Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mims, FL

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Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:59PM Sunday August 19, 2018 9:21 PM EDT (01:21 UTC) Moonrise 2:04PMMoonset 12:16AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 340 Pm Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 340 Pm Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge axis over central florida will drift into south florida through the midweek. A light to gentle southerly breeze will prevail with an east to southeast sea breeze each afternoon. Scattered Thunderstorms will occur over land during the afternoon hours with a chance for storms to push offshore, mainly north of sebastian inlet.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday august 17th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mims, FL
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location: 28.64, -80.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 191925
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
325 pm edt Sun aug 19 2018

Discussion
Currently tonight...

both east and west coast sea breezes have formed and have made
modest inland propagation... East coast breeze west of i-95, west
coast breeze approaching i-75. Thru sunset, precip coverage will be
sporadic, with the best chances occurring along and ahead of the
east coast sea breeze brevard osceola counties southward thru late
aftn. Coverage will migrate toward sunset, concentrating along the
i-4 corridor in the vcnty of the four corners area.

Lingering mid lyr dry air across the NRN counties will support wind
gusts arnd 40kts as the east west coast sea breezes begin to
interact. Chance shras tsras will continue into the early evening
for btwn orlando and poinciana due to late boundary collisions.

Lingering rains into late evng should dissipate by midnight.

Overnight mins in the l m70s.

Mon-tue...

the WRN flank of the bermuda ridge will remain parked over central
fl, maintaining a light srly low mid lvl flow. Rap40 showing
sufficient low mid lvl moisture on the SW flank of the ridge over
the bahama bank to maintain AOA climo pops thru the pd... H100-h70
mean rh values btwn 70-80pct, h85-h50 values btwn 60-70pct.

The ridge axis will remain in place over central fl thru Mon as a
frontal boundary extending from the mid south to the mid atlc has
temporarily stalled. Mean flow thru the h100-h70 and h85-h50 lyr
will remain out of the south at 10kts or less. This will allow both
east and west coast sea breezes to form arnd midday and make more or
less equal inland penetration... Coastal pops btwn 40-50pct.

Collision expected along the spine of the fl peninsula, resulting in
higher coverage... Pops 50-60pct over the interior.

By daybreak tue, a weak storm system dvlpg over the central plains,
being fed by a negatively tilted mid upr lvl short wave, will have
dvlpd into a well defined, high amp cyclone with its axis extending
from the great lakes region into the lwr ms valley. As the system
works its way east, the SRN extension of the system will dig its way
into the deep south, eroding the WRN flank of the bermuda ridge
while forcing it to retreat into the south fl peninsula. The
resulting low mid lvl flow will veer to W sw, although the fcst
pgrad over central fl will only support a mean flow of 5-10kts thru
the h100-h50 lyr. This scenario will allow both east west coast sea
breezes to form, with a dominant west coast focusing diurnal
convection back to the east coast. Pops 50pct interior and 60pct
along the coast.

Persistent srly flow component thru the pd will result in little day-
to-day temp variation... Aftn maxes in the u80s l90s along the coast
and l m90s interior... Morning mins in the l m70s.

Wed-sun... (prev disc)
the aforementioned storm system will lift by the end of the week,
allowing high pressure to build over the east coast. A trailing
surface front left behind by the trough will settle (and eventually
wash out) just to our north. Adequate moisture pooling ahead of the
boundary will combine with light offshore steering flow to maintain
at least a scattered coverage of afternoon storms even along the
coast, before storms start to shift inland in developing onshore
flow next weekend.

Aviation Thru 20 18z.

Sfc winds: thru 20 00z... Se 7-11kts. Btwn 20 00z-20 03z... Bcmg S 3-
6kts. Btwn 20 03z-20 06z... Bcmg vrbl AOB 3kts. Btwn 20 12z-20 15z...

bcmg S SE 6-10kts. Btwn 20 15z-20 18z... Coastal sites bcmg E SE 7-
11kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 20 00z... Sct MVFR shras ifr tsras all sites.

Btwn 20 00z-20 03z... N of kism-ktix sct MVFR shras ifr tsras slgt
chc lifr +tsra with sfc g35kts... S of kism-ktix slgt chc MVFR
shras ifr tsras. Aft 20 15z... Chc MVFR shras ifr tsras all sites.

Marine
Tonight... Little change in the current wx pattern as the bermuda
ridge axis positioned btwn CAPE canaveral and lake-o maintains a
light to gentle srly flow acrs the LCL atlc... E SE near the coast
and S SE offshore, veering to S SW areawide by midnight as the land
breeze circulation dvlps. Seas AOB 2ft. Isold shras over the open
atlc, mainly in the gulf stream.

Mon-tue... Surface high pressure will extend across the central
peninsula, but will break down by sunset Tue as a frontal trof digs
into the deep south. Light to gentle srly breeze will continue...

meandering btwn S SE and S SW with the diurnal seabreeze land breeze
circulation. Seas AOB 2ft. Offshore steering flow dvlpg on Tue will
increase the potential of blowback tsras in the late aftn early evng
hrs, mainly north of sebastian inlet.

Wed-thu... The aforementioned frontal trof will entrench itself over
the deep south, shunting the bermuda ridge into S fl. Resulting
sfc bndry lyr flow will shift to the S sw, though a brief S se
windshift near the coast will be psbl in the aftn hrs as the east
coast sea breeze dvlps. Seas AOB 2ft. Offshore steering flow will
result in blowback tsras areawide.

Fri... Frontal trof will lift up the ERN seaboard, allowing the
bermuda ridge to rebuild into central fl, albeit in a weakened
state. Sfc bndry lyr winds shifting back to SE in a light to gentle
breeze. Seas AOB 2ft. Chc of shras tsras.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 90 76 91 30 40 20 40
mco 76 93 76 93 30 50 30 40
mlb 77 90 77 91 20 40 20 40
vrb 76 90 75 90 20 40 10 30
lee 77 93 77 93 40 50 30 40
sfb 77 92 77 94 30 50 30 40
orl 77 93 77 94 30 50 30 40
fpr 75 90 76 89 20 40 10 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Forecast marine... ... Bragaw
aviation impact wx... Volkmer
radar watch... ... ... .Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 19 mi34 min W 11 G 14 80°F 84°F1020.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 22 mi82 min 81°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 34 mi32 min SSW 7.8 G 12 84°F 2 ft1018.3 hPa79°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 74 mi97 min SSE 8 84°F 1019 hPa73°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL8 mi35 minVar 67.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F71°F79%1019 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL17 mi26 minW 810.00 miA Few Clouds80°F70°F74%1018.6 hPa

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Last 24hr------------------CalmCalmSW4SW4SW7S5S6S65SE9SE10SE10S10SW10
G15
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1 day ago------------------S4----CalmCalm--NE6NE66SE10S10SE9S11S6--
2 days ago------------------S5----CalmCalm--SE7SE7SE10SE10SE10--SE855

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Sun -- 01:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:15 AM EDT     4.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:17 AM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:43 PM EDT     4.05 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

Tide / Current Tables for Playalinda Beach, Florida
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Playalinda Beach
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Sun -- 01:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:46 AM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:12 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:37 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:47 PM EDT     1.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.433.53.63.32.821.30.70.50.61.11.82.53.23.63.63.32.82.11.51.111.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.