Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Palm Shores, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 5:29PM Monday December 10, 2018 7:55 PM EST (00:55 UTC) Moonrise 9:44AMMoonset 8:30PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 354 Pm Est Mon Dec 10 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Tuesday evening...
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 354 Pm Est Mon Dec 10 2018
Synopsis..A reinforcing front will cross the waters tonight into early Tuesday, with northwest winds strengthening and producing poor to hazardous boating conditions across the waters through at least Tuesday night. Winds will veer onshore into mid-week and decrease briefly before veering to the south and increasing into late week ahead of another approaching strong cold front.
Gulf stream hazards..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 9th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm Shores, FL
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location: 28.18, -80.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 102052
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
352 pm est Mon dec 10 2018

Discussion
Remaining dry and colder than normal through early this
week...

tonight-Tuesday... Low pressure off the carolina coast will shift
farther offshore into the open atlantic as S W trough to the north
sharpens and moves through the area into Tuesday. Pressure
gradient will tighten between this low to the northeast and high
pressure to the west, which will strengthen low level NW winds
overnight and reinforce the colder drier airmass in place through
tomorrow. Temperatures will fall into the low 40s across much of
the area tonight, with a few normally colder locations across the
interior potentially falling into the upper 30s. Lower cloud deck
may hold on through tonight over northern portions of east central
florida, especially northern lake and volusia counties. However,
farther south models continue to indicate the cloud cover
decreasing, becoming partly cloudy to mostly clear.

As mid level S W trough swings through Tuesday and drier air
continues to work into the area, these lower clouds should finally
dissipate, with skies becoming sunny into afternoon. Even with
full sunshine, however, temps will still be much cooler than
normal with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Tue night... Surface high pressure near the fl panhandle Tue evening
will drift toward the NRN peninsula by late Tue night. Light winds
and mostly clear skies will allow temperatures to drop rapidly after
sunset. Lows will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the
interior and mid to upper 40s along the immediate treasure coast.

Have included patchy frost portions of lake and interior volusia
counties.

Wed... Surface high pressure across the northern peninsula will drift
east through the afternoon. After a cold start temperatures will
rebound into the mid-upper 60s north to the lower 70s for okeechobee
and the treasure coast in the afternoon. A dry airmass across the
region will allow for mostly sunny skies north with some marine
cloudiness moving onshore across the treasure coast into afternoon.

Thu (prev)... Med range guid suggests the development of a weak
coastal trough early Thu with feature responsible for some lower
cloudiness and perhaps a coastal shower early Thu and into the aftn.

Moisture is showing a marked increase areawide during Thu as an
upstream disturbance begins to approach the region coupled with more
robust sly component winds. Pops have been capped at sct coverage by
late Thu as next system approaches the area.

Extended (previous)... Notable pattern chg advertised late in the
week over the east by GFS and euro guidance as a strong shortwave
moving across the great plains pinches off as a closed low over the
lower ms valley and quickly transits toward the SE states during fri
into Fri night. Storms will be carried for the local area during at
least two periods Fri fri night with an appreciable warm sector and
strong wind fields accompanying approach of the potent feature.

Forecasts are likely to adjust to timing of system as the mid to
late week approaches. Post frontal cooling will occur behind
departing feature early next week.

Aviation MVFR CIGS likely to hold on across northern portions
of east central florida, especially klee to kdab into this
evening, while farther southVFR conditions should persist tonight
into tomorrow with cloud cover decreasing. However, MOS guidance
is not handling this low cloud deck well, and it will not be until
late tomorrow morning before drier air can completely erode these
lower clouds across the region withVFR conditions firmly in place
area-wide Tuesday afternoon.

Marine
Tonight-tue... Northwest winds will strengthen into late tonight
through tomorrow, up to around 20 knots nearshore and 20-25 knots
offshore. Seas will increase from these increasing winds and a ne
swell with wave heights building up to 7 to 9 feet. SCA will
continue just for the offshore waters through much of tonight, and
will then expand into the nearshore late tonight, with SCA over
the entire waters through Tuesday afternoon.

Wed-thu (modified)... High pressure approaching the region into wed
will allow for winds and seas to diminish into late wed
afternoon Wed evening before onset of next approaching system
over the lwr ms valley by fri.

Extended... Increasing winds into Fri and persisting with passage of
low pressure front late Fri or early Sat will bring locally strong
wind gusts associated with storms, then headlines for post frontal
winds seas for a portion of the upcoming weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 40 58 39 64 10 10 0 0
mco 41 61 41 68 10 0 0 0
mlb 41 61 42 69 0 10 0 0
vrb 42 62 46 71 0 10 0 0
lee 40 59 39 67 10 0 0 0
sfb 40 60 40 67 10 0 0 0
orl 41 60 43 68 10 0 0 0
fpr 42 62 46 71 0 10 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 4 pm est Tuesday for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 am to 10 pm est Tuesday for
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard
county line to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm est Tuesday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Weitlich
long term impact wx... Volkmer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 17 mi55 min 67°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi37 min NW 8.9 G 12 52°F 68°F1021.6 hPa
SIPF1 26 mi40 min NW 12 56°F 57°F1021 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 35 mi35 min WNW 18 G 25 56°F 1020.3 hPa48°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 94 mi55 min NNW 4.1 G 7

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL6 mi59 minNW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds54°F45°F74%1020.4 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL6 mi62 minNW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F45°F74%1020 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL21 mi59 minNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds51°F42°F71%1019.9 hPa
Titusville, FL24 mi68 minNW 57.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F42°F67%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--W13W10W10W11W11W14W12NW14NW19NW15W11W15NW13
G20
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NW11W14NW13NW12NW14NW11
1 day agoSE9S8SE8SE7SE8SE9SE9----S8S10S9S12S12S13S12SW11S8SW13SW16SW15SW12SW10SW11
2 days agoN7N6N5N5N7N6N4NW7NW6NW4NW4NW5NW3NW3CalmNW6NW5NE5NE6NE4E3SE6SE8SE9

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:19 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:35 AM EST     3.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:42 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:52 PM EST     0.73 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:30 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:39 PM EST     3.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.30.60.20.30.91.72.63.43.943.62.92.11.40.90.711.62.333.53.53.2

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:06 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:24 AM EST     4.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:43 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:40 PM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:30 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:28 PM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.10.50.20.411.92.83.6443.52.821.20.80.71.11.72.53.23.63.53.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.