Saturday, November18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 5:29PM Saturday November 18, 2017 9:07 AM EST (14:07 UTC) Moonrise 6:45AMMoonset 5:58PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 307 Am Est Sat Nov 18 2017
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Showers likely.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 307 Am Est Sat Nov 18 2017
Synopsis..Boating conditions will gradually improve over the weekend as high pressure settles over central florida. Winds and seas will build once again Sunday night into Monday behind a cold front.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday november 16th. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 35 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 180710
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
211 am est Sat nov 18 2017

Discussion
Current... 915 mhz CAPE wind profilers show deep easterly flow above
the surface through around 7.0 kft with speeds between 10 and 15
kts. Water vapor imagery shows very dry air across the southern half
of the peninsula with area 00z soundings from the past evening
showing pwats of around 0.70 inches. Conditions remain dry over the
region to include the local coastal waters. Temperatures generally
in the 50s over the interior volusia coast and l-m60s along the
space treasure coasts. Winds either light variable or calm across
ecfl. Will monitor north west of i-4 for some early morning patchy
fog.

Today-tonight... Initial northwest flow aloft becomes zonal overnight
with the approach of an upper trough to the north. Pwat values will
remain below one inch through the day but will begin to increase
toward sunrise Sun morning with the approach of a surface cold
front. Surface high pressure along the mid atlc coast will get
nudged into the western atlc early this morning with the approach of
the upper trough cold front. The surface boundary will position
itself across the northern fl peninsula by sunrise Sun morning.

Present light onshore flow will continue to veer over the next 24
hours becoming S ssw by early evening. The pressure gradient remains
weak with wind speeds approaching 10 mph at times during the
afternoon. Winds will fall to light again this evening overnight.

With the scant moisture and lack of mid upper level support expect
another dry day night. Msunny skies again this morning with
occasional marine stratocu clouds moving onto the east coast.

A warmer day is forecast with highs generally near 80 degrees to
lower 80s areawide. Lows in the middle upper 50s to around 60
degrees across the interior volusia coast and lower 60s along the
space and treasure coasts. Again, will not include any patchy fog
mention for late overnight into early Sun morning, though guidance
does suggest some shallow, patchy ground fog, especially
along northwest of i-4. Will defer to the day shift if they feel
confident for inclusion.

Sunday-Monday... High pressure well east of the carolinas will
continue to move out to sea ahead of a cold front approaching the
east coast and northern florida early Sunday morning.

Moisture associated with this frontal boundary will not be overly
impressive and pretty shallow in nature resulting in only 20-30%
precip chances areawide. Clouds and rain chances will increase from
north to south as the day progresses beginning after sunrise Sunday
morning along and north of the i-4 corridor. Areas farther south
will see the best rain chances in the late morning through late
afternoon with the treasure coast back through okeechobee county
remaining dry through late afternoon. Some showers could stick
around for the treasure coast through early overnight Sunday before
coming to an end.

Behind the front, winds will turn northwesterly and then northerly
as high pressure builds in over the gulf coast states. This will
bring much drier air into the area beginning late Sunday afternoon
for northern areas into overnight Sunday for the far southern areas
with skies quickly clearing out as the drier airmass overtakes east
central florida. Low temperatures on Monday morning will be pretty
chilly with mid to upper 40s possible north of i-4. Lows will
generally be low to mid 50s all other areas with upper 50s to low
60s for the treasure coast.

The area of high pressure will continue to slide eastward on Monday
with winds becoming northeasterly to easterly with breezy conditions
along the coast. Skies will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with
no rain in the forecast and highs in the low to mid 70s.

Tuesday... High pressure pushes off the mid atlantic coast with
return flow developing as the front over south florida lifts back to
the north. Guidance shows an increase in moisture and low level
convergence near the boundary, expect an uptick in precipitation
chances areawide along with a low chance for thunder that will
remain confined to the coastal waters. Pops at 50% given the
uncertainty in the amount of surface development.

Wednesday-Saturday... The unsettled pattern continues as a second,
stronger trough digs into the gulf of mexico and develops into a
closed low. Guidance indicates a slightly more progressive trough
compared to their earlier run with low pressure making its closest
approach late Thursday.

Aviation Continued mainlyVFR. Some shallow, patchy fog may
develop early this morning, mainly northwest of the i-4 corridor,
producing tempo MVFR visibilities.

Marine Today-tonight... Surface high pressure will pull away from
the mid atlc coast today with the approach of an upper
trough surface front combo. Initial ese winds will continue to veer
to the SE S into early evening, then southwest overnight with the
approach of the aforementioned cold front that will lie across the
northern fl peninsula by daybreak Sun morning. Wind speeds generally
aob 15 kts with a weaker pgrad in place. Seas 3-4 ft along the
immediate coast and 4-5 ft over the open atlc.

Sunday-Monday... Gradually deteriorating boating conditions from
north to south through the day Sunday as a cold front moves through
the area. Southwest to westerly winds will turn northwesterly and
northerly 15-20 knots nearshore and around 20 knots offshore as the
front passes. Seas build to 4-6 feet Sunday night into Monday
morning with 6-7 feet near the gulf stream. Conditions should
improve somewhat through the day on Monday as winds are forecast to
decrease slightly with seas gradually subsiding.

Tuesday-Wednesday... Winds veer to the southeast on Tuesday as the
old front over south florida returns north as a warm front. Models
indicate a weak inverted trough developing along the boundary which
will weaken winds from 15-20 knots early Tuesday to around 10 knots
Wednesday. Seas slowly improve from 5-7 feet early Tuesday to 3-5
feet by Wednesday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 81 60 75 47 0 0 30 0
mco 82 60 80 51 0 0 30 0
mlb 80 60 81 53 0 0 20 10
vrb 81 60 84 57 0 0 20 20
lee 81 60 75 47 0 0 30 0
sfb 82 60 77 49 0 0 30 0
orl 81 60 78 51 0 0 30 0
fpr 80 58 82 56 0 0 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Sedlock
long term impact weather... Johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41118 25 mi67 min 71°F3 ft
SIPF1 28 mi37 min NW 4.1 68°F 70°F1018 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi37 min E 5.8 G 9.7 75°F 78°F1017.2 hPa59°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi69 minNW 610.00 miFair68°F64°F88%1017.7 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi74 minW 310.00 miFair64°F62°F93%1017.3 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi69 minW 310.00 miFair65°F61°F90%1017.2 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi80 minW 57.00 miClear63°F60°F94%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8N11N12N13N11NE11NE10NE5NE7NE5NE5NE6E9E5E8E5CalmW3NW6NW5W4NW7NW6NW3
1 day agoN13N12
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N10N9NW10N8NW8NW6NW8NW10NW10N9N10N10N11N10N11N9
2 days agoN12N14N12
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Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Sat -- 01:03 AM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:44 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:17 AM EST     4.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:30 PM EST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:19 PM EST     4.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.30.51.22.23.34.14.54.43.932.11.30.80.81.32.133.84.24.13.62.81.8

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:12 AM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:42 AM EST     New Moon
Sat -- 06:44 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:26 AM EST     4.40 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:37 PM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:58 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:32 PM EST     4.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.20.41.1233.84.34.33.832.11.30.80.71.222.83.5443.62.81.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.