Wednesday, May23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Windsor, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:10PM Wednesday May 23, 2018 6:40 AM EDT (10:40 UTC) Moonrise 1:39PMMoonset 1:45AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ572 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 20-60 Nm- 353 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 9 to 10 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 353 Am Edt Wed May 23 2018
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge axis, extending from bermuda into the carolinas, will sag south toward florida through late week. This will produce a moderate southeast breeze with deep tropical moisture across the area. Boating conditions are expected to deteriorate again heading into memorial day weekend with weak surface low development over the gulf of mexico. Expect increasing winds and building seas with higher shower and isolated lightning storm chances.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 21st. 38 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Windsor, FL
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location: 28.38, -78.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230750
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
350 am edt Wed may 23 2018

Discussion
Tropical moisture to bring heavy rain threats from late week
through the weekend...

current... Quieter early this morning from a radar perspective
compared with previous mornings. Biggest threat for remainder of
late night and early morning for any additional precipitation will
be over the treasure coast and adjacent coastal waters. Still very
humid with temperatures dewpoints in the u60s to l70s areawide. 915
mhz CAPE wind profilers show persistent serly flow averaging 10-15
kts from just off the deck thru around 6.5 kft. East-west oriented
surface atlantic ridging remains north of ecfl and deep moisture
continues across the region.

Today-tonight... The atlantic surface ridge axis does sink a little
more toward ecfl over the next 24 hours. This will provide for a
weaker pressure gradient over the area. Surface winds continue
ese SE today with speeds approaching 7-12 mph at their highest this
afternoon. Some drier pwats across much of the area today between
1.50-1.60 inches, though some values may still linger a bit higher
over the treasure coast and around lake okeechobee at 1.70-1.80
inches.

Local short-range models continue to show a drier day overall for
much of ecfl and will go with a 20pct chance of showers along the
immediate space volusia coasts with 25-40pct pops most every where
else. Locations with highest overall precip chances appear to be
southern osceola, okeechobee, and western st. Lucie martin counties.

Any rainfall will still need to be monitored as much of the area
remains fairly saturated and any additional amounts may quickly lead
to nuisance flooding of low-lying areas, especially across the
treasure coast.

Mos guidance trending warmer today as we may see more peaks of
sunshine than recent days. Will keep l80s along the immediate coast
and trend upwards to m-u80s into the interior. Overnight lows
maintain their persistence and will range from the u60s to l70s.

Late week... Developing low pressure is forecast to slowly emerge
over the southern gulf from the yucatan area late this week. Med
range guidance is muddled ATTM with movements and degree of
central development. GFS wl be discounted ATTM due to disparity in
its ensemble members, apparent feedback, and deviation from
ec cmc as noted by recent wpc hemispheric discussion.

Regardless of discrete development, the regional forecast regime
with deep tropical moisture ushering nwd favors numerous showers
and occasional storms daily late this week and through the weekend
with this most favored wet season forecast regime continuing over
already rain soaked grounds in many places. A flood watch will be
likely for portions of east central fl by late this week.

Extended... From memorial day onward into next week a minimum of
sct coverage of showers and storms will continue with sly flow
pattern indicated and plenty of available moisture to generate
diurnally forced pcpn. Rain soaked grounds will continue to bring
a sensitive period well into next week depending on where the
daily rain potential becomes focused due to boundaries
interaction.

Aviation
Small threat for MVFR near 3-5sm bkn025 in any coastal showers
along the vrb-sua coastal corridor thru early morning. Ese se
winds averaging 7-12 kts over ecfl today. Drier overall today with
greatest convective threat southward toward s-c fl and inland
from the treasure coast where moisture remains deepest. MainlyVFR
outside of any showery precip today with more breaks in the
clouds.

Marine Today-tonight... More favorable small craft boating
conditions than recent days. Position of the atlantic ridge axis to
the north will creep further southward toward the northern coastal
waters. The overall pgrad will be weaker with ese SE winds 6-12 kts
areawide. Seas 2-3 ft near shore and 4 ft well offshore. Lower
showery threat today with highest chances ft. Pierce southward
where could also be an isolated lightning storm.

Late week weekend... Winds and seas are forecast to increase late
week with the likelihood of headlines for hazardous wind and sea
state over the outer waters around Saturday and continuing into at
least Sunday with winds and sea swell remaining hazardous for
small craft perhaps over all of the marine area.

Extended... Improving conditions early next week are anticipated as
gradient winds diminish along with swell.

Hydrology Expect a developing potential for locally heavy
showers from late week through the upcoming holiday weekend.

Many areas will see between 3 and 5 inches of rain during this
period, however locally higher amounts are possible. Several days
of localized heavy rain will lead to a continuation of flooding
potential through the weekend.

Many areas of the treasure coast to lake okeechobee are already
saturated, due to rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches over the past
week with some isolated areas greater than a foot since late last
week.

If the forecast rainfall continues as anticipated a flood watch
may be needed for portions of east central florida. Persons should
be prepared for the likelihood of flooding rains later this week
and into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 84 70 86 71 20 10 30 30
mco 88 72 91 72 30 10 50 40
mlb 84 72 85 72 20 20 40 40
vrb 84 71 84 72 30 30 40 40
lee 89 72 91 72 20 10 40 40
sfb 88 70 91 72 20 10 40 30
orl 88 72 90 72 30 10 50 40
fpr 84 70 84 71 30 30 50 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Sedlock
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41010 - CANAVERAL EAST 120NM East of Cape Canaveral 42 mi30 min SE 12 G 14 77°F 78°F1019.7 hPa72°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 67 mi30 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 77°F 77°F1019.1 hPa70°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 88 mi40 min ESE 4.1 G 6 75°F 79°F1020.1 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL87 mi1.7 hrsSSE 410.00 miA Few Clouds70°F68°F93%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from XMR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE7S9S6S5S8SE9S12SE11SE12SE13SE11S12S8SE6SE5E4E4SE5SE6SE6CalmSE4SE4
1 day agoSE9SE9SE10SE8SE9SE12SE12SE11SE11SE12--------------SE8SE7SE8SE7SE8SE8SE6
2 days agoE6SE13SE11SE11SE11SE12SE12SE10SE11SE10SE9SE11SE9SE10SE9SE11SE12SE12S16
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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Canaveral, Florida
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Cape Canaveral
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:13 AM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:35 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:48 PM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:03 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.82.73.33.63.532.21.40.70.20.20.61.32.12.93.43.53.22.61.81.10.50.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Trident Pier, Port Canaveral, Florida
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Trident Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:17 AM EDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:39 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:02 PM EDT     3.54 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:02 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.82.73.43.83.73.22.51.50.6-0-0.10.30.91.82.73.33.53.42.821.10.50.20.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.