Sunrise 6:40 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 4:32 AM   Moonset 5:48 PM

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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 211 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest late this evening, then becoming northeast after midnight, becoming southeast around 5 knots late. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thursday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Friday night - West winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Saturday - North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 211 Pm Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis -
southeasterly flow continues, with a shift onshore as the afternoon seabreeze develops. No major marine concerns through the week as high pressure dominates conditions.

FXUS62 KTBW 061811 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 211 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Above average temperatures with moderately dry conditions continue today as a high pressure system situated in the Atlantic keeps the southeasterly flow over the area. Isolated showers and thunderstorms could develop later this afternoon/evening as the west coast sea breeze and east coast sea breeze finally collide.
However, rain chances still remain low overall, with best chances east of I75. Storms that do develop will remain largely stationary as the steering flows aloft remain light. This means, localized heavy rainfall could occur. If there is enough lift, and storms are able to develop a stronger core, small hail could be possible with 500mb temps right around -9 degrees. Conditions will begin to settle overnight, with tomorrow much of the same expected.

Heat remains the major concern this week with a stronger ridge likely to build in, and the Atlantic Surface ridge axis shifting further south over the area. Widespread low to mid 90s expected each afternoon. Wednesday and Thursday look to be the hottest of the week, with limited rain chances and mostly sunny skies. Remember to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks when doing any outside activities. Moving towards the weekend, a weak frontal boundary approaches the area increasing rain chances slight Friday night into Saturday.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the period. SE breeze shifts onshore with sea breeze development. Only concern would be the chance of isolated showers/thunderstorms. However, these will likely develop further inland and remain stationary. Much the same tomorrow. By mid week, even less shower development expected.



MARINE
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Southeasterly flow continues, with a shift onshore as the afternoon seabreeze develops. No major marine concerns through the week as high pressure dominates conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Warm, dry conditions expected through the week, with no major fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 74 89 74 90 / 10 10 0 0 FMY 72 92 74 94 / 10 20 0 10 GIF 71 93 72 95 / 20 30 0 10 SRQ 72 87 72 88 / 10 10 0 0 BKV 66 91 66 91 / 10 10 0 0 SPG 76 88 77 89 / 10 10 0 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Chassahowitzka
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Mon -- 12:18 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:48 AM EDT     0.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:42 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     0.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Chassahowitzka, Chassahowitzka River, Florida, Tide feet

Bayport
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Mon -- 01:15 AM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:51 PM EDT     3.46 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bayport, Florida, Tide feet

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