Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:51PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:19 PM EST (01:19 UTC) Moonrise 6:48AMMoonset 5:40PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 356 Pm Est Tue Jan 16 2018
.small craft exercise caution tonight...
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon...
Tonight..North winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 356 Pm Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Synopsis..Strong area of high pressure over the central u.s. Will shift southward into tonight, with a gentle to moderate north to northeast breeze becoming north to northwest into tomorrow. Another passing cold front late Wednesday into Wednesday night will return another period of strong northerly winds and hazardous seas to all east central florida atlantic waters.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday january 11. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 162057
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
357 pm est Tue jan 16 2018

Discussion
Tonight-Wednesday... Strong area of high pressure over the central
u.S. Shifts southward and gradually expands east into tomorrow.

Winds respond by backing to the N NW tonight into Wednesday,
eventually increasing late in the day as cold front begins to move
through the area. Lighter winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy
skies will allow temps to fall into the mid to upper 40s over much
of the region, with low 50s along the coast from the CAPE southward.

Model guidance hinting at the potential for late night patchy fog to
form due these more favorable radiational cooling conditions, so
have included mention in the forecast, mainly for the interior.

Highs across northern areas tomorrow may be able to only reach into
the 60s. However with stronger cold air advection still looking to
hold off until very late day into Wednesday night, could see temps
rise into the 70s again, mainly south of orlando. Airmass remains
dry and with the exception of a few showers over the coastal waters,
no rain chances are expected across the region.

Wed night-thu night... Earlier daytime frontal passage will advect
cold air in for Wed night, dropping temperatures 10-15 degrees
below average. Models have trended slightly colder than previous
forecasts, with freezing temperatures along and north of i-4. A
freeze watch has been issued for lake volusia seminole orange
counties for 2 hours or more of freezing temps. Nighttime winds
remain elevated at 5-10 mph, allowing wind chills to drop to the
mid 20s for north and inland areas, to the low to mid 30s for
southern coastal zones.

Dry air behind the front will keep nil precip chances and clear
skies for Thursday with breezy conditions along the coast. Highs
will barely reach the low 50s in northern areas; the treasure coast
will struggle to reach 60.

Another cold night in store on Thursday night, with temps
expected to generally hover just above freezing, with isolated
areas that normally read colder dipping at or below freezing.

While a widespread freeze is not anticipated, light winds at the
surface may allow for areas of frost to develop before sunrise
fri. Lake and volusia counties can expect the coldest temps in the
mid 30s, with areas south of orlando titusville in the low 40s to
upper 40s for the treasure coast.

Fri... MAX temps will begin to moderate Fri as anticyclone to the
north noses into the atlantic, allowing local winds to veer
onshore. Temperatures will remain below normal but not as chilly
as Thu with highs ranging from the upper 50s along the volusia
coast to the upper 60s martin county.

Sat-tue (previous)... Mid-level cut-off over tx weakens
significantly over gulf with minimal impact to fl. Tail end of
next mid-latitude trough passes north of the area late Monday
which may allow a weakening surface boundary to approach cross cwa
late Mon or beyond. Gfs ECMWF differ with degree of moisture
return in advance of feature. For now, will indicate isolated
showers Sunday, increasing to low-end scattered Monday. Temps
moderate to near normal over the weekend and a little above normal
mon.

Aviation MainlyVFR. Patchy fog may form late tonight, mainly
across the interior, producing tempo ifr MVFR conditions.

Marine
Tonight-Wednesday... Wave guidance seems to be overdoing seas,
especially as N NE winds continue to diminish. Will allow small
craft advisory to end with afternoon update, but will continue to
include small craft exercise caution headlines over the open waters,
south of and offshore of the nearshore volusia waters. N NW winds
will then rapidly increase up to 15-20 knots by late afternoon
behind passing cold front, with a small craft advisory going back
into effect for the adjacent atlantic.

Wed night-fri... Strong NW winds behind frontal passage Wed will
create hazardous marine conditions through the period. Seas quickly
build early Thu to 5-7 ft near, 8-10 feet offshore with gusty nw
winds at 20-25 kts. A small craft advisory is issued from late wed
through Thu afternoon. Winds subside late Thu to 5-10 kts, with a
slower response in wave height, decreasing to 3-5 ft by Fri morn.

Weekend... Low level flow is forecast to veer out of the east as
high pressure pushes out over the western atlc with a trailing
ridge axis back to the carolina coast. The pressure gradient will
be a little tighter across the southern waters Sat and produce
about 10 knots with 5-10 knots across the north. The easterly
gradient tightens across all the waters Sunday which will produce
10-15 knots across the north and around 15 knots south. There will
also be isolated showers returning to the forecast, first across
the southern waters Sat then most of the waters sun.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 46 62 31 52 0 0 10 0
mco 47 69 33 55 0 0 10 0
mlb 50 71 38 57 0 0 10 0
vrb 52 72 41 60 0 0 10 0
lee 46 63 30 53 0 0 0 0
sfb 47 68 32 54 0 0 10 0
orl 49 67 32 55 0 0 10 0
fpr 51 73 41 61 10 0 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... Freeze watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning
for coastal volusia county-inland volusia county-northern
lake county-orange-seminole-southern lake county.

Am... Small craft advisory from 4 pm Wednesday to 4 pm est Thursday
for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Weitlich
mid term... .Smith
impact wx long term... Kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi56 min 62°F3 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi49 min N 7 G 12 57°F 62°F1027.1 hPa
41118 25 mi49 min 4 ft
SIPF1 28 mi34 min Calm 61°F 61°F1026 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi39 min NNW 18 G 21 66°F 75°F1024.9 hPa61°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi55 min N 5.1 G 7

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi83 minN 1010.00 miFair58°F56°F93%1025 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi26 minN 1010.00 miFair60°F55°F84%1025.4 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi23 minN 710.00 miFair58°F54°F89%1025.7 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi32 minN 107.00 miClear57°F55°F94%1025.7 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN15N14N11N9N8N7N5N6N6NW5NW8NW8N8N7N5N11N10NE11N8N10N9N10N10N9
1 day agoNW18
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2 days agoNW15NW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Tue -- 12:51 AM EST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:09 AM EST     3.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:22 PM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:40 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:08 PM EST     3.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.200.71.62.53.23.53.42.82.11.30.60.30.30.81.52.32.93.232.51.70.9

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:04 AM EST     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:19 AM EST     3.39 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:30 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:40 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:23 PM EST     3.15 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.4-0.10.51.32.22.93.43.32.821.20.60.20.20.61.32.12.73.13.12.61.80.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.