Sunday, June24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Buena Vista, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:28PM Sunday June 24, 2018 12:36 PM EDT (16:36 UTC) Moonrise 4:28PMMoonset 3:01AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1027 Am Edt Sun Jun 24 2018
This afternoon..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms near the coast into early afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..West winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1027 Am Edt Sun Jun 24 2018
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge near lake okeechobee will drift northward across central florida through mid week, then drop back south into south florida by late week as a weak low pressure trough develops offshore the southeast states. Benign sea conditions will continue this week, although the treasure coast waters may see short wave periods due to the lee- side shadow of the northern bahamas.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday june 23rd. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Buena Vista, FL
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location: 28.4, -81.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 241345
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
945 am edt Sun jun 24 2018

Discussion
Highest heat index readings likely between 100f and 105f areawide
again this afternoon...

Few strong storms possible again late today across the interior...

current-tonight... The surface ridge axis looks to be very near lake
okeechobee this morning and is forecast to lift slowly northward
toward the central fl peninsula by late in the day. The associated
high center is still forecast to travel northward parallel to the
western fl coast over the eastern gulf. Light and variable to calm
early morning winds will become onshore by late morning along the
coast with light variable winds inland also transitioning to onshore
as the east coast sea breeze ventures quickly inland this afternoon.

The current 915 mhz CAPE wind profilers continue to show very light
(5 kts) westerly winds up to around 3.2 kft, then SE ese winds above
a calm layer up to around 5.0 kft through almost 10.0 kft. Mid-level
winds remain very light and expect our present 5 kt east storm
steering flow to back to northeast later in the day. The latest 10z
kxmr sounding has came in drier than this time yesterday with a pwat
of only 1.65 inches and 700 500 mb temperatures of +9.9c -7.6c
respectively. Forecasted pwat values are expected to increase once
again area wide to at least 1.90-2.00 inches and perhaps 2.25 inches
over the central west-central peninsula later this afternoon.

The ecsb will develop today and venture more quickly inland thanks
in part to the very weak pressure gradient and transitioning deeper
winds to onshore. We should see initial shower storm activity firing
along ahead of the inland moving wc and ec sea breezes. Earliest and
perhaps best shot at convection on either side of the peninsula will
be late morning early afternoon, then further boundary collisions
will occur over the central west-central peninsula where highest
coverage will occur late today evening. The larger more plentiful
boundary collisions late today over the interior will prompt a few
pulse strong storms. Convective precip debris will slowly dissipate
during the evening over the central western fl peninsula.

Mariners on inland lakes (afternoon evening) as well as the
intracoastal near shore atlantic waters (late morning early
afternoon) will need to keep an eye to the sky for
developing approaching storms. Continue to keep in mind that
lightning can strike at least 10 miles away from the parent
thunderstorm and we have been seeing an uptick recently of frequent
cloud to ground water lightning strikes with our convective
activity. Overall, pops again should favor both the central western
peninsula and have utilized 50-60pct pops inland from the coast and
30-40pct closer towards the east coast. Expect these higher numbers
to be realized in the late afternoon and early evening. Models show
favorable diffluence aloft late in the day across the central and
west central fl peninsula.

Main threats continue to be torrential downpours, frequent cloud to
ground water lightning, small hail, and gusty winds to around 50
mph. Local ponding of water (temporary) on roadways may lead to
nuisance flooding, especially in areas that have seen abundant
rainfall recently.

Highs will average in the u80s to around 90 degrees near the coast
and l-m90s over the interior. Warm temperatures and combined high
moisture values will drive highest heat indices in the 100f to 105f
range during the late morning and afternoon ahead of convective
development. Cloud debris will thin again through late evening and
overnight. Overnight mins forecast well into the 70s with conditions
humid.

Aviation The ecsb will develop sooner and move inland quicker
today as onshore flow deepens, but remains light. Greatest
convective threat at the east coast late this morning early
afternoon transitioning into the interior west-central fl mid-late
afternoon and evening. Morning model soundings favoring some higher
surface wind gusts with stronger convection later today. Steering
flow should take storms towards the west and southwest through the
afternoon. Overall steering flow in the mid-levels remains light and
some stronger late day boundary collisions could promote erratic
movement of cells. We have seen an uptick with cloud to ground
lightning in storms and it is another day of fairly high pops,
especially over the interior and west-central fl. MVFR-ifr vsbys and
g35-45kt expected beneath stronger storm cores once again.

Marine Today-tonight... Surface ridge axis lies near lake
okeechobee this morning and is forecast to move slowly northward
toward the central peninsula over the next 24 hours. Our early
morning light W NW and sometimes variable surface winds will
transition onshore with sooner development of the ecsb and quicker
penetration inland today. Storm steering flow has become light
easterly and may continue to veer to nerly during the day; meaning
no offshore moving storms. However, we may still see late
morning early afternoon storms develop near the east coast and
across the intracoastal near shore waters in association with the
formation of the ecsb. The wind flow through the atmospheric column
is weak and with increasing moisture cannot rule out an isolated
waterspout late morning early afternoon along the coast. Nerly winds
early this afternoon are forecast to continue to veer to E ese thru
the afternoon, then serly S thru the night while remaining AOB 15
kts.

Any storm threat continues to carry the potential for torrential
downpours, small hail, frequent cloud to water lightning, and gusty
winds in excess of 35 kts. Winds seas locally higher INVOF of
storms. Outside of storms seas generally 1-2 ft which will allow for
favorable boating conditions. Mariners will still need to keep an
eye to the sky along the coast late morning early afternoon.

Hydrology The saint johns river above lake harney near geneva
remains at action stage. A very slow rise in the river stage is
forecast through this weekend and into early next week, however the
river is forecast to remain below flood stage. However... Any
additional precip upstream from this watershed could promote higher
levels and perhaps an upgrade to minor flood stage. Refer to the
latest river statements (miarvsmlb) issued by the NWS office in
melbourne for specific details and river stage forecasts.

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Sedlock pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi55 min E 5.1 G 7 86°F 78°F1020.2 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 58 mi67 min N 4.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL9 mi1.8 hrsVar 410.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F75°F63%1019 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL11 mi44 minN 510.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F73°F61%1018.2 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL14 mi44 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F75°F62%1018.7 hPa

Wind History from ISM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7NW146N6SW8CalmSE8SE4SE4E5Calm------------------CalmCalm44
1 day agoW6N43W7SW7NW18
G26
NE3E6SE10S3SW3S3SE5S3--S3S3SW3W4--W3NW9NW8W5
2 days ago--NW12NW13N9NW6N7NW6W4S3S5SW5W4SW5SW5SW5SW4SW3SW3CalmCalmW4W5W84

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Sun -- 01:44 AM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:43 AM EDT     3.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:34 PM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:58 PM EDT     3.65 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.63.63.63.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.7

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 03:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:32 AM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:32 AM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:14 PM EDT     4.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.91.42.12.83.23.22.82.21.40.60.100.41.1233.74.143.52.71.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.