Some
lower rain chances, but not absent altogether, with highest values
along the immediate east coast. Near 20-25 percent for orlando
eastward, dry for much of lake county, and in upwards of 30-40pct
along the treasure coast. Highs will warm to the lower to mid 70s,
except cooler in the upper 60s along the immediate volusia coast.

Lows mostly in the 50s. Rough and hazardous surf will continue at
the beaches into mid week.

Previous extended forecast discussion...

thu-sat... Northerly flow late in the week will veer to onshore by
Saturday. Much drier air in the mid levels will lead to less
cloudiness through the period and allow for daytime high temps to
gradually warm from the 70s on Thu to 75-80 by Saturday. Lows will
be cool mainly in the 50s.

Sun-mon... Return flow is expected from the southeast on Sunday with
afternoon highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s with slight shower
chances as moisture begins to increase. Gfs ECMWF have some timing
difference with the next frontal passage early next week with the
gfs about a day faster than the ecmwf. Will lean toward a model
blend of pops at this time range in the 20-30 percent range. Highs
will be warm for both days in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Aviation Thru 19 12z.

Sfc wind: thru 19 00z... N NE 9-13kts coastal sites fqnt sfc g19-
23kts... Interior sites ocnl sfc g18-22kts. Btwn 19 00z-19 03z...

coastal sites bcmg N NE 7-11kts... Interior sites bcmg N NE 5-8kts.

Btwn 19 12z-19 15z... E of kmlb-kobe bcmg N NE 10-14kts with fqnt sfc
g19-23kts... W of kmlb-kobe 8-12kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 19 00z... N of komn-ktpaVFR... S of kism-ktix
bkn035-050 ovc060-080 areas MVFR bkn-ovc020-030 vcsh S of kmlb. Btwn
19 00z-19 06z... N of kism-ktix bkn-ovc080-100... S of kism-ktix bkn-
ovc040-060 LCL MVFR bkn-ovc020-030 in -ra... S of kfpr-ksef MVFR bkn-
ovc020-030 areas ifr bkn-ovc005-009 in ra -ra. 19 06z-19 12z... Bkn-
ovc040-060... S of kism-ktix bkn-ovc035-050 LCL MVFR bkn-ovc010-020
in -ra... S of kfpr-ksef no sig chg. Aft 19 12z... S of ktix-kism MVFR
MVFR bkn-ovc020-030 ocnl ifr ovc005-009 in ra... N of ktix-kism bkn-
ovc035-050 areas MVFR bkn-ovc020-030.

Marine Tonight-Tuesday... Boating conds bcmg dangerous as a tight
sfc low lvl pgrad maintains a moderate to fresh N NE breeze acrs the
lcl atlc overnight... Fresh to strong NE breeze on Tue with ocnl
gusts near gale force over the offshore leg south of sebastian
inlet. Shelf waters 5-7ft overnight, building then 6-8ft by midday
tue. Gulf stream waters 5-7ft building to 6-8ft overnight, then 7-
9ft Tue aftn. Widespread rain south CAPE canaveral, rain likely from
the CAPE northward. SCA continues areawide.

Tue night-wed night... The pressure gradient remains tight with the
former front across the fl straits and high pressure to the north.

Small craft boating will remain hazardous through this time with
small craft advisories remaining in effect through much of this
period. Northerly winds 20-25 knots Tue night will continue around
20 knots through Wed morning before decreasing to 15-20 knots in the
afternoon. Seas will peak at 7-9 ft near shore and up 9-11 feet
offshore.

Thu-sat... Northerly winds will drop to 10-15 knots and veer more
erly Fri overnight into sat. Seas will remain elevated to 4-5 ft
near shore and up to 6-7 ft offshore on Thu with a continued,
gradual subsiding of seas into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 56 69 57 71 20 40 50 30
mco 54 72 58 75 40 50 40 10
mlb 58 69 62 74 60 80 60 20
vrb 61 68 62 76 90 90 70 30
lee 52 71 53 73 20 40 20 10
sfb 54 72 57 74 30 40 40 20
orl 54 72 58 74 40 50 40 10
fpr 61 69 61 76 90 90 70 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Wednesday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
mid-long term radar... .Sedlock
public service... Glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 0 mi37 min N 24 66°F 66°F1020 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 25 mi37 min 69°F5 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 38 mi37 min 67°F3 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 39 mi37 min N 11 G 15 64°F 68°F1021 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 47 mi37 min NNE 18 G 21 70°F 1020 hPa60°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 89 mi37 min NNE 21 G 23 72°F 77°F1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL15 mi14 minN 13 G 2210.00 miOvercast66°F59°F78%1019.2 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL20 mi14 minN 1310.00 miLight Rain65°F55°F70%1019.7 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN8N6N4CalmNW6N5N7N9N9W5N6NW3N7N7N9N9N13
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2 days agoS9S6S7S6S5CalmW5CalmCalmSW4SW5SW7W7W7W6W6N5N5N6N7N7N5N4N5

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian Inlet bridge, Indian River, Florida (2)
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Sebastian Inlet bridge
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Mon -- 12:06 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:23 AM EDT     2.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.20.20.81.522.32.31.91.40.80.2-0.1-0.10.10.71.31.92.32.42.11.60.90.2

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:10 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:44 AM EDT     0.24 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:02 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:56 PM EDT     0.17 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.20.20.20.10-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.10.20.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.