Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West Melbourne, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 6:21PM Saturday February 24, 2018 3:08 AM EST (08:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:59PMMoonset 1:56AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1000 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots towards daybreak. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Synopsis..A strong high pressure ridge centered over the western atlantic will generate a gentle to moderate onshore breeze over the local waters into the weekend. This persistent flow will produce a moderate easterly swell that will enhance the local sea heights. Small craft operators will need to exercise caution offshore.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast winds up to 15 knots with seas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday february 22nd 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Melbourne, FL
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location: 28.04, -80.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 240243
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
940 pm est Fri feb 23 2018

Update
Strong atlantic dlm ridge remains in firm control of local weather
pattern, producing temperatures more typical of late spring rather
than late winter as a mild to warm E to ese flow pattern persists
overnight. Modest low level moisture trapped beneath a mountain of
warm dry mid level air pressing down in the subsidence cap in the
h85-h75 layer, will produce a small threat for coastal showers,
especially over martin county near a persistent "streamer" coming
off of grand bahamas island. Nudged pops there up by 10 percent.

Otherwise, minor tweaks to forecast clouds temps. Any mist or fog
over the far interior should be shallow, as a better chance will
remain over the climo-preferred areas to our north and west.

Aviation Vfr. Small tempo group for shallow MVFR mist (mifg br)
over the north and interior aerodromes (dab lee ism sfb mco) from
around 09z through 13z. Will probably need and amd here shortly to
throw in vcsh and some MVFR CIGS at ksua given approaching showers.

Marine No changes. Long fetch E to SE flow up to 15kt around the
back side of the atlantic ridge producing an unusually long period
(16-17sec) swell train, which is greatly enhancing the rip current
threat at area beaches. It is also helping to contribute to combined
seas of 3-4ft near shore and 5-6ft well offshore. Based on latest
readings at 41009, some 6ft seas likely remain out there well beyond
20nm, especially south of CAPE canaveral, therefore will keep the
cautionary statement up overnight.

Update aviation... Cristaldi
impact wx... Bragaw

Prev discussion issued 240 pm est Fri feb 23 2018

Elevated rip current risk through the weekend...

Saturday... Low level winds from the southeast around the high
pressure ridge offshore will bring some enhanced low to mid level
moisture nnw across east central florida from the morning across the
south to NRN sections by afternoon. Pwats are forecast to increase
to around 1.3 inches which should be sufficient for isolated showers
to develop with daytime heating. Highs will be similar to Friday in
the lower 80s along the coast to the mid 80s for the interior.

Sat night-sun night... Surface high pressure over the western atlc
with associated ridge axis across the central peninsula. Generally a
se S flow with a bit of veering to the SW overnight sun. Upper ridge
across the area remains rather flat as energy to the north
traversing the eastern CONUS keeps it from amplifying. With that
said, the ridge remains strong enough to keep fronts north of ecfl,
though there will be a quasi-stationary boundary across the deep
south gulf coast. Precipitation chances continue around 20pct or
less with any shower activity on the light side. Temperatures remain
above climo.

Previous... Next week... A slow moving frontal boundary looks to sink
into N fl on Monday. Continued migration of flow pattern to zonal
aloft will occur early in the week with limited effects on local
area ascd with weakening front north of the immediate area. Moisture
looks marginal at best to produce notable rain chcs and no more than
isold chcs are anticipated with the setup with lack of forcing
mechanism. Temps wl remain at to above normal to close out the
month. Broad ridging is shown trying to re-establish over the state
from mid to late week with continued rather dry and warm conditions
to begin the month of march.

Aviation
MainlyVFR thru early evening with isold -shra north of kmco. Light
winds after midnight may allow for patchy fog development for inland
terminals and kdab, with ifr vsbys likely for klee. Expect fog to
linger shortly after sunrise.

Marine
Tonight... Se winds will continue to around 10 knots across the
volusia near shore waters and up to 15 knots across the SRN offshore
waters. Combined seas will average 3-5 ft nearshore and 5-6 ft
offshore with the wave guidance having some difficulty picking up on
the moderate ene long period swells with periods of 15-17 seconds
this afternoon. Will continue scec headlines offshore.

Saturday... Winds will continue SE at 10-15 knots into Saturday with a
continuing ene swell train allowing for combined seas to 3-4 ft
nearshore and up to 5 ft offshore.

Sat night-sun night... Surface ridge axis across the area with SE s
winds veering a bit more ssw Sun overnight. Speeds generally 8-14
kts over the open atlc. Shower chances remain slight. Seas generally
3-4 ft near shore and 4-5 ft offshore.

Previous... Next week... Weakness created by surface boundary over n
fl will bring lighter winds to the local marine area early in the
week with veering to S to SW component on Monday. A modest wind
shift to n-ne on Tue will veer direct onshore into midweek.

Headlines are not anticipated at least the first half of the week.

Climate Melbourne should break their record warm low again
today, february 23rd, with a few additional coastal sites having a
chance for record warm lows on Saturday, february 24th.

February 23 february 24
daytona beach 69-2013 68-1962
orlando intl 69-2013 68-1962
sanford 70-2013 70-1962
melbourne 69-2008 72-1979
vero beach 73-1961 71-1962
ft. Pierce 71-1979 70-1949
temperatures still forecast to remain well above normal through the
remainder of the month, and a record warm february looks on track
for orlando, melbourne, sanford and vero beach, with daytona beach
and fort pierce likely coming in second warmest.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 64 82 66 84 20 20 20 10
mco 65 85 66 86 10 20 20 10
mlb 70 82 68 83 10 20 20 20
vrb 70 82 67 84 10 20 20 20
lee 65 86 66 86 10 20 20 10
sfb 64 85 66 86 10 20 20 10
orl 66 85 67 85 10 20 20 10
fpr 69 82 67 83 10 20 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 15 mi53 min SE 14 74°F 74°F1025 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 25 mi45 min 73°F4 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 26 mi50 min ESE 6 G 8.9 72°F 74°F1025.6 hPa
41118 39 mi68 min 72°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi38 min ESE 12 G 16 74°F 74°F1024.3 hPa67°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 40 mi38 min 74°F5 ft
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 97 mi62 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL5 mi75 minESE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F66°F74%1024.3 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL13 mi72 minSE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F68°F86%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE5E6E7E7SE9SE11E13
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1 day agoE12E9E8E9E9E11E11E11E11E11
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2 days agoSE6SE7E7E8E8E11SE11SE11SE13E15SE12SE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:55 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:14 AM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:25 AM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:23 PM EST     3.00 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:56 PM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.22.83.132.61.91.20.60.30.30.81.52.12.732.92.61.910.3-0.3-0.5-0.20.5

Tide / Current Tables for Micco, Indian River, Florida
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Micco
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:54 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:17 AM EST     0.30 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:11 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:28 PM EST     0.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 11:41 PM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.10.20.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.20.20.1-0-0.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.