Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 5:12 AM   Moonset 6:59 PM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 432 Pm Edt Tue May 7 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop.Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Saturday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 432 Pm Edt Tue May 7 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will ridge from the atlantic ocean across the waters through Thursday, with minimal rain chances and winds remaining less than 15 knots. A weak frontal boundary will wash out over the waters late in the week, bringing a slight increase in winds and elevating rain chances Friday through the weekend.

FXUS62 KTBW 071758 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 158 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 154 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Minimal changes to the pattern for the next couple of days as high pressure over the western Atlantic remains in control. Ridging aloft will also continue to build over the area today and tomorrow, supporting the unseasonably warm temperatures and lack of rain. A sturdier west coast sea breeze will push any shower development further east once contact with the east coast sea breeze is established. Given the dry conditions of the atmosphere, showers and storms will be very isolated, if they get going at all. The pattern holds steady through Thursday, with afternoon temperatures well into the 90s each day, and minimal PoPs.

Moving into Friday a weak cold front dips into Florida, bringing a bit of added moisture and increased chances of rain, especially for areas north of I4. This front is expected to stall to the south, keeping rain chances elevated through the weekend. Another system early next week moving in from the Gulf of Mexico, looks to bring more significant rain chances, but it is still too early to tell the specifics of that system as of now.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 154 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

VFR conditions prevail. SE winds will increase and move onshore as the afternoon sea breeze develops. Dry conditions, and a weak east coast sea breeze should keep any convection well east of TAF sites, except maybe LAL.

MARINE
Issued at 154 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

With the high pressure ridge across Florida, winds will continue to be mostly out of the S/SE before turning onshore each afternoon with sea breeze development. Rain stays away from the waters until Friday when a weak cold front moves over the northern waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 154 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

No major fire weather concerns through the period, even with critically low RH values, winds will remain below criteria.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 90 77 89 / 0 10 0 0 FMY 74 93 74 92 / 0 10 0 0 GIF 71 95 73 95 / 10 10 0 0 SRQ 72 89 75 87 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 66 92 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 77 88 78 88 / 0 0 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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New Port Richey
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Tue -- 01:13 AM EDT     3.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:21 AM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:27 PM EDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:16 PM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:24 PM EDT     New Moon
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