Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 6:04PM Thursday January 24, 2019 2:27 AM EST (07:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:10PMMoonset 10:09AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 841 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Rest of tonight..South winds around 20 knots, then increasing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts to gale force after midnight then becoming southwest toward morning. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. Showers and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds around 20 knots then becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Monday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 841 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis.. A strong cold front will move south through the coastal waters later tonight through early Thursday with a line of showers and scattered Thunderstorms expected along and ahead of it. Increasing south to southwest winds in the 20 to 25 knot range can be expected ahead of the front with gusts to gale force especially in the offshore waters. In the wake of the front high pressure will build in north of the waters during Friday and Saturday. An area of low pressure may bring another round of showers into the central and southern gulf waters during Sunday and Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Island, FL
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location: 28.56, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 240116
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
816 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Update
Early evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing a
band of convection along and ahead of the cold front quickly
moving from the central gulf of mexico into the eastern
gulf. Breezy southerly winds ahead of the front today have
allowed surface dew points to rise into the 60s across much
of the forecast area, creating an environment favorable for
numerous thunderstorms to roll through the forecast area
overnight.

The forecast looks on track with thunderstorms moving into
the nature coast after midnight, then reaching the tampa bay
area by around day break, with a few strong and damaging
storms possible. The main forecast concern remains the
potential for coastal flooding along the coast of levy and
citrus counties overnight. In addition, the onshore flow
will produce an elevated risk of rip currents along area
beaches. Only minor adjustments were made to the forecast
for the next few hours to keep up with observation trends.

Otherwise, no significant changes are planned for the
evening update.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will start to deteriorate after midnight
tonight with lowering ceilings ahead of an approaching
squall line and cold front. A few showers or storms will be
possible overnight ahead of the front, with the main line of
storms moving through area terminals during the morning
hours. Otherwise, winds will remain gusty through the
period, veering from southerly this evening, to westerly
behind the front Thursday morning.

Marine
Winds are continuing to pick up over the coastal waters
ahead of an approaching cold front, with the small craft
advisory conditions over the offshore waters this evening
expanding towards the coast overnight. In addition to the
strong gradient winds and associated building seas, a line
of thunderstorms will move through the waters tonight and
Thursday morning, creating locally hazardous boating
conditions. High pressure will build in behind the front on
Thursday, allowing conditions to improve through the
weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 64 67 45 62 90 90 0 0
fmy 67 72 50 66 50 90 0 10
gif 65 70 43 63 70 90 0 0
srq 64 68 48 63 80 90 0 0
bkv 62 67 39 62 90 80 0 0
spg 63 66 48 61 80 90 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Beach hazards statement through Thursday evening for
coastal manatee-coastal sarasota.

High rip current risk through Friday afternoon for coastal
charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal
manatee-coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory until 10 am est Thursday for waters
from bonita beach to englewood fl out 20 to 60 nm-
waters from englewood to tarpon springs fl out 20 to
60 nm-waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river fl
out 20 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 10 am est Thursday for coastal
waters from englewood to tarpon springs fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river
fl out 20 nm-tampa bay waters.

18 fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 9 mi93 min S 7 G 17 83°F 1011.3 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 29 mi93 min SSE 16 G 21 70°F 1012.2 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 41 mi45 min SSE 27 G 35 72°F 63°F1011.8 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 44 mi87 min S 15 G 16 64°F 1010.8 hPa (-2.6)61°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 45 mi39 min ESE 12 G 19
MCYF1 46 mi45 min 65°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 49 mi39 min S 17 G 21 70°F 63°F1012.4 hPa

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL13 mi34 minS 16 G 2310.00 miOvercast72°F64°F76%1011.9 hPa
Crystal River Airport, FL22 mi32 minS 8 G 1410.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity72°F62°F73%1011.2 hPa

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E6E4E4SE3E7SE12
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1 day agoNE5NE5NE6NE4NE8NE8E9E12E13
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2 days agoN4N6N5N4N4N3N9N5NE7NE6NE8NE9
G14
NE10NE10NE10NE6NE6NE11NE10NE4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Bayport, Florida
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Bayport
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:05 AM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:08 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:29 AM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:14 PM EST     2.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:10 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:42 PM EST     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.32.12.732.92.41.81.10.4-0.1-0.4-0.40.10.81.62.32.62.52.21.71.10.60.30.3

Tide / Current Tables for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
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Aripeka
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:31 AM EST     2.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:08 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:16 AM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:40 PM EST     2.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 10:10 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:29 PM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.52.32.82.92.62.21.50.90.3-0.1-0.4-0.20.31.11.92.52.62.31.91.40.90.50.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.