Sunday, August20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Country Acres, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 8:03PM Sunday August 20, 2017 8:01 PM CDT (01:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:46AMMoonset 6:24PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ235 Bays And Waterways From Port Aransas To Port O'connor- 327 Pm Cdt Sun Aug 20 2017
Tonight..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Monday..East wind 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Tuesday..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth.
Wednesday..South wind up to 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bays smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South wind up to 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bays smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East wind 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East wind 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ200 327 Pm Cdt Sun Aug 20 2017
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters.. Weak to moderate onshore flow is expected tonight through Monday night. Moisture will increase on Monday due to an upper level trough, providing isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms on Monday. A weak onshore flow will persist through the middle part of the week then becoming weak to moderate by next weekend. Isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms are possible over the coastal waters Tuesday through Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Country Acres, TX
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location: 27.91, -97.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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Fxus64 kcrp 202358
afdcrp
area forecast discussion
national weather service corpus christi tx
658 pm cdt Sun aug 20 2017

Discussion
Update for 00z aviation cycle.

Aviation
Tonight... MostlyVFR. More patches of MVFR type stratus or fog
possible by sunrise. Could see a few streamer showers around kvct
before sunrise so we added vcsh wording. Light southeasterly winds
expected. Medium to high confidence.

Monday... MostlyVFR. More moisture will push into the region
allowing for a bit more cloud cover than previous days. Also
expecting a bit more of an active sea breeze boundary so we added
prob30 groups to kcrp kvct from the late morning until the early
afternoon. This may need to be expanded farther west through the
evening hours but confidence is lower so refrain from mentioning
it in the TAF at this time. Medium confidence overall.

Previous discussion issued 301 pm cdt Sun aug 20 2017
short term (tonight through Monday night)...

the upper ridge over the area will move to the northwest through
the period as the tutt low over the eastern gulf of mexico moves
to the west. The tutt low is expected to be just east of the
coastal waters by 12z Tuesday. GOES 16 image of precipitable water
shows an axis of higher moisture with pwat values around 2 inches
over the western gulf of mexico to the west of the tutt low. This
area of moisture is expected to reach the coastal waters late
tonight and into the coastal plains on Monday. Isolated to
scattered convection should form by mid morning and move inland
through the afternoon with the sea breeze boundary. Will only go
with pops of 20-30 percent. The high temperatures will be slightly
lower on Monday with increased cloud cover. Isolated convection
will redevelop over the coastal waters late Monday night.

Long term (Tuesday through Sunday)...

weakening tutt low will back into the area from the east on Tuesday
before dissipating mid-week. Enough moisture (around 2 inches
pwat) and a slightly favorable thermodynamic profile for
convection... Especially Tuesday. Will maintain current 20 pops
west 30 east Tuesday then cut back to area wide 20s for Wednesday
and Thursday. Combination of slightly lower heights and a little
more cloud will allow high temps to cool a degree or so each day.

Generally undercut the mex numbers by 1-2 degrees.

The forecast for the end of the week into the weekend remains highly
dependent on what happens with harvey's remnants. At a minimum it
looks like moisture will increase Fri Sat with the deterministic gfs
progging pwat around 2.25 inch for much of the area. Will hold pops
in the chance range for now with the highest chances(40%) on
Saturday. Should a stronger low end up tracking further north into
mexico higher pops would be warranted, while a weaker further south
wave might have little impact. Plenty of time to monitor... Stay
tuned.

Preliminary point temps pops
Corpus christi 77 95 77 95 76 10 30 10 20 10
victoria 76 95 76 96 75 10 30 10 20 10
laredo 78 102 78 100 78 0 10 10 10 10
alice 75 99 75 98 74 10 30 10 20 10
rockport 80 93 80 94 79 10 30 10 30 10
cotulla 76 100 76 100 76 0 10 10 10 10
kingsville 76 97 76 98 75 10 30 10 20 10
navy corpus 80 93 80 94 80 10 30 10 30 10

Crp watches warnings advisories
Tx... None.

Gm... None.

Gh 77... Aviation


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX 6 mi43 min ESE 8 G 12 86°F 85°F1014 hPa
MIST2 7 mi106 min ESE 14 85°F 1015 hPa78°F
ANPT2 7 mi43 min E 12 G 15 84°F 84°F
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX 7 mi61 min E 13 G 14 84°F 90°F1014.1 hPa (-0.6)76°F
RCPT2 - 8774770 - Rockport, TX 9 mi43 min SSE 11 G 16 86°F 90°F1013.6 hPa
CPNT2 15 mi43 min ESE 12 G 13 85°F 89°F
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX 15 mi43 min 86°F 89°F1012.9 hPa
MAXT2 - Mission-Aransas Reserve, TX 16 mi61 min SE 13 1014 hPa (-1.0)
NUET2 19 mi43 min SE 17 G 23 89°F1013.7 hPa
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX 20 mi43 min ESE 11 G 16 85°F 89°F1014 hPa
MQTT2 - 8775870 - Malaquite Beach (Corpus Christi), TX 23 mi43 min E 8.9 G 12 84°F 86°F1013.3 hPa
AWRT2 28 mi43 min ESE 9.9 G 14 86°F 90°F1014 hPa
IRDT2 31 mi43 min ESE 11 G 15 86°F 92°F1014.3 hPa
SDRT2 - 8773037 - Seadrift, TX 41 mi43 min ESE 9.9 G 14 87°F 90°F1014.2 hPa
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX 45 mi43 min 13 G 16 85°F 91°F1013.8 hPa

Wind History for Port Aransas, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mc Campbell, TX4 mi66 minno data10.00 miFair89°F76°F66%1013.5 hPa
Port Aransas, Mustang Beach Airport, TX7 mi66 minESE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F75°F72%1013.9 hPa
Rockport Aransas County Airport, TX13 mi68 minESE 1310.00 mi90°F75°F62%1013.7 hPa
Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi International Airport, TX21 mi70 minSE 13 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F73°F61%1013.3 hPa

Wind History from TFP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Port Aransas, Texas
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Port Aransas
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:58 AM CDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM CDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:01 PM CDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:23 PM CDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.50.70.90.910.90.90.90.90.90.9110.90.80.60.40.2-0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Aransas Pass, Texas Current
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Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:23 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:26 AM CDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:45 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:03 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:18 PM CDT     -1.82 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.30.41.11.61.81.81.71.51.310.80.50.30.10-0.2-0.6-1-1.4-1.7-1.8-1.8-1.6-1.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Corpus Christi, TX (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Corpus Christi, TX
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.