Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 9:23 AM   Moonset 11:56 PM

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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 920 Pm Edt Sat May 11 2024
Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 7 seconds and east 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Sunday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Tuesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 5 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon, becoming south. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 120111 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 911 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 911 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

Current-Tonight...A rather impressive thunderstorm developed along the sea breeze boundary this afternoon near West Palm Beach late this afternoon and has pushed offshore this evening, producing quite the exceptional lightning show. Isolated showers in the wake of this cell have extended behind, bringing light to moderate rain to southern portions of Martin County in the last couple of hours.
Activity over land is on a downward trend for tonight, so pulled back rain chances slightly over the next 12 hours. A very well defined sea breeze has pushed over the interior this evening, with northeast to east winds observed behind the passage. While confidence is low at the moment, we could see development of patchy dense fog for areas east of Lake George as well as east of Lake Okeechobee along the Treasure Coast. Visibility could drop as low as one half mile and will be very localized just prior to sunrise. Lows tonight will drop to the mid to upper 60s.



AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 911 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

East coast sea breeze has pushed well beyond coastal terminals this afternoon, set to approach KMCO within the next hour or two. Most shower and storm activity along the sea breeze has remained south of local terminals this evening, so the only noticeable impact from the boundary is the northeasterly wind shift, which brought gusts of 18- 20 knots earlier today. By 03-06Z, winds will become light and calm, returning northeasterly soon after daybreak tomorrow. Guidance is hinting at patchy fog development in the vicinity of Lake George and east of Lake Okeechobee late tonight and early tomorrow morning, but confidence is too low to include at this time, although very brief MVFR reductions may be possible at KDAB/KLEE/KSUA/KFPR. Mostly clear skies tonight will become scattered and broken tomorrow afternoon with the return of mid to high level clouds. Another slight chance for showers along the sea breeze after 18Z, but should once again be confined to the southern terminals but no inclusion in the TAF at this time.

MARINE
Issued at 207 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

Current-Sunday... Favorable boating conditions continue. Cold front across the Treasure Coast waters this afternoon will shift south of the local area into this evening and will remain across South Florida through the period. High pressure will build in behind the front and continue through Sunday as it shifts slowly eastward. North to northeast winds 5-10 KT will veer eastward Sunday afternoon with the formation of the east coast sea breeze.
Seas 2-4ft this afternoon will decrease to 2-3ft overnight and remain through Sunday. Isolated showers and lightning storms will be possible Sunday afternoon, mainly across the Treasure Coast.

Sun Night-Thu...Weak high pressure over the western Atlc will provide for initial onshore flow into Mon evening, then winds become more southerly overnight/daybreak Tue with an offshore component by mid-week. Initial wind speeds 7-13 kts increase during the day on Mon to 12-18 kts and 15-20 kts Mon night-Tue evening; perhaps 18-22 kts Gulf Stream Tue aftn-evening. Winds remain elevated over the Gulf Stream and no significant improvement until Wed afternoon-Thu back to 10-15 kts on average.
An unsettled pattern develops with disturbed weather and increasing shower/ISOLD-SCT lightning storm chances thru mid-week (offshore-moving Tue/Wed - couple strong to marginally svr late day-evening). Seas 2-4 ft Mon building to 3-5 ft on Tue, back to 2-4 ft Tue overnight, then AOB 3 ft again by Thu.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 207 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

Sunday... Fire sensitive weather conditions will continue as drier air remains in place behind the frontal passage. Min RH values will drop into the mid to upper 30s to low 40s across the interior, with low 30s across the far western interior. Northeast winds will be 5- 10 mph on Sunday with the east coast sea breeze forecast to develop and push inland, veering the winds easterly in the afternoon.
Isolated showers and lightning storms will be possible Sunday afternoon, mainly across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee counties.
Otherwise, no mentionable rain chances.

Mon-Thu...Moisture and shower/lightning storm chances increase thru the period, with Min RH values forecast to remain above critical values. Until we receive enough wetting rainfall areawide, there could be potential fire ignitions from cloud-to-ground lightning strikes with any storm given the overall dry conditions. Tue/Wed afternoon's likely sustained (offshore) winds approaching 10-16 mph/12-18 mph, respectively with frequent higher afternoon gusts.
Storms, esp Tue-Wed afternoons will contain gusty/erratic outflows.
Very warm temperatures return with heat indices will increase well into the 90s and L100s - especially Tue thru the end of the week!

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 68 85 70 85 / 0 10 0 40 MCO 69 90 71 92 / 0 10 0 50 MLB 71 85 72 86 / 10 10 0 40 VRB 69 87 71 88 / 10 20 0 40 LEE 68 89 72 92 / 0 10 0 40 SFB 68 89 70 90 / 0 10 0 50 ORL 70 90 71 91 / 0 10 0 50 FPR 68 87 70 87 / 10 20 0 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Canova Beach
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Sat -- 04:59 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:47 AM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:12 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:33 PM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet

Patrick Air Force Base
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Sat -- 04:47 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:36 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:00 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:22 PM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet

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