Saturday, March25, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Progress Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 7:45PM Saturday March 25, 2017 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC) Moonrise 4:50AMMoonset 4:28PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 346 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Tonight..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast late in the evening, then becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming south early in the afternoon, then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tuesday night..West winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots then becoming east around 5 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 346 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Synopsis..Strong high pressure over the western atlantic will continue to extend across the florida peninsula and eastern gulf of mexico for the next several days. A weak cold front will approach the waters on Sunday...however the front will dissipate before reaching the area. No hazards are expected through mid week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Progress Village, FL
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location: 27.88, -82.45     debug

Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 251921
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
321 pm edt Sat mar 25 2017

Short term (tonight - Sunday)
Afternoon visible satellite imagery is showing a broken cumulus
field covering the florida peninsula under broad easterly winds, as
the surface ridge axis remains north of the area. Despite the overall
dry airmass, southeasterly mean low level flow across southwest
florida will support slightly higher moisture over the southern
extent of the forecast area, and a few isolated showers cannot be
completely ruled out later this afternoon and into the early evening.

Otherwise, generally rain free conditions will continue through
Sunday morning. By Sunday afternoon, an upper level trough and
surface cold front will approach the area, with moisture increasing
ahead of the system. This will allow for a few showers to be possible
mainly over the nature coast where moisture will be highest, and it
will not be impossible for a few stray showers to develop farther
south along the sea breeze.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly warmer than normal, with
lows tonight in the low to mid 60s, and highs on Sunday in the upper
70s and low 80s.

Mid term/long term (Sunday night-Saturday)
Weakening mid/upper level shortwave will move east of the region
Sunday night with another weakening shortwave moving across the
lower mississippi and tennessee valleys Monday and Monday night
before out into the atlantic ocean on Tuesday. These systems will be
well to our north and have little impact on our weather early in the
period with the warm and dry weather continuing. During midweek some
mid/upper level ridging will build over the region as the next
cutoff low moves out of the desert southwest into the
central/southern plains Thursday and gradually weakens as it moves
across the eastern u.S. Late in the week. Models are depicting
differences in location and strength of this system with the gfs
further south and stronger and therefore bringing a better chance of
showers than the ecmwf/canadian late Thursday night into Friday
night. For now have continued the slight chance to chance pops
during this timeframe, but if the weaker and further north pattern
verifies we would not see much more than some clouds with this
system. Temperatures during mid to late week will continue above

GenerallyVFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours.

The exceptions will be that there is a small chance of a few showers
this afternoon around kfmy/krsw/kpgd, then brief periods of MVFR
ceilings overnight cannot be completely ruled out, mainly over the
interior. Generally easterly to southeasterly winds could be
interrupted this afternoon by a sea breeze for sites near the coast.

High pressure centered over the atlantic will continue to ridge into
the eastern gulf through the weekend, as a weak front washes out
over the northeastern gulf on Sunday. The surface ridge will then
shift west towards florida through mid week, with light winds and
seas continuing.

Fire weather
Relative humidity is expected to remain above critical thresholds
through the rest of the weekend and into next week, with no
significant fire weather concerns anticipated. A few patches of fog
will be possible during the next couple of nights, but widespread fog
is not expected.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Tpa 65 80 64 81 / 10 10 0 0
fmy 63 83 61 84 / 20 10 10 10
gif 61 82 62 83 / 10 10 10 0
srq 63 77 61 80 / 10 10 0 0
bkv 60 82 58 83 / 10 10 10 0
spg 66 79 65 81 / 10 10 0 0

Tbw watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term/aviation/marine/fire weather... 18/fleming
mid term/long term/decision support... 69/close

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYF1 3 mi51 min 70°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 4 mi51 min E 5.1 G 7
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 4 mi57 min Calm G 1
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 6 mi51 min WNW 1.9 G 4.1 77°F 72°F1018.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 12 mi51 min WSW 1.9 G 2.9 81°F 73°F1018.4 hPa
CLBF1 16 mi105 min WSW 8 G 8.9 75°F 1018.4 hPa
MTBF1 17 mi51 min W 6 G 7 73°F 1019.2 hPa65°F
PMAF1 18 mi51 min 73°F 71°F1018.1 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 26 mi105 min NNW 5.1 G 5.1 76°F 1019.4 hPa
42098 32 mi39 min 72°F1 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 40 mi105 min WNW 5.1 G 7 72°F 1018.9 hPa

Wind History for Berth 223, FL
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL2 mi44 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F55°F40%1019 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL4 mi41 minNW 410.00 miFair81°F55°F42%1019.3 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL8 mi46 minW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F57°F45%1018.9 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL10 mi44 minSE 510.00 miFair82°F50°F32%1019 hPa
St. Petersburg Whitted Airport, FL12 mi46 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F55°F44%1018.3 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi46 minN 310.00 miFair80°F57°F47%1018.9 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL17 mi44 minE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F53°F37%1019.6 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL24 mi49 minE 810.00 miA Few Clouds81°F53°F39%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
Last 24hrE12
1 day agoE13
2 days agoW4W6W3N5NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Pendola Point, Hillsborough Bay, Florida
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Pendola Point
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Sat -- 12:46 AM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:36 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:27 PM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:23 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Sat -- 01:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:00 AM EDT     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:19 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:17 PM EDT     1.17 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:35 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:29 PM EDT     -0.87 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:06 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:43 PM EDT     1.02 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.