Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:41PM Thursday March 30, 2017 6:44 AM EDT (10:44 UTC) Moonrise 8:15AMMoonset 9:39PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 355 Am Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
Today..South winds 10 knots becoming southeast 15 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..South winds around 15 knots. Seas building to 3 to 5 feet late in the night with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 355 Am Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge over south central florida will continue to transition south and east through today, resulting in increasing southeast winds. Winds will continue to veer to southwest on Friday ahead of an approaching disturbance, then become southeast again late in the weekend and early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday march 27th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 300732
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
332 am edt Thu mar 30 2017

Discussion
Long period east swells will keep the rip current risk
moderate at east coast beaches...

Developing rain chance Friday...

current... Water vapor imagery continues to show fairly dry
conditions aloft as mid-level shortwave ridging resides over the fl
peninsula. Weak surface high pressure ridging extends east-west
across the south-central fl peninsula. Pcloudy to mclear skies early
this morning with mild temperatures in the 60s, light winds and
conditions dry. A small threat does exist early on for some shallow,
patchy fog in prone locations, but this should be brief. Occasional
visibility issues will exist on roadways near ongoing active and
smoldering burns.

Today-tonight... Shortwave ridging will move eastward away from the
fl peninsula through the day as energy associated with an upper low
over the central CONUS swings eastward over the gomex tonight ending
up near the wcfl coast by sunrise Fri morning. At the surface, the
weak high pressure center near the northeast bahamas weakens and
ventures further east into the western atlc. This will allow for a
weakening frontal trough to move east and extend from the fl
panhandle through the eastern gulf by sunrise Fri morning. Light and
variable morning winds will become se/s and increase to 7-12 mph
over the interior and near 15 mph along the space/treasure coasts.

Expect another collision early this evening again across the
interior of both east/west sea breeze boundaries. Still inclined to
keep pcpn out of the forecast as both instability/moisture, while
gradually increasing, will still not be enough to ignite convection.

Having said that, the greatest threat to see a late day or early
evening pop-up shower would be north and west of i-4. Chances remain
10 percent or less. The gradually increasing moisture levels should
produce a healthy field of cumulus today.

Continued warm with afternoon highs generally in the m80s along the
coast and generally u80s to near 90 degrees inland. Overnight lows
continue mild and mainly in the 60s with some u50s possible inland
across normally cooler locales. Winds become light southerly tonight.

There will remain a potential for shallow, patchy fog overnight
generally well inland near prone areas. Still a concern remains if
any smoke from lingering brush fires mixes with fog and leads to
localized reduced visibilities on some roadways late tonight into
early morning fri.

Fri-sun... Strong disturbance responsible for organized convection
across the ms valley this morning will near the area during fri.

The feature will have weakened somewhat by the time it closes in
on the area, and a less favorable setup due to lower avbl moisture
will lead to no higher than sct shower and afternoon storm chcs.

A jet level wind maxima of 110 to 120 kt along with cooler mid
level temps (-11c @ h5) will accompany the feature during Fri and
this should partially offset lingering dryness vertically. Showers
and any storms are expected to exit to the atlc waters fri
evening with high pressure building in for the weekend. Warm days
and mild night time conditions can be expected this weekend with
no notable airmass change ascd with the passage of the disturbance
aloft.

Extended... A progressive pattern is shown during the period as
another disturbance is shown apchg the area mon. This feature
continues to be more defined with sct storms possible over the
peninsula Monday and ending Monday night. Sct rain coverage is
indicated for the period ATTM through Tue then becoming isold at
midweek. One final disturbance passing for the week around
Thursday may bring showers or a storm.

Aviation
ContinuedVFR thru the period. Will monitor early this morning
for shallow, patchy fog producing MVFR vsby's for a brief time.

Locally reduced visibilities will again be possible near any
active/smoldering fires. Light/variable winds will become se/s
increasing to 6-12 kts inland/volusia coast and near 15 kts along
the immediate space/treasure coasts. The ecsb will venture inland
again this afternoon/early evening. Winds will be light southerly
this evening/overnight. Increasing low-level moisture will spell
more CU development today and perhaps an isold late day/early
evening -shra north/west of i-4, but coverage/confidence not high
enough for inclusion of vicinity shower or a tempo group for any
tafs at this time.

Marine
Today-tonight... Already weak high pressure ridging over
the south-central fl peninsula will continue to weaken today while
the high pressure center near the NE bahamas slips further eastward
into the western atlc. Early morning light offshore flow will back
to s/se and increase to 10-15 kts over the waters thru the day and
continue to increase to 15-20 kts over the open atlc tonight. If
this holds true, cautionary statements will be necessary for small
craft this evening/overnight offshore. Seas 2-3 ft near shore and 3-
4 ft offshore today in a persistent long period easterly swell. The
increasing winds will build seas tonight to 3-4 ft near shore and 4-
5 ft offshore (north of sebastian inlet). Seas may build toward 6 ft
well offshore and north of the CAPE after midnight.

Fri-weekend... Brisk SW flow will bring higher sea state to the
outer waters with lower seas along the immediate coast. Caution
stmts may be req'd for at least the outer waters during Fri as
disturbance and any ascd pcpn moves over the region. Conditions
favorable for boating Sat and Sun with high pressure close to the
area. Seas 2-4 ft.

Another breezy day expected Monday with apch of next weather
system caution stmt may be required for a portion of the waters
mainly due to increasing winds.

Fire weather Today... High pressure's hold across the area will
gradually weaken as it drifts further into the western atlc. Should
see an increased cumulus field today as low-level moisture gradually
deepens. Light/variable early morning winds will become se/s and
increase to 6-12 mph over the interior/volusia coast and near 15 mph
along the space/treasure coasts. Dispersion values will be higher
today than recent days, at the high end of "generally good". Lowest
min rh values again this afternoon will be found well inland (30-
35pct) for at least a few hours. Localized vsby issues possible due
to smoke from any active/ongoing burns.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 85 66 87 62 / 10 10 30 10
mco 88 66 87 62 / 0 0 40 10
mlb 84 67 86 66 / 0 10 30 10
vrb 84 67 87 64 / 0 10 30 10
lee 86 67 85 64 / 10 10 40 10
sfb 87 66 85 61 / 10 10 30 10
orl 87 67 86 64 / 0 0 40 10
fpr 84 65 86 62 / 0 10 30 20

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Sedlock
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi45 min S 8 G 9.9 72°F 74°F1016.8 hPa (-0.4)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi54 min 73°F2 ft
41116 33 mi45 min 76°F4 ft
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi60 min Calm 64°F 1017 hPa60°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi47 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F62°F91%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------CalmCalm4SW8CalmCalmE8E7E8E8E7E8E7SE6SE7
1 day ago------------------3345W7E7E7E9NE9E10E11E10E9E10E6
2 days ago--------------------W5--55NE8NE10NE12NE12NE12NE15NE15E10E10E10

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Thu -- 01:11 AM EDT     4.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:10 AM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:26 PM EDT     4.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:00 PM EDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.14.14.14.14.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.14.14.14.14.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.2

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EDT     4.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:47 PM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.32.10.9-0-0.4-0.20.51.72.93.84.24.13.32.21-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.112.33.54.24.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.