Wednesday, September19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indialantic, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 7:23PM Wednesday September 19, 2018 1:01 PM EDT (17:01 UTC) Moonrise 3:14PMMoonset 1:15AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1015 Am Edt Wed Sep 19 2018
This afternoon..West to southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1015 Am Edt Wed Sep 19 2018
Synopsis..A weak ridge over central florida will shift southeast across the bahamas today as a trough sags south into the local atlantic waters. High pressure will build down the eastern seaboard late this week and produce an onshore flow through the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, september 16th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indialantic, FL
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location: 28.07, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 191452
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1050 am edt Wed sep 19 2018

Update
The only significant change to current forecast was to increase rain
chances across central sections (brevard osceola) as mesoscale
models (hrrr, local WRF and hrw nssl) all show the sea breeze
becoming active with showers storms over brevard county. The cape
sounding shows some drier air just above the surface which will need
to mix out first so convective initiation should hold off until at
least early afternoon. Beyond that, cannot argue with
earlier forecast reasoning included below.

Previous public discussion...

current... A weak trough, both at the surface and aloft, lies just
offshore the eastern CONUS seaboard early this morning, with the
surface reflection extending into the atlantic waters offshore
nefl. The narrow western flank of the atlantic high pressure ridge,
which had been centered over central florida the past few days, has
drifted SE a bit, yielding light southerly flow. E-w ridging aloft
still remains in place over most of the peninsula. IR imagery shows
clear skies, while 2am 06z temps were in the u70s in most areas.

Today-tonight... Diffuse mean layer trough will continue to sag south
across central florida today and wash out tonight. A small vortlobe
will pinch off the western flank of this feature and form a weak
small h50 closed low over the NE gomex. With the ridge axis being
displaced slightly farther SE today, low level flow will be a bit
more veered SW compared to the last couple of days. This will slow
the inland push of the sea breeze slightly, resulting in MAX temps
a couple of degrees hotter for coastal areas compared to Tuesday.

Weak mid level PVA associated with the trough aloft, along with its
attendant band of slightly higher moisture, should yield an increase
in coverage of diurnal convection across the north interior counties
especially compared to the convective paucity (aob 10-20 percent) of
the past few days. However, will favor blend of the lower mav mos
(10-20) pops and higher (30-40) ecs numbers. Will go with 20 for the
south coastal counties and 30 north interior, which is about 10
percent lower for most areas than advertised Tuesday. Isolated
showers storms may linger for a couple hours post-sunset. Clearing
skies will follow, with mins generally in the m70s.

Aviation Vfr. Sea breeze should sprak isold-sct shra tsra between
17z-20z from dab-vrb, then shift inland to interior terminals aft
20z. Will maintain vcts since coverage confidence not high enough to
introduce tempo groups yet.

Marine
Light W SW flow 5-10 knots will turn onshore (ne-e) near the coast
this afternoon assocd with the sea breeze circulation. With noaa
buoy 009 recording 2.5 ft, have capped seas at 2 ft nearshore and 3
ft offshore for the coastal waters forecast update.

Climate Record highs for today, Wed sept 19th...

site record forecast
dab 94 (1936) 93
mco 97 (1933) 94
sfb 96 (1972) 94
mlb 94 (1952) 93
vrb 94 (1987) 92
fpr 94 (1987) 92

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 93 75 89 76 20 20 20 20
mco 94 75 93 76 30 20 30 10
mlb 93 75 90 77 20 20 20 20
vrb 93 75 90 75 20 20 20 20
lee 94 76 94 75 30 20 30 10
sfb 94 75 93 75 30 20 20 10
orl 94 76 94 76 30 20 30 10
fpr 92 74 89 75 20 20 30 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Kelly smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 17 mi32 min WSW 4.1 87°F 92°F1016 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 23 mi32 min 86°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 24 mi32 min WNW 6 G 7 88°F 87°F1016.8 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 37 mi22 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 83°F 1015.9 hPa78°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 41 mi32 min 85°F2 ft

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL3 mi2.1 hrsSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds88°F75°F66%1015 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL11 mi2.1 hrsWSW 710.00 miFair88°F76°F68%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9SE8SE9E12E11SE9SE7SE7S5S6S5SW5S5S5S4S5S5CalmSW3SW5SW7SW6W7W3
1 day agoE10E12E11E9E10E10SE8E9SE9SE8SE6S4SE3S4SW3W3NW3W3W3W3CalmCalmE8E8
2 days agoS8
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SE14SE14SE13SE11SE9S10S7S6S6S4S5CalmS3CalmS3CalmSE4S6S75E8E10

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.