Sunrise 6:48 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 1:34 AM   Moonset 12:18 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 921 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Rest of tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east late. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Thursday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 921 Pm Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis - High pressure near bermuda continues to ridge westward over florida and into the gulf of mexico and will dominate the weather with mostly rain-free conditions through the week and into the weekend. Winds will remain 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less making for pleasant boating conditions through the week. A sea breeze is expected close to the coast each afternoon and evening.

FXUS62 KTBW 012352 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 752 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

It has been an active evening across SWFL especially where a deeper moisture column support several thunderstorms. With 500mb temperatures hovering around -10C, this also led to some small hail reports, in addition to two funnel clouds across the region. With the atmosphere now worked over in SWFL, most of the activity has now wound down. There are just a couple showers ongoing as of this writing.

However, the East and West Coast sea breeze boundaries are just now colliding in Central Florida. Could this potentially elide a couple more storms yet? Perhaps. Early data from the 0Z sounding shows a deep enough moisture layer for what is most likely to be low-topped showers rather than large and intense thunderstorms as were seen earlier this evening. The moisture column is more shallow the farther north one travels, and there is also a stronger inversion and sharper cutoff to the aforementioned moisture. This also should mean that anything new to develop is likely to be isolated and short-lived.

Just a couple little tweaks to the forecast have been made to the next couple hours to reflect current trends and expectations.
Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Showers and thunderstorms are winding down, with predominant VFR conditions expected to prevail. There are indications that additional convection could develop again tomorrow, but this should be pretty isolated in nature. Thus, probs are quite low for all terminals, but are highest for KLAL and KPGD. Elsewhere, there is a 10 to 20% chance likely around or after 21Z. A similar pattern will play out through the weekend.

MARINE
Issued at 221 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

High pressure near Bermuda continues to ridge westward over Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico and will dominate the weather with mostly rain-free conditions through the week and into the weekend.
Winds will remain 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less making for pleasant boating conditions through the week. A sea breeze is expected close to the coast each afternoon and evening.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 221 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024

High pressure builds in over the area and will dominate the weather through the period. A slight chance of afternoon/evening showers and storms will be possible the next few days, primarily over the interior. RH values are expected to remain above critical levels with no other fire weather concerns expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 71 90 72 90 / 0 20 0 10 FMY 70 90 70 90 / 20 20 10 10 GIF 67 90 67 91 / 20 20 0 10 SRQ 69 89 69 90 / 10 20 0 10 BKV 63 92 64 91 / 10 20 0 10 SPG 73 88 73 87 / 0 20 0 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Safety Harbor
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Wed -- 02:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:22 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 01:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:34 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Safety Harbor, Old Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Wed -- 12:12 AM EDT     -1.17 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:31 PM EDT     -0.18 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:08 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     0.50 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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