Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 5:53 AM   Moonset 8:08 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 355 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Today - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest early this afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 knots late. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sunday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 355 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will ridge across florida into the eastern gulf of mexico today through Thursday night, with south and southeast winds turning onshore near the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. A cold front will approach the waters Friday and clear the area on Saturday, bringing in a brief increase in winds Friday, and higher rain chances Friday through Saturday.

FXUS62 KTBW 080731 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Today and Thursday, high pressure will dominate the weather pattern, with broad ridging building in over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and Florida Peninsula, and a strong surface ridge extending from the Atlantic across central Florida. This stacked ridging will favor warm and dry conditions, with afternoon high temperatures running several degrees above normal, and rain free conditions holding. Apart from the heat, the main weather concern will be for some patchy fog this morning over the Nature Coast.

On Friday, a shortwave trough will swing through the northeastern US, followed quickly by another shortwave Saturday night and Sunday.
At the surface, this will result in a cold front pushing into northern Florida Friday and temporarily stalling out, then getting a secondary push Saturday and Saturday night to clear the forecast area. This will cause increasing rain chances early Friday through Saturday morning, then drier air fills in for the rest of the weekend. The frontal boundaries will also moderate temperatures.

Monday and Tuesday, another shortwave will eject out of the southern plains and into the southeastern US, allowing a surface low to develop over the northern Gulf of Mexico. Southerly low level flow ahead of this system will result in building moisture and increasing rain chances Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Some isolated MVFR ceilings over southwest Florida are expected to clear out by around 10z. Then, mostly VFR conditions are forecast to continue for the next 24 hours at area terminals. Some patchy fog will be possible around sunrise this morning, but is expected to remain north of area terminals.

MARINE
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Atlantic high pressure will ridge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico through Thursday night, with south and southeast flow less than 15 knots, turning onshore with the afternoon seabreeze. Dry air will prevent significant rain chances. The ridge will shift south Friday through the weekend as a couple of fronts push southeast into the waters. This will result in winds briefly increasing on Friday to around Exercise Caution levels and turning to westerly and then northerly. Rain chances will also increase on Friday and Saturday with the frontal passages.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 331 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Relative humidity will drop to near critically low levels this afternoon. Even drier air is forecast to fill in on Thursday afternoon with a few hours of relative humidity percentages below 35 expected over the interior. However, wind speeds are not forecast to be fast enough to cause Red Flag conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 90 77 89 77 / 0 0 0 10 FMY 93 74 91 75 / 10 0 0 0 GIF 96 73 96 74 / 10 10 0 0 SRQ 88 74 88 76 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 93 69 92 71 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 88 78 87 79 / 0 0 0 10

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Mobbly Bayou, Florida, Tide feet

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
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Wed -- 01:45 AM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     -0.42 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:29 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:32 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     -1.73 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current, knots

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