Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Satellite Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:18PM Saturday September 23, 2017 5:47 PM EDT (21:47 UTC) Moonrise 9:15AMMoonset 8:46PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas building to 6 to 9 feet with a dominant period 15 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet with a dominant period 14 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 8 to 11 feet with a dominant period 14 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 336 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis..Hazardous conditions for small craft operation are expected tonight, then extend into early next week as hurricane maria moves northward to the east of the bahamas and reaches to offshore the carolinas. A moderate to fresh northeast to north breeze and large swells can be expected over the weekend, then swells will be slow to subside into the middle to latter part of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas gradually building 7 to 9 feet north of sebastian inlet late tonight into Saturday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday september 22nd. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Satellite Beach, FL
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location: 28.17, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 231930
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
330 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

Discussion
Locally heavy rain possible along the east coast overnight...

Hazardous surf and strong rip currents expected through
Monday...

tonight... Hurricane maria is forecast to move nnw overnight and
remain well offshore about 450 miles east of CAPE canaveral by
sunrise. Low level ene winds will increase to near 20 knots across
the atlantic allowing shower bands to develop and move onshore
along the coast mainly from brevard county south to the treasure
coast. The 12z NAM and GFS are in good agreement indicating
brevard and indian river county to be the focus area for coastal
showers while the higher resolution convection allowing models
indicate the treasure coast to be favored. Will have pops around
50 percent from brevard south along the coast with some locally
heavy rainfall expected in spots into Sunday morning along the
east coast. Will carry a low pop into portions of the interior
overnight including orlando with higher coverage making it inland
from osceola to okeechobee county. Lows will average in the lower
to mid 70s interior and mid to upper 70s near the east coast.

Sunday... Hurricane maria will move nnw offshore of east central fl
with increasingly high surf expected to impact the beaches along
with a high risk or rip currents. The high surf will also begin to
bring some erosion to the beaches likely around the time of high
tide at mid day. Low level winds will be northeast with scattered
showers likely ongoing in the morning along the coast and then
moving southwestward into the interior by afternoon with the
highest coverage across the SRN interior. Will continue a slight
chance for a lightning storm generally from the CAPE south and
into the interior in the afternoon. Considerable cloud cover near
the east coast in the morning will spread inland by afternoon.

Highs upper 80s coast to around 90 interior sections.

Monday-Tuesday... Winds will turn more northerly on Monday as maria
continues to move northward well east of florida. Drier air will
begin to filter into the area, but enough moisture will still be
present for a slight chance of showers in the afternoon and evening
along the east coast sea breeze primarily from southern lake county
to titusville southward. Have also included a slight chance of
thunderstorms for okeechobee, st. Lucie, and martin counties. The
airmass continues to dry out further overnight Monday into Tuesday
and most areas again will remain dry on Tuesday. However, there
will be enough moisture lingering over southern areas to mention a
slight chance of showers as the east coast sea breeze moves inland
during the afternoon and early evening. There will be quite a bit
of mid-level dry air to overcome so thunder has been left out of the
forecast for Tuesday. Dangerous surf and rip currents will continue
at area beaches.

Highs Monday will be be in the upper 80s near the coast and around
90 inland and a degree or two warmer on Tuesday. Lows will be in low
to mid 70s.

Wednesday-Friday (from previous)... Anomalously low moisture levels,
courtesy of drier north flow on the backside of TC maria, will keep
precip chances below climatology through the period. No more than
isolated showers (pops 20% or less) are advertised at this time,
with most locales expected to remain dry through the week. A
weakening pressure gradient into mid-week will lower winds, becoming
light at times. MAX temps will be near climo in the upper 80s near
90. Min temps in the low to mid 70s. Dangerous surf and rip currents
will continue at the beaches through early next week.

Aviation
Sct shra isold tsra will move from the atlc toward the interior
terminals into the evening and then focus near the ktix-ksua
corridor from late evening into the overnight hours. Some locally
heavy rain with showers will lower CIGS vsbys to MVFR with the
passing showers. Atlantic convergence showers are expected to
affect the ktix-kfpr corridor into Sunday morning before moving
into the interior the afternoon. There will still be a low shra
chance for NRN interior terminals into the evening and then again
Sunday afternoon.

Marine
Tonight... Larger swells from hurricane maria will begin to impact
the east central florida atlantic waters tonight with seas
building over 10 feet offshore and 6 to 8 ft across the near
shore waters after midnight. A small craft advisory continues in
effect for all marine zones.

Sunday... Hurricane maria will make its closest approach to east
central florida on Sunday about 450 miles offshore and will
continue moving nnw through the afternoon. Swells will continue to
build to 7 to 9 feet near shore and 10 to 13 feet across the
offshore waters. The seas will be hazardous for small craft and an
advisory remains in effect.

Mon-wed... Seas will remain at or above SCA criteria through the
period as large swells from maria continue to move into the local
waters, though they will gradually subside into mid week. Nearshore
seas 6-9 feet mon, 5-8 tue, and 4-7 on wed. Offshore seas 8-12
feet mon, 7-10 tue, and 6-9 wed. Winds will become northerly
around 10 knots leading to less of a wind chop.

Hydrology
Moderate to major flooding continues on the st johns river with
river levels forecast to remain nearly steady then continue a slow
fall into the weekend and early next week. The river level at the
st johns west of cocoa has nearly reached the peak level set after
tropical storm fay with flooding impacts reported. Shingle creek
at campbell has dropped below flood stage and is expected to drop
below action stage by Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 86 74 88 20 20 20 10
mco 74 89 73 90 20 30 10 20
mlb 77 88 75 89 40 40 10 20
vrb 75 89 75 88 40 40 10 20
lee 73 91 73 92 10 20 10 10
sfb 74 89 73 90 20 20 10 10
orl 74 90 72 91 20 20 10 20
fpr 76 88 74 89 40 40 10 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... High surf advisory until 4 am edt Monday for coastal volusia
county-indian river-martin-northern brevard county-southern
brevard county-st. Lucie.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Monday for flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Volkmer
mid long term... .Combs
aviation... Johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi47 min E 14 G 19 74°F 83°F1013.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 17 mi26 min 83°F5 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 33 mi37 min NE 18 G 21 83°F 83°F1012.7 hPa76°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 48 mi47 min 83°F5 ft
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 97 mi53 min ENE 5.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL4 mi1.8 hrsENE 15 G 237.00 miLight Rain77°F73°F89%1012.2 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL4 mi54 minENE 96.00 miRain81°F75°F85%1011.1 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL21 mi49 minE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F74°F75%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE13NE9NE9E7NE8E9E9E8NE7NE4NE4NE4NE4NE8NE32NW6NW7N7NE11NE11E9NE10
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2 days agoNE10E7E8E9E7--E7E4E5E6NE3NE2E3NE3NE4E5NE8NE9NE9NE10NE8NE8NE9NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:27 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:37 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:51 PM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:48 PM EDT     4.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.62.71.70.90.50.51.122.93.84.34.443.22.31.510.81.21.92.73.54.14.2

Tide / Current Tables for Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Cocoa Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:15 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:29 AM EDT     4.40 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:39 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:40 PM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.42.41.40.70.30.51.1233.84.34.33.8321.20.70.71.11.92.73.544.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.