Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Conway, FL
May 15, 2024 9:32 PM EDT (01:32 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:33 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 12:20 PM Moonset 1:16 AM |
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 413 Pm Edt Wed May 15 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: northwest 1 foot at 3 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: north 1 foot at 4 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon, becoming south in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers.
Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast in the afternoon, becoming east in the evening, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, then a slight chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
FXUS62 KMLB 152022 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 422 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
DISCUSSION
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight...Have cancelled the SVR Watch early after coordination with SPC. Considerable debris cloudiness and weakening low level convergence will limit risk of severe storms. But will see some shallow convection (showers) move quickly eastward and there are outflow boundaries lurking that could spark 1 or 2 more storms next couple hours. Frontal boundary currently over the FL Big Bend will sag into central FL tonight and maintain a 20-30 percent PoP. Wind fields have been pretty chaotic with the rounds of diurnal convection but a more uniform westerly flow will develop overnight 5-10 mph. Min temps as low as the mid 60s across the far north but low to mid 70s most elsewhere.
Thu...Scattered showers and a few storms may be ongoing across southern sections early along the slowing frontal boundary.
Scattered storms may redevelop during the daylight morning hours OKeechobee to the Treasure coast and a few could be strong. Will watch for sea breeze development in the afternoon which could provide some addl lift. Drier air filters into the north half of FA so no rain chances Orlando northward. Noticeably less humidity also but very warm with max temps reaching the low to mid 90s all areas.
Thu Night-Fri Night...Weak shortwave ridging in the mid-levels with increasing heights taking up residency across the FL peninsula.
There will be some weak, subtle, impulses across the northern peninsula but stronger energy remains north of the local area. At the surface a weak moisture boundary strewn east-west across the central FL peninsula becomes diffuse by early Fri as winds become southerly again and moisture increases/spreads back northward. There will be a seabreeze on Fri that moves inland with a collision late across the central peninsula as PWATs surge to 1.65-1.80 inches.
Generally dry conditions Thu night and into at least early afternoon on Fri. For now we carry ISOLD lightning storm potential from southern Brevard County to southern Osceola County southward from generally late (Fri) afternoon-early evening.
Overnight lows in the 60s to L70s Thu overnight and U60s to L70s (few M70s) Fri overnight. Highs on Fri near 90F to L90s along the coast and M90s inland - few U90s across Okeechobee County and the western far interior of the Treasure Coast counties. Peak afternoon heat indices in the U90s to L100s.
Sat-Wed...Initial mid-level ridging across the FL peninsula quickly gets nudged east into the western Atlc as troughing slides across the Deep South and FL peninsula (Sun). As the upper troughing and associated upper low move into the western Atlc early next week mid- level ridging will amplify northward from Mexico, across eastern TX and the Gulf Coast States. FL will remain on the backside of troughing with NW/N H500 winds into Tue night, as the ridging slowly expands across the GoMex and gradually into the western Fl peninsula. At the surface, the next frontal passage is poised for late Sun with high pressure building into the region into mid next week. Mainly diurnal (Scattered) showers/storms Sat-Sun, decreasing in coverage into next week with some drier overall conditions.
High temperatures remain above normal through the period with Sat being the hottest day. High temperatures mostly range the M-U90s Sat (L90s for coast) with heat indices widespread in the L100s (few up to 105F). High temps a few degrees lower Sun into early next week but still warmer than normal with maxes in the L-M90s for most, except U80s at the coast.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Have included VCTS through 23/00Z for all sites. Activity should dissipate or move offshore by late afternoon and into early evening (around 23Z). Variable winds late this aftn will become more uniformly W/SW tonight 5-10 knots. W to W/NW winds 8-12 knots Thu with a wind shift possible at coastal terminals aft 18Z behind the sea breeze. Have included VCSH for VRB-SUA starting at 15Z.
MARINE
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight/Thu...Frontal boundary will sag southward across the local waters becoming stationary across the Treasure coast. Winds becoming west 10-15 knots, 15-20 knots well offshore. On Thu, W to WNW flow deceasing 10-14 knots turning onshore in an east sea breeze. Seas up to 4 FT offshore tonight, decreasing 1-2 FT nearshore Thu and 3 FT well offshore.
Thu Night-Mon...Winds veer a bit more to SE thru Fri with a southerly component and little variability into Sat evening, then winds become more SWRLY with speeds increasing over the offshore marine legs to 15-18 kts. Winds decrease a bit during the day on Sun becoming WRLY with weak frontal passage Sun evening, finally veering further to NW/N/NE all thru the day on Mon. Seas 1-3 ft thru early Sat evening, then 2-4 ft into the remainder of the extended. Just ISOLD precip chances thru Fri night, then increasing to SCT thru the remainder of the period.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Drier air will filter into northern and central sections tonight and Thursday but scattered showers and storms will again redevelop across Okeechobee and Treasure coast counties on Thursday. Min RH values are forecast to fall as low as 35 percent across portions of the interior on Thursday afternoon. Westerly flow on Thursday but a seabreeze should develop in the afternoon along the immediate coast.
Extended...Drying Fri with some returning SCT lightning storm potential into the weekend. High temperatures warm into the M90s Fri/Sat and just slightly lower into early next week. Next weak frontal passage will be late Sun. Heat indices will approach U90s to L100s (possibly up to 105F in a few spots) Fri-Sun. Lowest aftn min RH values in the U30s to M40s across the interior.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 68 91 69 90 / 10 10 0 0 MCO 73 92 70 95 / 30 10 0 10 MLB 73 91 70 90 / 30 10 0 10 VRB 72 93 68 92 / 40 30 0 10 LEE 70 91 70 93 / 10 10 0 0 SFB 70 93 70 95 / 20 10 0 10 ORL 72 92 70 95 / 30 10 0 10 FPR 71 93 68 92 / 40 40 0 20
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 422 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
DISCUSSION
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight...Have cancelled the SVR Watch early after coordination with SPC. Considerable debris cloudiness and weakening low level convergence will limit risk of severe storms. But will see some shallow convection (showers) move quickly eastward and there are outflow boundaries lurking that could spark 1 or 2 more storms next couple hours. Frontal boundary currently over the FL Big Bend will sag into central FL tonight and maintain a 20-30 percent PoP. Wind fields have been pretty chaotic with the rounds of diurnal convection but a more uniform westerly flow will develop overnight 5-10 mph. Min temps as low as the mid 60s across the far north but low to mid 70s most elsewhere.
Thu...Scattered showers and a few storms may be ongoing across southern sections early along the slowing frontal boundary.
Scattered storms may redevelop during the daylight morning hours OKeechobee to the Treasure coast and a few could be strong. Will watch for sea breeze development in the afternoon which could provide some addl lift. Drier air filters into the north half of FA so no rain chances Orlando northward. Noticeably less humidity also but very warm with max temps reaching the low to mid 90s all areas.
Thu Night-Fri Night...Weak shortwave ridging in the mid-levels with increasing heights taking up residency across the FL peninsula.
There will be some weak, subtle, impulses across the northern peninsula but stronger energy remains north of the local area. At the surface a weak moisture boundary strewn east-west across the central FL peninsula becomes diffuse by early Fri as winds become southerly again and moisture increases/spreads back northward. There will be a seabreeze on Fri that moves inland with a collision late across the central peninsula as PWATs surge to 1.65-1.80 inches.
Generally dry conditions Thu night and into at least early afternoon on Fri. For now we carry ISOLD lightning storm potential from southern Brevard County to southern Osceola County southward from generally late (Fri) afternoon-early evening.
Overnight lows in the 60s to L70s Thu overnight and U60s to L70s (few M70s) Fri overnight. Highs on Fri near 90F to L90s along the coast and M90s inland - few U90s across Okeechobee County and the western far interior of the Treasure Coast counties. Peak afternoon heat indices in the U90s to L100s.
Sat-Wed...Initial mid-level ridging across the FL peninsula quickly gets nudged east into the western Atlc as troughing slides across the Deep South and FL peninsula (Sun). As the upper troughing and associated upper low move into the western Atlc early next week mid- level ridging will amplify northward from Mexico, across eastern TX and the Gulf Coast States. FL will remain on the backside of troughing with NW/N H500 winds into Tue night, as the ridging slowly expands across the GoMex and gradually into the western Fl peninsula. At the surface, the next frontal passage is poised for late Sun with high pressure building into the region into mid next week. Mainly diurnal (Scattered) showers/storms Sat-Sun, decreasing in coverage into next week with some drier overall conditions.
High temperatures remain above normal through the period with Sat being the hottest day. High temperatures mostly range the M-U90s Sat (L90s for coast) with heat indices widespread in the L100s (few up to 105F). High temps a few degrees lower Sun into early next week but still warmer than normal with maxes in the L-M90s for most, except U80s at the coast.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Have included VCTS through 23/00Z for all sites. Activity should dissipate or move offshore by late afternoon and into early evening (around 23Z). Variable winds late this aftn will become more uniformly W/SW tonight 5-10 knots. W to W/NW winds 8-12 knots Thu with a wind shift possible at coastal terminals aft 18Z behind the sea breeze. Have included VCSH for VRB-SUA starting at 15Z.
MARINE
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Tonight/Thu...Frontal boundary will sag southward across the local waters becoming stationary across the Treasure coast. Winds becoming west 10-15 knots, 15-20 knots well offshore. On Thu, W to WNW flow deceasing 10-14 knots turning onshore in an east sea breeze. Seas up to 4 FT offshore tonight, decreasing 1-2 FT nearshore Thu and 3 FT well offshore.
Thu Night-Mon...Winds veer a bit more to SE thru Fri with a southerly component and little variability into Sat evening, then winds become more SWRLY with speeds increasing over the offshore marine legs to 15-18 kts. Winds decrease a bit during the day on Sun becoming WRLY with weak frontal passage Sun evening, finally veering further to NW/N/NE all thru the day on Mon. Seas 1-3 ft thru early Sat evening, then 2-4 ft into the remainder of the extended. Just ISOLD precip chances thru Fri night, then increasing to SCT thru the remainder of the period.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 339 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Drier air will filter into northern and central sections tonight and Thursday but scattered showers and storms will again redevelop across Okeechobee and Treasure coast counties on Thursday. Min RH values are forecast to fall as low as 35 percent across portions of the interior on Thursday afternoon. Westerly flow on Thursday but a seabreeze should develop in the afternoon along the immediate coast.
Extended...Drying Fri with some returning SCT lightning storm potential into the weekend. High temperatures warm into the M90s Fri/Sat and just slightly lower into early next week. Next weak frontal passage will be late Sun. Heat indices will approach U90s to L100s (possibly up to 105F in a few spots) Fri-Sun. Lowest aftn min RH values in the U30s to M40s across the interior.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 68 91 69 90 / 10 10 0 0 MCO 73 92 70 95 / 30 10 0 10 MLB 73 91 70 90 / 30 10 0 10 VRB 72 93 68 92 / 40 30 0 10 LEE 70 91 70 93 / 10 10 0 0 SFB 70 93 70 95 / 20 10 0 10 ORL 72 92 70 95 / 30 10 0 10 FPR 71 93 68 92 / 40 40 0 20
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 41 mi | 62 min | SSW 14G | 77°F | 84°F | 29.83 | ||
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 44 mi | 66 min | 78°F | 3 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KORL EXECUTIVE,FL | 2 sm | 1.7 hrs | WSW 010 | 10 sm | -- | 82°F | 72°F | 70% | 29.80 | |
| KMCO ORLANDO INTL,FL | 7 sm | 39 min | SW 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 81°F | 73°F | 79% | 29.83 | |
| KISM KISSIMMEE GATEWAY,FL | 17 sm | 36 min | WSW 04 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 81°F | 75°F | 84% | 29.84 | |
| KSFB ORLANDO SANFORD INTL,FL | 18 sm | 39 min | WSW 04 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 79°F | 72°F | 79% | 29.83 |
Titusville
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:13 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 08:18 AM EDT 3.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:59 AM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:40 PM EDT 3.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:18 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 02:59 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:28 PM EDT 3.75 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 11:11 PM EDT 3.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:13 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 08:18 AM EDT 3.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:59 AM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:40 PM EDT 3.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:18 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 02:59 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:28 PM EDT 3.75 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 11:11 PM EDT 3.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.8 |
| 1 am |
| 3.8 |
| 2 am |
| 3.8 |
| 3 am |
| 3.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.8 |
| 5 am |
| 3.8 |
| 6 am |
| 3.7 |
| 7 am |
| 3.7 |
| 8 am |
| 3.7 |
| 9 am |
| 3.7 |
| 10 am |
| 3.7 |
| 11 am |
| 3.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.8 |
Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:12 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 08:30 AM EDT 0.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 02:26 PM EDT 2.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT 0.80 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT 3.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:12 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 08:30 AM EDT 0.66 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:17 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 02:26 PM EDT 2.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT 0.80 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.9 |
| 1 am |
| 3.4 |
| 2 am |
| 3.6 |
| 3 am |
| 3.4 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.5 |
| 6 am |
| 1.7 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.6 |
Melbourne, FL,
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