Monday, June18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Town 'n' Country, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:30PM Monday June 18, 2018 12:52 PM EDT (16:52 UTC) Moonrise 10:45AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 1030 Am Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
This afternoon..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tonight..North winds around 5 knots becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots becoming north around 5 knots after midnight, becoming northeast toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 1030 Am Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Synopsis..Surface high pressure offshore the southeast u.s. Coast and extending southwest across the north central florida peninsula today will sink south to lie across the southern peninsula by the end of the week. Tranquil boating conditions with light northeast to east winds with slight seas and an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast in the afternoon can be expected across the waters today through Wednesday with scattered Thunderstorms during the late afternoon and early evening hours. During Thursday and Friday a southwest to westerly wind flow will develop over the waters with scattered showers and storms expected along the coast during the morning hours, then moving to inland locations during the afternoon and early evening hours. Wind and seas will be higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms, otherwise no headlines are expected.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Town 'n' Country, FL
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location: 27.98, -82.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 181450
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
1050 am edt Mon jun 18 2018

Update
Surface ridge remains across north central florida this morning
with an east to northeast low level flow across the region. This
pattern most fits a regime 2 looking at the local summer
thunderstorm climatology. Therefore, with daytime heating and the
sea breezes we should see convection develop and move westward
with the highest pops along the coastal counties late this
afternoon and early evening. The morning tbw sounding was however
only indicating a precipitable water around 1.6 inches, while to
the north and south both jax and mfl were near 2 inches.

Therefore, the best chance for rain should be across the northern
nature coast and over southwest florida later today. Temperatures
will warm into the upper 80s to mid 90s causing heat indices to
climb to between 100 and 105 this afternoon before the convection
gets going. Overall the grids zone forecast looked good and only
made some minor tweaks to pops and winds for the rest of today.

Aviation
Some areas of MVFR ceilings can be expected this morning, then
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms could cause some
MVFR local ifr conditions this afternoon and early evening.

Convection will move west out into the gulf during this evening
with mainlyVFR conditions prevailing overnight. Brief gusty winds
up to around 30 knots will be possible in convection, otherwise
easterly winds at 10 knots or less will shift to onshore at tpa,
pie, and srq as the bay sea breeze develop.

Marine
Surface high pressure will extend southwest across the north
central florida peninsula today then sink south to across the
southern peninsula by the end of the week. Tranquil boating
conditions with light northeast to east winds with slight seas and
an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast in the
afternoon can be expected across the waters through Wednesday
with scattered thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening
hours through Wednesday. During Thursday and Friday a southwest
to west wind flow will develop over the waters with scattered
showers and storms expected along the coast during the late night
and morning hours, then moving to inland locations during the
afternoon and evening. Wind and seas will be higher in the
vicinity of thunderstorms, otherwise no headlines are expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 93 77 92 78 40 30 20 20
fmy 93 75 94 75 50 30 30 20
gif 93 74 94 74 20 10 10 10
srq 92 76 91 78 40 30 20 20
bkv 93 73 94 74 30 20 20 20
spg 91 79 91 79 30 30 20 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine... 69 close
upper air decision support... 09 rude


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 9 mi65 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 9 mi53 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 85°F 88°F1020.5 hPa (+0.0)
MCYF1 10 mi53 min 88°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 13 mi53 min E 5.1 G 7 86°F 89°F1020.6 hPa (+0.3)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 15 mi53 min ENE 4.1 G 6 86°F 87°F1020.4 hPa (+0.4)
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 16 mi119 min SE 5.1 G 8 85°F 1021.4 hPa
CLBF1 18 mi119 min E 2.9 G 6 90°F 1019.8 hPa
MTBF1 22 mi53 min NE 4.1 G 6 85°F 1020.5 hPa (+0.4)72°F
PMAF1 24 mi53 min 86°F 87°F1020.3 hPa (+0.0)
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 32 mi119 min ESE 1.9 G 4.1 88°F 1020.7 hPa
42098 32 mi53 min 85°F1 ft

Wind History for TPA Cruise Terminal 2, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL3 mi60 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F70°F53%1020.4 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL7 mi60 minESE 310.00 miFair86°F73°F65%1020.4 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL9 mi58 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F73°F66%1020.7 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL9 mi1.9 hrsE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F73°F66%1020.7 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL13 mi58 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F73°F62%1020.7 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL15 mi60 minVar 310.00 miFair86°F75°F72%1020 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi58 minSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1021 hPa

Wind History from TPA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N8NE6SW5SW7Calm3E5NE7NE7NE53CalmE3NE3CalmE5E3NE45E5E4CalmCalm
1 day agoSW8SW7W6S11--CalmSW6NW4NW7N5N4E3NE4E5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--4NE4
2 days agoSW8SW9SW9W9S7S6S4S4SW36SE7S7S4CalmS4S7SW4SW5CalmE3CalmCalm4SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Mobbly Bayou, Florida
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Mobbly Bayou
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:48 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:03 AM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:24 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:25 PM EDT     1.68 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.40.1-0.1-0.1-00.20.50.70.911.110.80.60.60.811.31.51.71.71.61.3

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     1.20 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:28 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:39 AM EDT     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:52 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:31 PM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:38 PM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.3-1-0.50.20.81.11.210.70.2-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.30.10.50.80.80.50.1-0.3-0.7-1.1-1.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.