Wednesday, February21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Satellite Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 6:19PM Wednesday February 21, 2018 7:49 PM EST (00:49 UTC) Moonrise 10:37AMMoonset 11:53PM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 345 Pm Est Wed Feb 21 2018
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 345 Pm Est Wed Feb 21 2018
Synopsis..A strong high pressure ridge centered over the west atlantic ocean will generate a gentle to moderate southeast breeze across the local waters through Friday. These winds will place portions of the treasure coast waters within the shadow of the north bahamas, resulting in rough, short period wind waves and poor boating conditions. Small craft operators will need to exercise caution.
Gulf stream hazards..East to southeast winds around 15 knots with seas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday february 19th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Satellite Beach, FL
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location: 28.17, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 211945
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
245 pm est Wed feb 21 2018

Discussion
Tonight-Thursday...

highly amplified mid upr lvl pattern prevails over the CONUS with
troffing over the mountain west and ridging over the eastern
seaboard. Little change anticipated as the western trof is
reinforced by a 120kt meridional jet streak digging into the pacnw,
while a 100kt zonal jet over the baja peninsula lifts into the rio
grande valley SRN plains. Large scale mid upr lvl SW flow acrs the
gomex SE CONUS will continue, generating a warm air advection pattern
thru the h85-h50 lyr, that in turn, will reinforce the deep lyr
ridge axis over the W atlc.

No sig change to the current mild dry wx pattern as the atlc ridge
axis maintains a steady E SE flow thru the h100-h70 lyr acrs the fl
peninsula. Upstream analysis shows sparse low mid lvl moisture with
h100-h70 mean rh btwn 50-60pct and h85-h50 dewpoint depressions btwn
25-30c. Convergent wake eddys forming downwind of the NRN bahamas
may allow a few, brief low-topped shras to form over the gulf
stream, but such precip generally does not survive for long once
they push into the cooler shelf waters. Those that do survive their
trek onshore have minimal impact with QPF blo 0.10".

Onshore component will keep sfc dewpoints in the m u60s... Suggesting
min temps half a cat higher (arnd 15f abv avg). Thu MAX temps
similar to today's with l80s east of i-95... M80s to the west.

Thu night-sat...

dominant high pressure over the central atlantic remains stationary
through the period, as ridge axis positioned over north fl
maintains a SE flow regime. Relatively dry conditions persist, with
highest rainfall chances on Thu night mainly for marine and coastal
areas, and slight chance Fri thru sat. Warmer than normal
temperatures continue, with most areas seeing highs nearly 10
degrees above normal. Along the coast, highs in the low 80s to the
mid 80s for the interior. Mild overnight lows in the mid 60s.

Sun-wed(modified previous)...

mid upper level ridge across florida remains through the weekend
into early next week. However, this feature is compressed by cutoff
low moving through the upper great lakes early Sunday, and deeper
trough moving through the midwest into Sunday night Monday. Surface
ridge axis north of the area gradually settles southward across
florida into Sunday and Monday. Enough moisture may be present on
Sunday and Monday to generate some low-topped showers during the
afternoon along the sea breezes but a lot of dry air aloft will keep
coverage isolated. A cold front moves into the southeast and
weakens decelerates into early next week and may slowly cross
central florida into Tuesday with onshore flow behind this system.

This will increase moisture and rain chances toward the middle of
next week. Warmer than normal conditions will continue through the
period.

Aviation Thru 22 18z.

Sfc winds: thru 22 00z... Coastal sites E SE 9-13kts with ocnl g18-
22kts... Interior sites E SE 7-11kts. Btwn 22 00z-22 03z... Coastal
sites bcmg E SE 8-12kts... Interior sites bcmg E SE 5-8kts. Btwn
22 03z-22 06z... Coastal sites bcmg E SE 4-7kts... Interior sites bcmg
e SE AOB 3kts. Btwn 22 12z-22-15z... Bcmg E SE 8-12kts... E of kvrb-
kobe ocnl g18-22kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 22 02z... LCL cigs btwn fl035-050. Btwn
22 08z-22 14z... N of kism-ktix areas MVFR LCL ifr vsbys in br.

Marine
Tonight-thu... Marginal boating conds high pres ridge over the W atlc
maintains a gentle to moderate E SE acrs the region. Data buoys c-
man stations slow winds have diminished to 10-15kts, gusting higher
near the coast due to the east coast sea breeze. Seas measuring 3-
5ft seas with dominant arnd 7sec... Suggesting seas up to 6ft psbl in
the gulf stream. Tighter pgrad over south fl will generate slightly
stronger winds south of sebastian inlet, while the E SE component
places the treasure coast waters in the shadow of the NRN bahamas,
resulting in lclly rough conditions south of ft. Pierce. Small craft
operators should exercise caution when operating in the gulf stream.

Fri-sat... The axis of the atlc high pres ridge will remain draped
over north fl from mid to late week, generating a gentle to moderate
e SE breeze. Pressure gradient will be support 10-14 knots across
the north and 15-19 knots across the southern waters.

So small craft will frequently need to exercise caution south of
sebastian inlet but do not expect a small craft advisory will be
needed. Seas 3-5ft wed, building to 5-6ft in the gulf stream by
daybreak Thu into Sat as the persistent erly flow begins to push
increasing swells into the adjacent coastal waters. Isolated showers
from time to time.

Sun-mon... Winds will be more southerly with ridge axis being pushed
farther south ahead of approaching weak frontal boundary. Southerly
winds will be around 5-10 kt in the nearshore waters and closer to
10 kt in the offshore waters. 3-4 ft seas nearshore will subside to
2-4 ft by Monday with 4-6 ft seas in the offshore waters subsiding
to 3-4 ft by Monday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 69 80 65 79 0 0 20 20
mco 69 87 65 84 0 0 10 20
mlb 73 83 70 81 10 10 20 10
vrb 72 83 69 82 10 10 20 10
lee 70 86 65 84 0 0 10 20
sfb 68 85 65 83 0 0 10 20
orl 69 87 66 85 0 0 10 20
fpr 72 83 69 81 10 10 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
mid term... ... ... ... ..Smith
long term... ... ... ... .Combs
wfo tbw back-up... ... .Volkmer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi49 min E 5.1 G 8 73°F 74°F1029.8 hPa (+0.6)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 17 mi56 min 73°F3 ft
SIPF1 23 mi49 min ESE 14 74°F 75°F1029 hPa (+1.0)
41118 30 mi49 min 73°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 33 mi39 min ESE 16 G 19 75°F 74°F1028.7 hPa69°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 48 mi49 min 75°F4 ft
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 97 mi61 min E 6 G 8

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL4 mi53 minESE 1010.00 miFair74°F72°F94%1028.5 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL4 mi56 minE 910.00 miLight Rain76°F70°F82%1027.9 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL21 mi53 minESE 1010.00 miFair73°F68°F87%1028.4 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10SE12SE10SE12SE11SE10SE8SE8SE7SE7SE8E8E7E7SE6SE7SE6E8E7SE8SE7SE7E7E10
1 day agoE9E9SE12E11SE11SE10SE10SE11SE10SE9SE10SE11SE11SE10SE8SE6SE9SE9SE10SE9E7SE9SE11E10
2 days agoNE8NE5E8SE7SE7SE8SE6E6SE8SE8SE7E8SE9E8SE8SE9SE8SE9E9E8E8E7E8SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:16 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:23 AM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:43 PM EST     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:17 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:52 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.12.61.80.90.3-00.10.61.42.22.83.13.12.61.910.2-0.3-0.4-00.71.62.42.9

Tide / Current Tables for Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Cocoa Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:04 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:55 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:37 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:15 AM EST     3.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:31 PM EST     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:17 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:52 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 11:57 PM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.41.60.80.2-00.20.71.52.22.83.132.51.70.90.1-0.3-0.20.20.91.72.42.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.