Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 5:54 AM   Moonset 8:08 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 910 Pm Edt Wed May 8 2024
Rest of tonight - Winds becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms. Saturday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sunday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 910 Pm Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - Winds generally remain 15 knots or less and out of the south to southwest for the rest of the work week. A front will start to work its way through late Friday which will bring a chance for a few showers and Thunderstorms. Behind the front winds will shift to northwest Saturday and then northeast on Sunday as high pressure moves across the southeast states.

FXUS62 KTBW 082350 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 750 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE

UPDATE
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

The dry air aloft has helped to limit convective activity once again today with only a few isolated showers early this evening along the sea breeze as it moved inland over southeastern Pasco, northeastern Hillsborough, and western Polk Counties. For the remainder of the night expect mostly clear to partly cloudy skies across the area with lows only dipping to around 70 to the mid 70s. Thursday looks like another warm and rather humid day, but the dry air aloft will persist and winds will turn to southwest and become breezy so not expecting any convection in our area.
Current forecast looks on track with no changes needed.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period, but could see some patches of MVFR ceilings late tonight into early Thursday morning.
Southwest winds this evening will shift to southerly at 5 to 10 knots overnight and then increase to 10 to 15 knots late Thursday morning before shifting to southwest during the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 750 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Winds generally remain 15 knots or less and out of the south to southwest for the rest of the work week. A front will start to work its way through late Friday which will bring a chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. Behind the front winds will shift to northwest Saturday and then northeast on Sunday as high pressure moves across the southeast states.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 250 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

The big story for the rest of the work week will be the heat away from the coastal areas. Ridging over the area is causing some drier air and keeping showers away while also turning the heat up. Inland areas of the CWA can expected highs in the mid to upper 90's today through Friday.

As we go through the day on Friday a weakening cold front will be pushing into the area. The best chance to see some significant showers and storms will be over the Nature Coast in the morning and early afternoon hours. Once it works through the rest of Florida in the evening and overnight hours much of the shower activity will be gone, but an isolated storm can not be ruled.

This front will only drop our high temperatures a few degrees for the weekend, so we can still expect highs in the upper 80's to mid 90's. The big change will be Sunday morning where most of us will wake up comfortably in the 60's. However, temperatures will warm up quickly so if you sleep in you will miss it.

Our next frontal system looks to try to push through during the middle of next week. However, ahead of the front we will see added moisture which will aid in some showers and storms with the better chances Tuesday and Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 250 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Our main concern over the next few days will be critical RHs. We will have isolated spots of critical RHs throughout the work week.
However, the more widespread critical RHs will be after the frontal passage late on Friday. Saturday the lowest RHs should remain in the interior, but Sunday we should see critical RHs through all of our CWA as winds turn northeasterly. Winds will be light so no need for Red Flag and moisture will return early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 89 77 88 / 0 0 0 20 FMY 74 93 75 90 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 74 95 74 93 / 10 0 0 20 SRQ 75 87 76 89 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 70 92 71 90 / 0 0 0 40 SPG 77 87 79 86 / 0 0 0 20

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Dunedin
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Wed -- 01:10 AM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 AM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:06 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:26 PM EDT     -0.68 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Dunedin, St. Joseph Sound, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Wed -- 01:45 AM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     -0.42 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:32 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     -1.73 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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