Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 8:13PM Thursday May 25, 2017 4:13 PM EDT (20:13 UTC) Moonrise 5:28AMMoonset 7:10PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 334 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 334 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
Synopsis..West to northwest winds behind a late season cool front will diminish, allowing seas to subside overnight as high pressure begins to build into central florida behind the front. Favorable boating conditions expected through the memorial day holiday weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 22nd. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 251947
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
345 pm edt Thu may 25 2017

Discussion
Dry weather expected for the memorial day weekend with a
moderate threat for rip currents expected...

current-tonight... Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
across the far southern treasure coast continue to push
northeastward off of the coast this afternoon. This trend of
precipitation sagging southward will continue as a weak cool frontal
boundary presses southward down the peninsula this afternoon. The
front and associated precipitation is being aided by a large upper
trough across the deep south. This feature will continue to swing
northeastward and away from the region this evening. Precipitation
chances will also come to an end southward by this evening.

Northward, drier cooler air will filter down the peninsula behind
the weak surface boundary with thinning clouds. Water vapor imagery
shows very dry air filtering down the state this afternoon behind
the front. Skies will become mclear this evening overnight with
gusty W NW winds decreasing to light areawide.

Lows cooler than recent and generally in the l60s, except m-u60s
along the immediate treasure coast, and cannot rule out some u50s
across normally cooler rural locations of the interior.

Friday... Surface high pressure settles across the area with much
drier air and msunny skies. Warm and dry conditions to continue.

Afternoon highs will reach the mid 80s near the east coast and
around 90 across the interior. Light morning winds will become
onshore along the east coast and light westerly across the interior
with a weaker overall pressure gradient in place.

Previous discussion for days 2-7 follows...

Saturday-Sunday... Surface high pressure ridge axis will extend
across central florida on Sat and slip slightly south on Sunday. The
mid level ridge will build from the gulf of mexico Saturday and then
over the state on Sunday. A dry airmass in the low to mid levels and
subsidence from the ridge aloft will allow for a mostly clear and
hot weekend with high temperatures into the mid 90s across the
interior and lower 90s along the coast. Lows will range from the mid
to upper 60s across cooler interior locations to the lower 70s near
the east coast.

While excellent beach weather is being forecast, high astronomical
tide departures will lead to greater wave runup, and a moderate
threat for rip currents in the surf zone through the upcoming
holiday weekend. Beachgoers are advised to check with their local
beach patrol regarding ocean hazards before entering the water.

Monday... The mid level ridge will shift gradually east of the state
with the surface ridge axis across the southern forecast area.

Though the GFS indicates some slight moistening in the low levels
models precip forecasts remain dry including the ecmwf. Will
continue the dry forecast for another day with highs in the mid 90s
inland and lower 90s near the east coast.

Tuesday-Thursday... The mid level ridge will stretch from S fl ne
across the atlantic with slightly stronger southeast low level flow
around the atlantic ridge. Models indicate gradually deepening
moisture into the mid levels which should start to support diurnally
driven convection each afternoon and early evening along the east
and west coast sea breezes as they move inland each day toward the
interior. Rain chances in the 20-30 percent range Tue should
increase gradually to 30-40 percent for Wed thu. High temperatures
are expected in the upper 80s around 90 coast and mid 90s for the
interior Tuesday and then lowering a few degrees into mid week with
expected scattered afternoon convection and higher diurnal cloud
cover keeping highs in the upper 80s coast to lower 90s inland. Lows
generally in the lower to mid 70s for mid week.

Aviation The weak surface trough continues to slowly sag
southward across the central peninsula this afternoon. Shower and
storm activity will continue to diminish southward down the
peninsula as drier cooler air filter in behind the weak boundary.

Until convection clears dissipates later today expect ifr MVFR
cigs vsbys in association, especially from kfpr southward. Gusty
w NW winds will become light tonight. Light morning winds on fri
will become onshore near the coast and westerly over the interior
remaining fairly light with a weaker pressure gradient in place.

Conditions on Fri remain dry with msunny skies with high pressure in
place overhead.

Marine Today-tonight... Will go ahead and expire the SCA with
afternoon package issuance as it appears both winds and seas have
fallen below advisory criteria and perhaps cautionary criteria too.

West winds will veer wnw NW tonight. Wind speeds generally AOB 15
kts. Seas will fall to 2-3 ft near shore and offshore legs 3-4 ft.

Offshore moving shower and storm activity will end south of fort
pierce inlet by early this evening. Choppy dominant wave periods
between 4-6 seconds will improve to 6-8 seconds overnight.

Friday... High pressure settles across the area with a weaker
pressure gradient in place. Winds generally AOB 10 kts areawide.

Nw directional component in the morning will become onshore in the
afternoon. Seas around 2 ft near shore and 2-3 ft offshore.

Saturday-Tuesday... Winds will be influenced by the nearby atlantic
ridge this weekend with winds generally 10 knots or less except
becoming SE up to 10-15 knots with the east coast sea breeze each
afternoon into the early evening. Seas 1-2 ft near shore and up to 2-
3 ft offshore. Dry weather should allow for good boating conditions.

Fire weather On Friday, high pressure and a weaker pressure
gradient will settle across ecfl. Much drier air will filter down
the peninsula with min rhs falling to 25-34pct for 3-4 hours over
the interior during the afternoon. Winds will generally be lighter
with light westerly flow over the interior and winds becoming
onshore near the coast by afternoon with east coast sea breeze
development and slow penetration inland. Headlines not anticipated.

Memorial day weekend... Winds will remain light, with an afternoon
sea breeze each day. Rh values west of i-95 will drop below 40
percent Saturday, reaching around 30 percent well inland. Some
shallow modification will keep min values between 35 and 40 percent
in this same area on Sunday, with no low rh concerns by Monday.;

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 60 86 64 88 0 0 0 0
mco 62 89 65 94 0 0 0 0
mlb 63 86 69 89 0 0 0 0
vrb 64 85 69 89 0 0 0 0
lee 64 89 64 93 0 0 0 0
sfb 62 89 64 94 0 0 0 0
orl 65 89 66 94 0 0 0 0
fpr 63 86 69 89 0 0 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Sedlock
dss long term impact wx... Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi44 min W 6 G 11 85°F 80°F1011.9 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi23 min 75°F1 ft
SIPF1 28 mi29 min WSW 9.9 79°F 1012 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi34 min N 7.8 G 9.7 77°F 77°F1012 hPa67°F
41116 29 mi44 min 77°F2 ft
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi44 min NNW 7 G 16

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW17
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G25
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SE11
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E11
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi76 minW 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F61°F44%1010.9 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi21 minWSW 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F62°F43%1010.4 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi16 minE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F62°F50%1010.4 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi19 minW 107.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F59°F36%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW17W23
G33
SW12SW16SW17
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SW15SW16SW15SW18SW16
G22
SW15SW16SW13SW10SW9W9
G22
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W16W10W15SW8
1 day agoS13
G22
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G22
SE5S9W9SW8SW12SW11SW13SW10SW12SW13SW13S15SW13S15S14SW15S22
G27
SW18
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S20SW23
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SW8SW13
G25
2 days agoSE17SE18S15S14S14S12S13S12S13S7SW9SW10SW12SW11SW11SW11SW14S13SW14--------S11

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Thu -- 01:43 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:38 AM EDT     4.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:01 PM EDT     -0.90 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.5-0.1-0.30.21.22.33.44.14.23.72.71.50.3-0.6-0.9-0.60.31.62.944.54.43.72.6

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:51 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:55 AM EDT     4.02 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT     -1.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 08:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:37 PM EDT     4.44 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.6-0.1-0.30.11.12.133.843.72.81.60.3-0.6-1.1-0.80.11.32.53.64.34.43.92.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.