Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sharpes, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:56PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 5:12 PM EST (22:12 UTC) Moonrise 8:57PMMoonset 9:18AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 403 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Tonight..South winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 403 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..A strong cold front and preceding squall line will approach central florida late tonight and cross the area through mid day Thursday. A fresh to strong southerly breeze will occur ahead of this system, with frequent gusts to gale force expected offshore from late tonight through Thursday morning. Winds will become westerly as the front moves through and gradually decrease late Thursday afternoon. However, poor to hazardous boating conditions will remain through the evening hours.
Gulf stream hazards..Southerly winds increasing up to 25 to 30 knots late tonight, with frequent gusts to gale force through Thursday morning. Seas building up to 8 to 11 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday january 21st. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sharpes, FL
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location: 28.41, -80.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 232055
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
355 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Discussion
Strong to isolated severe storms possible late tonight through
Thursday...

tonight-Thursday... Mid upper level trough across the central u.S.

Moves east, shifting a strong cold front and preceding squall line
toward the florida peninsula late tonight. The current projected
timing for this band of showers and storms will be for it to reach
lake volusia counties 2-3 hours before sunrise, shifting quickly
eastward through the i-4 corridor into early Thursday morning and
eventually offshore of brevard county and the treasure coast toward
the late morning and early afternoon. While instability will be
rather low (cape around 500j kg or less), shear profiles will again
be strong with low level S SW winds increasing up to 40-50 knots and
0-3km helicity values around 250-350 m2 s2. This environment will
support strong and isolated severe storms as convection moves
through, with primary threats being strong to localized damaging
wind gusts and the potential for a brief tornado or two.

Rain chances gradually end from northwest to southeast across the
area into the afternoon. High temps ahead of the band of convection
will approach the upper 60s to low 70s from orlando area northward
to mid to upper 70s southeast.

Thursday night-Saturday... Post-frontal drier and cooler airmass will
be working its way into the area behind the cold front allowing
cloud cover to further decrease from north to south through the
night. However, enough lingering moisture will keep a slight shower
chance in through the Thursday evening for the treasure coast. Most
locations will see low temperatures Friday morning in the low-mid
40s although some areas across the far north could see some upper
30s. The immediate treasure coast will be slightly more mild with
upper 40s-low 50s for lows as clouds will not clear out as quickly.

Below-average temperatures for Friday into Saturday as cool high
pressure builds in over the south-central CONUS Friday and then the
gulf coast states on Saturday. Skies will be sunny to mostly sunny
during the day Friday before a jet-streak rounds the base of an
upper-level trough bringing an increase in cirrus-level clouds
Friday night and Saturday. Cool air advection will keep temperatures
in the upper 50s-low 60s on Friday with temps a couple of degrees
warmer on Saturday. The treasure coast will see mid 60s Friday and
upper 60s Saturday for highs. Lows Friday night into Saturday
morning will be in the upper 30s-low 40s across the interior and low
40s along the volusia coast. Along the space and treasure coasts
lows will be in the mid-upper 40s (near 50 martin county).

Sunday-Wednesday... High pressure will remain over northern fl
through at least Sun night. In the meantime, GFS and the euro
(slightly less obvious) indicate the development of a low pressure
over the NW gulf of mexico on Sun and moving to the east. GFS is
being more aggressive with this, as it brings the low to south fl
and keys on Monday while the euro brings an disorganized area of
high moisture. Showers will be possible with this system but timing
of beginning end remains to be seen as the main two models disagree
on this system. By Monday night, the low is forecast to be over the
nw bahamas and weather coverage should decrease through the night
and tue. However, enough moisture will remain over east central fl
for the occurrence of showers through early next week. Temperatures
will be mainly below average this period perhaps rebounding to near
normal Tuesday, with possible reinforcing weak FROPA Tuesday
night.

Aviation Vfr conditions generally expected this evening. Isolated
to scattered showers may develop after midnight. However, best
potential for tempo ifr MVFR conditions will occur with squall line
that will approach klee toward 09z shifting eastward through the i-4
corridor 11-14z and offshore brevard county and the treasure coast
15-18z Thursday. Strong wind gusts will be the primary threat, but
localized damaging wind gusts will also be possible with this line.

Added llws for tonight through late morning Thursday, as low level
southerly jet will increase winds just off the surface up to 35-45
knots. Conditions then becomingVFR into the afternoon from north to
south as rain chances end across the area.

Marine Tonight-Thursday... Hazardous boating conditions
expected tonight through Thursday. Southerly winds will increase
to 20-25 knots nearshore to 25-30 knots offshore ahead of an
approaching strong cold front and preceding squall line, with seas
building up to 8-11 feet. Frequent gusts to gale force are
expected offshore from late tonight through Thursday morning, and
have therefore issued a gale warning for the offshore zones during
this timeframe. Otherwise SCA conditions will continue across the
waters through Thursday afternoon across the entire coastal
waters, lingering offshore into the early evening.

Thursday night-Saturday... Some brief improvement in conditions as
winds behind the cold front veer from westerly to northwesterly with
speeds around 15 kt. Seas will be 4-6 ft offshore and 4-5 ft
nearshore. A northerly wind surge on Friday will bring an increase
in winds seas especially over the offshore waters gulf stream with
speeds approaching 20 kt. Seas will build to 5-7 ft. Improving
conditions for Saturday with northerly winds diminishing to 10-15 kt
and seas subsiding to 3-5 ft nearshore and 4-5 ft offshore.

Sunday-Monday... Forecast is highly uncertain with regards to the
potential development of a low pressure system across the southern
gulf of mexico Sunday and bringing it across southern florida on
Monday. Conditions are expected to deteriorate but timing and
details remain unclear. For now, will stay with NE winds 10-15 kt
with seas 2-3 ft Sunday, increasing slightly south Monday with seas
building 5-7 ft CAPE south and 4-6 ft north.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 66 72 43 59 80 90 0 0
mco 66 71 45 61 70 90 0 0
mlb 69 75 47 62 40 90 10 10
vrb 70 78 49 64 30 80 10 10
lee 64 69 41 60 90 90 0 0
sfb 65 71 43 61 70 90 0 0
orl 65 71 45 61 70 90 0 0
fpr 70 78 49 64 30 80 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory until 3 am est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 7 pm est Thursday for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line
to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale warning from 3 am to 10 am est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Weitlich
long term... Combs
radar decision support... .Spratt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 7 mi55 min SE 13 G 17 72°F 65°F1020.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 10 mi43 min 65°F6 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 29 mi43 min SSE 25 G 29 73°F 1019.6 hPa64°F
SIPF1 41 mi58 min SSE 17 70°F 71°F1020 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 90 mi88 min SSE 8 71°F 1020 hPa63°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL9 mi86 minS 207.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy77°F62°F61%1019.6 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL9 mi2.3 hrsSSE 15 G 2310.00 miA Few Clouds74°F63°F70%1019.9 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL14 mi2.3 hrsSSE 148.00 miA Few Clouds72°F68°F88%1020.4 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL21 mi2.3 hrsSE 1410.00 miOvercast74°F63°F69%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE10SE10E5SE13SE13------------------SE5S10SE10SE14SE14SE14SE15SE20S18S20
1 day agoN15N10N10N10NW5------------------E5E8E8E10E10E10SE14SE14SE14SE10
2 days agoW15
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W5W5------------------W5W5NW5N6N9N12
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Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Wed -- 02:43 AM EST     -0.79 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:15 AM EST     5.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:17 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:29 PM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:35 PM EST     4.08 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.2-0.6-0.8-0.20.723.34.454.84.12.91.60.4-0.3-0.30.212.23.3443.5

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida (2)
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:58 AM EST     -0.93 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:13 AM EST     4.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:17 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:29 PM EST     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:32 PM EST     4.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.2-0.6-0.9-0.60.31.62.83.84.34.13.42.310-0.5-0.50.11.12.33.3443.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.