Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Safety Harbor, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 7:02PM Monday October 15, 2018 6:12 AM EDT (10:12 UTC) Moonrise 12:30PMMoonset 11:15PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 400 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Today..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 400 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Synopsis..High pressure tracks southeastward across the open atlantic while ridging back over florida to the eastern gulf of mexico through the week. This will provide prevailing light to moderate easterly winds...with afternoon sea breezes and evening surges.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Safety Harbor, FL
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location: 27.97, -82.68     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 150758
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
358 am edt Mon oct 15 2018

Short term (today - Tuesday)
A strong mid level ridge of high pressure holding over the
florida peninsula early this week is causing broad
subsidence, which will keep warm and dry conditions in
place. At the surface, high pressure will continue to ridge
north of florida, setting up light easterly flow. The
gradient flow will remain light enough that a limited west
coast sea breeze should develop, but will remain fairly
close to the west coast. Temperatures will generally run 5-8
degrees above normal, with afternoon highs topping out in
the low 90s in most places away from the immediate coast.

This could lead to a few spots breaking or matching
temperature records for the day. A few isolated showers
could develop in the afternoon, but most areas are expected
to remain rain free.

Little will change for Tuesday, with another day of easterly
winds and near record temperatures. Atmospheric moisture
will be slightly higher, and a few more afternoon showers
or storms will be possible, with rain chances of 10-20
percent across the area.

Long term (Tuesday night - Sunday)
During the middle part of the week, a broad upper level
trough will swing through the great lakes region and
northeastern us, allowing the mid level ridge to slightly
weaken and shift east. At the surface, the sub-tropical
ridge axis north of florida will shift east Wednesday and
Thursday before a backdoor cold front pushes into florida
from the northeast Friday and Saturday. Through all this,
easterly low level winds will continue through the week and
into next weekend, with weak sea breezes developing each
afternoon and staying near the coast.

With the mid level ridge of high pressure still overhead
Wednesday, subsidence will cause warm and rather dry
conditions to continue, with near record temperatures, and
limited rain chances. As the ridge weakens and shifts out,
temperatures will moderate slightly through the rest of the
week, but will still remain above normal through Saturday,
rain chances will also pickup Thursday through Saturday due
partly to increasing moisture along and ahead of the
backdoor front and reduced subsidence aloft.

Models are in good agreement regarding another mid level
trough swinging into the eastern us from canada next
weekend. This trough will also sweep a strong cold front
through the southeastern conus, and into the florida
peninsula Saturday night and Sunday. Although it is still
too early to nail down the exact impacts of this front,
showers and storms are expected to develop ahead of the
front, and temperatures are currently forecast to drop to
near normal by Sunday afternoon.

Aviation
Vfr and rain free conditions are expected to continue
through the next 24 hours. Winds will generally remain
easterly, with a limited sea breeze turning winds onshore
at terminals near the coast during the afternoon.

Marine
The high pressure ridge axis will hold just north of the
gulf of mexico through the week, with generally easterly
winds continuing. A weak afternoon seabreeze will setup each
day, allowing winds to turn onshore near the coast.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
expected over the coastal waters each day starting
Wednesday, with locally hazardous boating conditions
possible in the vicinity of some of the stronger storms.

Fire weather
No concerns, as humidity will remain well above critical
levels through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 76 91 75 10 10 20 20
fmy 91 76 92 75 10 10 20 10
gif 92 75 92 73 10 0 20 10
srq 91 76 91 75 10 10 10 20
bkv 92 73 92 72 10 10 10 20
spg 90 77 90 76 10 10 20 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

18 fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 8 mi43 min E 4.1 G 5.1 79°F 83°F1018.1 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 10 mi43 min E 2.9 G 6 77°F 82°F1018 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 13 mi61 min ENE 4.1 G 6
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 14 mi79 min ESE 5.1 G 7 78°F 1018.5 hPa
MCYF1 14 mi43 min 84°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 15 mi49 min ESE 4.1 G 6 79°F 83°F1018 hPa
GCTF1 16 mi43 min 78°F 76°F
CLBF1 16 mi79 min E 1.9 G 5.1 82°F 1017.1 hPa
MTBF1 22 mi43 min ESE 5.1 G 6 77°F 1017.9 hPa74°F
PMAF1 24 mi43 min 75°F 82°F1017.8 hPa
42098 29 mi43 min 82°F2 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 32 mi139 min E 2.9 G 6 77°F 1018.1 hPa

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL4 mi20 minESE 410.00 miA Few Clouds77°F75°F96%1018 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL8 mi20 minN 08.00 miA Few Clouds78°F75°F90%1018.2 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL11 mi17 minESE 410.00 miFair77°F74°F92%1018.2 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi18 minE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1018.3 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL14 mi20 minE 710.00 miFair79°F75°F90%1017.4 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL18 mi18 minN 00.75 miFog/Mist72°F71°F100%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from PIE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E6E6E8E10SE8SE76E6NE7N5NW11N9NW7N6N5E11
G18
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1 day agoN8N64NE4NE6N4N5N53N4N6N6N6N5N7N7NE4E11E9
G16
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2 days agoW4NW54NW53N5NE4NW8N9NW9N9NW10NW11NW11NW10NW7NW6N6NW4NW3N4CalmNE7N8

Tide / Current Tables for Safety Harbor, Old Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Safety Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:05 AM EDT     1.94 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EDT     2.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:47 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:35 PM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.922.12.32.62.82.92.82.62.31.91.51.10.80.50.50.60.81.11.41.71.91.9

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:08 AM EDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:31 AM EDT     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:02 PM EDT     0.72 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:29 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-00.30.60.80.70.3-0.1-0.5-0.8-1-1-0.9-0.7-0.5-0.30.10.40.70.70.70.40.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.