Thursday, March21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Buena Vista, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 7:38PM Thursday March 21, 2019 8:25 AM EDT (12:25 UTC) Moonrise 7:33PMMoonset 7:07AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 413 Am Edt Thu Mar 21 2019
.small craft should exercise caution for seas...
Today..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 413 Am Edt Thu Mar 21 2019
Synopsis..Low pressure near the mid atlantic states will move northeast through tonight and bring a frontal trough across the east central florida atlantic waters with gusty northwest winds. Northwest winds will remain gusty into Friday morning across the waters then weaken into Friday night and over the weekend as high pressure builds north of the state.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast swells of 6 to 8 feet with a 10 second period will persist through late Thursday. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday march 17th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Buena Vista, FL
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location: 28.4, -81.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 210803
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
403 am edt Thu mar 21 2019

Discussion
Today... Low level N nne flow across SRN portions of ecfl and
nnw NW low level flow across the north will back to the wnw nw
this afternoon as a low level trough approaches from the nw
trailing the low pressure area near the mid atlantic. Low level to
mid level moisture across southern sections this morning will be
shunted to the southeast and offshore as deep layer drying takes
hold from the northwest through the afternoon hours. Consequently,
should see plentiful sunshine by this afternoon with high temps
in the mid 70s for most areas. Long period northeast swells will
impact the coast up to 4-6 ft and produce rough surf at the
beaches and a high risk for rip currents. Tidal levels will
continue to run about 1-1.5 ft above normal this morning with
runup to the dunes with the morning high tide which occurs around
9 am.

Tonight... The surface trough will move through the area this evening
and increase low level northwest flow to 5-10 mph across the
interior and stronger near the coast and over the atlantic waters.

Mostly clear skies are expected with cold air advection allowing
lows temps to drop into the mid-upper 40s for cooler spots and lower
50s for metro orlando and the treasure coast beaches.

Fri-mon... Mid-level trough axis moves offshore fri, followed by
quasi-zonal flow into early next week. Very dry NW flow Fri with
mean precipitable water values less than a third of an inch begins
to slowly moderate Sat as light flow veers onshore. Rain-free
conditions likely to continue through mon, but long fetch of
onshore flow, veering more SE with time will tap deeper moisture
by early next week. MAX temps near climo Fri Sat with mins below
normal Sat morning then near normal Sun morning. MAX min temps
return to near climo Sun mon.

Tue-wed... Broad eastern us trough sharpens by early Tue with axis
crossing the region late in the day or overnight. Precipitable
water increases to around one inch ahead of cold front which
approaches central fl Tue or Tue night. Strong surge of NE flow
may set up from offshore the carolinas to NE fl and gradually drop
south into the cwa. Increasing moisture convergence suggests
scattered showers north half of area tue, isolated south, then
scattered showers mainly confined to coastal counties overnight
into wed. Near normal temps tue, falling below normal Wed in post
frontal airmass. Coolest temps likely along the coast north of the
cape as onshore flow across cold shelf waters holds maxs in the
upper 60s, ranging to near 70 central areas and mid 70s south
half of cwa.

Aviation
Bkn clouds mainly in the 040-080 range will begin to scatter out
by late morning for NRN terminals NW of kism-kdab and into the
early afternoon afternoon for SRN terminals. Mostly clear skies
are expected from mid afternoon through tonight withVFR conds
expected.

Marine
Today... N NE winds to 10-15 knots early this morning will back to
the NW N this afternoon. Seas will remain elevated offshore and
across the treasure coast gulf stream waters where seas around 7 ft
will linger. A small craft advisory will continue for these areas
due to hazardous seas.

Tonight... A northwest wind surge across the waters into late evening
and overnight will continue advisory conditions for the offshore
waters and near shore waters in the gulf stream south of sebastian
inlet. Winds will reach 20 knots offshore and 15-20 knots near the
coast. This will produce poor to hazardous boating conditions for
small craft.

Fri... Nw flow 15-20 kt near sunrise lessens during the day to 10
kt or less, then increasing again to near 15 kt overnight as a
reinforcing front advances through the waters. Seas 4-6 ft
nearshore and 6-8 ft offshore subside to 3-4 ft nearshore and up
to 5 ft offshore overnight. Next shift may need to extend sca
across the offshore waters through at least late Fri morning.

Sat-mon... High pressure over the oh river valley Sat moves
offshore the carolina coast Sun and further seaward Mon as a low
level ridge axis extends to the local waters. Winds become N 5-10
kt sat, then veer E overnight and Sun 10-15 kt, becoming light se
sun night and mon. Seas subside to 2-3 ft, except up to 4 ft
offshore Sat sun. Remaining dry over the weekend, then isolated
showers developing Sun night and mon.

Fire weather
Today... A much drier airmass will works its way in across the
central and northern forecast area this afternoon with dewpoints
dropping into the upper 30s to lower 40s and min rhs from 25-35
percent. With recent rainfall and winds generally below 15 mph will
hold off on need for any rfws from orange county northward.

Fri-sat... Dry W NW flow will allow min rh to fall to between 30
and 35 percent across interior counties and 35-40 percent across
the coastal counties with winds averaging near 10 mph. Continued
dry sat, but as winds veer N NE during the day, rh recovery will
take place across the coastal counties. Inland however, min rh
should drop to 30-35 percent once again, with winds near 5 mph.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 49 73 50 0 0 0 0
mco 77 52 75 50 0 0 0 0
mlb 76 49 73 52 10 0 0 0
vrb 76 48 74 50 10 0 0 0
lee 75 51 75 49 0 0 0 0
sfb 76 51 76 50 0 0 0 0
orl 76 53 76 51 0 0 0 0
fpr 76 47 74 48 10 0 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 8 am edt Friday
for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 10 pm edt this
evening for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-
60 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line
to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Volkmer
long term dss... .Spratt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi37 min NW 7 G 9.9 67°F1017.3 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 58 mi37 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 58 mi37 min NNW 1.9 G 4.1

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL9 mi29 minNNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy57°F54°F90%1017.6 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL11 mi32 minNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F51°F81%1017 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL14 mi32 minNNW 310.00 miFair57°F51°F81%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from ISM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5N10N13
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--NE11NE11NE8NE8NE7NE7NE5NE6NE5NE4CalmCalmN3NW4N3NW3NW3
1 day agoN4CalmNE3N6NE4NE7NE7E7E9NE7NE3N4N13N10
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NE6N8N9N7N6N4N3CalmN43N3

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Thu -- 05:11 AM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:14 PM EDT     4.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 PM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

Tide / Current Tables for Trident Pier, Port Canaveral, Florida
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Trident Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:29 AM EDT     -0.87 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:47 AM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:53 PM EDT     -0.79 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:12 PM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.1-0.1-0.8-0.8-0.20.82.13.34.14.33.92.91.70.4-0.5-0.8-0.40.51.62.93.94.44.23.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.