Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pine Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 7:01PM Monday October 15, 2018 7:42 AM EDT (11:42 UTC) Moonrise 12:31PMMoonset 11:14PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 400 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Today..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..North winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..East winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 400 Am Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Synopsis..High pressure tracks southeastward across the open atlantic while ridging back over florida to the eastern gulf of mexico through the week. This will provide prevailing light to moderate easterly winds...with afternoon sea breezes and evening surges.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pine Island, FL
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location: 28.56, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 150758
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
358 am edt Mon oct 15 2018

Short term (today - Tuesday)
A strong mid level ridge of high pressure holding over the
florida peninsula early this week is causing broad
subsidence, which will keep warm and dry conditions in
place. At the surface, high pressure will continue to ridge
north of florida, setting up light easterly flow. The
gradient flow will remain light enough that a limited west
coast sea breeze should develop, but will remain fairly
close to the west coast. Temperatures will generally run 5-8
degrees above normal, with afternoon highs topping out in
the low 90s in most places away from the immediate coast.

This could lead to a few spots breaking or matching
temperature records for the day. A few isolated showers
could develop in the afternoon, but most areas are expected
to remain rain free.

Little will change for Tuesday, with another day of easterly
winds and near record temperatures. Atmospheric moisture
will be slightly higher, and a few more afternoon showers
or storms will be possible, with rain chances of 10-20
percent across the area.

Long term (Tuesday night - Sunday)
During the middle part of the week, a broad upper level
trough will swing through the great lakes region and
northeastern us, allowing the mid level ridge to slightly
weaken and shift east. At the surface, the sub-tropical
ridge axis north of florida will shift east Wednesday and
Thursday before a backdoor cold front pushes into florida
from the northeast Friday and Saturday. Through all this,
easterly low level winds will continue through the week and
into next weekend, with weak sea breezes developing each
afternoon and staying near the coast.

With the mid level ridge of high pressure still overhead
Wednesday, subsidence will cause warm and rather dry
conditions to continue, with near record temperatures, and
limited rain chances. As the ridge weakens and shifts out,
temperatures will moderate slightly through the rest of the
week, but will still remain above normal through Saturday,
rain chances will also pickup Thursday through Saturday due
partly to increasing moisture along and ahead of the
backdoor front and reduced subsidence aloft.

Models are in good agreement regarding another mid level
trough swinging into the eastern us from canada next
weekend. This trough will also sweep a strong cold front
through the southeastern conus, and into the florida
peninsula Saturday night and Sunday. Although it is still
too early to nail down the exact impacts of this front,
showers and storms are expected to develop ahead of the
front, and temperatures are currently forecast to drop to
near normal by Sunday afternoon.

Aviation
Vfr and rain free conditions are expected to continue
through the next 24 hours. Winds will generally remain
easterly, with a limited sea breeze turning winds onshore
at terminals near the coast during the afternoon.

Marine
The high pressure ridge axis will hold just north of the
gulf of mexico through the week, with generally easterly
winds continuing. A weak afternoon seabreeze will setup each
day, allowing winds to turn onshore near the coast.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
expected over the coastal waters each day starting
Wednesday, with locally hazardous boating conditions
possible in the vicinity of some of the stronger storms.

Fire weather
No concerns, as humidity will remain well above critical
levels through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 76 91 75 10 10 20 20
fmy 91 76 92 75 10 10 20 10
gif 92 75 92 73 10 0 20 10
srq 91 76 91 75 10 10 10 20
bkv 92 73 92 72 10 10 10 20
spg 90 77 90 76 10 10 20 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

18 fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 9 mi108 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1 76°F 1018.5 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 29 mi108 min E 6 G 7 77°F 1018.9 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 41 mi42 min ENE 5.1 G 6 79°F 82°F1018.5 hPa (+0.7)
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 44 mi42 min ESE 8 G 8.9 77°F 1019.2 hPa (+0.5)74°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 45 mi60 min NE 1.9 G 4.1
MCYF1 46 mi42 min 83°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 49 mi42 min E 5.1 G 6 77°F 82°F1018.5 hPa (+0.8)

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL13 mi49 minN 06.00 miFog/Mist72°F71°F97%1018.8 hPa
Crystal River Airport, FL22 mi47 minN 07.00 miFair72°F71°F100%1019 hPa

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE5SE7SE10E7E6Calm--NE7E7E5NE3E7NE6E6E5E6E3CalmE3CalmNE3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNE4NE5NE75N45NE6N9NE6N6E4CalmCalmNE5E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3
2 days agoCalmN6NE5CalmNW4W9W7NW11W11W9W9NW8NW5NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4

Tide / Current Tables for Bayport, Florida
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Bayport
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:51 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:30 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:24 PM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.622.52.82.92.82.52.21.81.41.10.80.60.70.91.31.82.22.42.32.21.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for Johns Island, Chassahowitzka Bay, Florida (2)
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Johns Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:25 AM EDT     1.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:08 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.41.41.622.22.42.32.21.91.71.41.10.80.70.60.711.31.71.91.91.91.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.