Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 8:07 PM Moonrise 3:26 AM   Moonset 3:36 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest this afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 401 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis - Atlantic high pressure ridging into the northeastern gulf of mexico this weekend will slide south by mid week, with southeasterly winds becoming more southerly by Wednesday. Winds will turn onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. A few showers or storms will be possible each day, mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours. Otherwise, winds will remain less than 15 knots with seas of no more than 2 feet.

FXUS62 KTBW 040749 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 349 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

An upper level ridge is currently extending from Florida north into eastern Canada, while surface high pressure over the Atlantic ridges across northern Florida into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. This surface ridge will hold through the weekend and early next week, then shift south during the middle to later portion of the week.
Southeasterly/easterly flow the next few days will become more southerly during the second half of the week, with daily sea breeze circulations turning winds onshore near the coast each afternoon.

Enough moisture will be present to allow for isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon along sea breeze boundaries.
Moisture will increase slightly on Sunday, leading to higher rain chances, then drier air will start to shift in through the first half of the work week and limit rain chances. Otherwise, the stacked ridging will lead to building temperatures, with afternoon highs climbing into the mid 90s over the interior Wednesday through Friday. Despite the warm temperatures, heat index values are forecast to remain around 100 or less, and will not approach local Heat Advisory thresholds (108).

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

VFR conditions will hold through at least the morning hours.
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon and evening, and could briefly impact area terminals, with the highest chances over southwest Florida around KRSW, KFMY, and KPGD, and over the interior around KLAL.

MARINE
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Atlantic high pressure will ridge into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico through the rest of the weekend and into early next week, with southeasterly flow turning onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. The ridge will drift south Tuesday and Wednesday, with winds becoming slightly more southerly. Wind speeds will remain below headline criteria. Rain chances will remain low, but a few sea breeze storms could drift into the waters each day during the afternoon and evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Relative humidity may briefly drop to critically low levels each afternoon this weekend, mainly over the interior. However, wind speeds are not forecast to be fast enough to cause Red Flag Conditions. Otherwise, spotty high dispersion indices will be possible each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 89 73 89 73 / 20 20 30 10 FMY 90 70 90 70 / 30 30 40 20 GIF 91 70 90 69 / 30 20 50 10 SRQ 89 71 89 71 / 20 20 30 10 BKV 91 65 90 65 / 20 20 40 10 SPG 87 75 87 74 / 20 20 30 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Mobbly Bayou, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Sat -- 12:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:36 AM EDT     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:44 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:45 AM EDT     1.18 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:55 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:19 PM EDT     -1.16 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:18 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:00 PM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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