Sunday, April23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cape Canaveral, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:54PM Sunday April 23, 2017 1:37 AM EDT (05:37 UTC) Moonrise 3:57AMMoonset 4:03PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1029 Pm Edt Sat Apr 22 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 13 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 1029 Pm Edt Sat Apr 22 2017
Synopsis..Atlantic high pressure will shift east tonight and Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front and developing area of low pressure over the southeast u.s., and a weaker low pressure approaching the florida straits. These two lows will consolidate along the southeast u.s. Coast by Monday and drag a weak cool front across central florida. Winds will be southeast to south through Sunday evening, then shift to westerly behind the front.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday april 19th. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape Canaveral city, FL
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location: 28.41, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230223
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
1020 pm edt Sat apr 22 2017

Rain chances will increase Sunday, mainly across the south...

Update Diurnal rainfall ended around sunset across the cwa,
however a very late sea breeze collision sparked a narrow band of
moderate rain showers over lake county a little after 900 pm. Since
this activity will likely end in another hour, will hold off on an
update until then, and remove showers from the forecast outside of
the SE cwa, where they are expected to redevelop well after midnight.

Also removed mention of thunder across that area through 12z,
keeping storms confined to the atlantic.

Latest radar/satellite and short range model trends continue to
indicate bulk of precip with the SE gomex/fl straits system will
remain confined to the southern CWA southward across the southern
peninsula/keys. Some diurnally forced showers/storms are possible
farther north, mainly in the late morning/afternoon.

Aviation...VFR with precip likely holding off for the vrb-fpr-sua
corridor until 06z-09z at the earliest. MVFR cigs/vsbys in showers
expected to increase in coverage with best chances centered around
12z-18z. Lower coverage over the aerodromes farther north and west
Sunday afternoon.

Marine Sultry SE to sse flow of near 15kt with seas 3-4ft near
shore and 4-5ft well offshore. Inherited cwf looks fine.

**note to users** in addition to NOAA buoy 41010, 120 miles east of
new smyrna beach, which was redeployed yesterday evening around 640
pm, NOAA buoy 41009 located 20 miles east of CAPE canaveral was also
redeployed at about 1130 am this morning. Scripps buoy 41116 remains
in place in the same vicinity as 41009. It is not known at this time
when/where/if the scripps buoy will picked up and redeployed.

Update/aviation... Cristaldi
dss/impact wx... Spratt

Prev discussion /issued 352 pm edt Sat apr 22 2017/
Sunday... Not much change from previous forecast as the weak mid-
level trough roughly over the southern half of fl early will lift
northeastward. Models forecast an area of convection in association
with this upper disturbance across the south-central peninsula early
in the day. A stronger mid-level trough over the southeastern us
will advance to across the gulf coast by 24/00z. Sct to numerous
showers from n-s will develop during Sun with the 23/12z through
24/00z frame the best time for measurable rainfall.

Pseudo warm sector south of the lifting low pressure wl allow for
some embedded storm development... Primarily over the space and
treasure cst and adjacent waters with none expected to become
particularly strong during the morning and into afternoon.

Mon-mon night... (from previous) the upper low over south ga
associated with the upper trough over the fl peninsula will
quickly swing off of the southeast u.S. Coast taking associated
energy with it eastward by 00z tue. The weak front will swing thru
ecfl fairly early in the period with breezy westerly winds during
the day. Precipitation chances decrease areawide by 18z from the
west and will leave conditions dry for Mon night as weak high
pressure builds into the area from the west. Cooler temperatures
with l80s for highs, except a few m80s possible treasure coast.

Lows Mon overnight should range from the u50s to l60s areawide.

Tue-fri... Post-frontal drying with zonal flow aloft through early
thu, then shortwave ridging aloft building across the area. Dry and
mild conditions will remain in place through the extended with a
weak high pressure weather pattern in place. Any relief in
temperatures behind the last system will be short-lived as highs
soar into the 80s areawide into late week and lows generally in the
60s.

Aviation
MainlyVFR into tonight with isold shra developing along coastal
sites aft 23/00z. Isolated showers will be possible coastal and
inland sites through 23/00z, and may produce brief MVFR conditions.

Sct shra developing fm 23/13z-23/22z will spread north and east,
producing ocnl MVFR conds during Sunday.

Marine
Tonight-Sunday... A weak disturbance will move across the south-
central peninsula Sun ahead of a weak front that will push into
north fl Sun afternoon, then near the central peninsula by early mon
morning. Sse winds will veer to westerly overnight with the approach
of the weather system. Wind speeds 10-15 kts. Seas 3-4 ft near shore
and around 4-5 ft offshore. Scattered showers with isolated storms
are forecast on Sun into Sun night with greatest chances roughly
south of CAPE canaveral.

Mon-wed... (from previous) the weakening weather system will move
through on Mon with high pressure building into the area tue-wed.

Scattered showers and isolated storms possible on mon, but chances
less than on sun. Tue- Wed look dry. Westerly winds are forecast
to become breezy over the open atlc on Mon afternoon with speeds
15-20 kts here decreasing Mon overnight. The pressure gradient
then weakens into mid-week with lighter wind speeds. Initial seas
3-4 ft near shore and 5 ft offshore will continue to subside into
mid-week as the winds decrease, becoming AOB 3 ft areawide by wed
aftn.

Fire weather
Sunday... Lighter winds and lower dispersion values wl create
environment for settling of smoke near any ongoing or smoldering
brush fires. Lingering smoke could again produce locally reduced,
visibilities on nearby roadways.

Rh values due to higher moisture, possibler rainfall and cloud cover
will keep fire weather conditions outside of critical levels sun.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 67 84 67 81 / 20 40 30 30
mco 68 89 68 83 / 20 50 30 30
mlb 70 84 70 84 / 20 50 30 30
vrb 70 85 69 84 / 30 60 40 30
lee 69 87 67 81 / 20 40 20 30
sfb 68 87 67 82 / 20 40 30 30
orl 69 88 68 82 / 20 40 30 30
fpr 69 84 68 85 / 30 60 40 20

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 1 mi49 min SE 8 G 13 75°F 77°F1014.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 4 mi46 min 76°F4 ft
41116 23 mi67 min 75°F5 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 23 mi37 min SSE 14 G 16 76°F 75°F1014 hPa (+0.0)70°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 93 mi112 min SSE 5.1 74°F 1014 hPa68°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL4 mi1.7 hrsSSE 1010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F68°F80%1012.8 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL12 mi1.7 hrsSSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F69°F79%1013.3 hPa
Titusville, FL13 mi4.8 hrsSE 147.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F69°F83%1012.9 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL21 mi44 minS 310.00 miOvercast77°F66°F71%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from XMR (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE6E6SE4E5SE4SE5--SE10SE11S13
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2 days agoE8E7E5E6E5E5E5E8E10E9SE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:41 AM EDT     3.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:52 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:09 PM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.81.52.33.13.73.83.42.71.90.90.2-00.30.91.82.83.643.83.22.41.40.5

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:41 AM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:01 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:10 PM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.61.32.233.63.63.32.61.70.80.2-0.10.20.91.82.83.53.93.73.12.21.30.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.