Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 2:57 AM   Moonset 2:35 PM

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GMZ870 Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 To 60 Nm- 423 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Today - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest late. Seas around 2 feet this morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: west 1 foot at 2 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds. Saturday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. Saturday night - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Monday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Monday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 423 Am Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - Area of high pressure remains in control over the gulf waters through the period. Fairly dry conditions are anticipated today. Winds should remain 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less making for pleasant boating conditions through the week. A sea breeze is expected close to the coast each afternoon and evening. A weak front to approach portions of the area during the weekend, but highest chances of rain are expected to be over land.

FXUS62 KTAE 031051 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 651 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Onshore flow continues today and tonight as the Bermuda high remains parked off to the east. Mid to upper level riding is expected to weaken a bit and shift further south with the ridge axis closer to the FL Peninsula. This along with increasing moisture across the area will allow for a bit more coverage of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Forecast soundings show DCAPE near 800-900 J/kg this afternoon, so a few of the storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds the primary hazard. High temperatures today are forecast a tiny bit cooler than yesterday due to the increase in cloud cover and the shifting of the ridge axis to the south. Highs are still forecast in the upper 80s to low 90s with lows overnight in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are possible Saturday afternoon as an H5 shortwave moves through the Southeast. A few showers and storms are possible along the sea breeze as it pushes inland. However, the best opportunity for rain will be closer to the shortwave in southwestern Georgia. Additional showers and storms are possible Sunday as the shortwave lifts out of the region.
Highs will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s around the region both days with lows in the middle to upper 60s Saturday night.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Showers and thunderstorms remain possible Monday afternoon, mainly along the I-75 corridor, before ridging aloft takes over the rest of the work week. Surface high pressure situated between Bermuda and the Bahamas coupled with H85 temperatures climbing to between 18 to 20C will support highs in the lower to middle 90s by the middle of next week. An increase in low-level moisture will also push overnight lows from the middle 60s Monday and Tuesday night to the upper 60s to lower 70s, even away from the coast, by Wednesday night. While records are not explicitly forecast, one or two locations could flirt with their record highs Wednesday and/or Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

A few spots of fog and low stratus across the area currently will lift to VFR by mid to late morning. A few showers and storms are possible later this afternoon and early evening, but overall coverage is expected to be fairly low. Another round of fog/low stratus will be possible later tonight.

MARINE
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

High pressure in the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Warm and moist conditions will continue today and over the weekend with rain chances increasing on Saturday. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and evening, with more widespread showers and storms possible all day Saturday. Winds may fluctuate between southeast and southwest over the next several days. A seabreeze is likely to develop and move inland each afternoon. Very good to excellent dispersions are also likely each afternoon with very high mixing heights.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

The last of the Flood Warnings from the April 10/11th flood event will be cancelled sometime this morning as the Suwannee River at Manatee Springs drops below Minor Flood stage. Several sites along the Suwannee remain in Action Stage along with the Aucilla at Lamont and St Marks at Newport.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible the next couple of days and could lead to localized 0.25 to 0.75 inches of rain.
Outside of that, no flooding is anticipated at this time over the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 89 68 87 66 / 20 10 60 20 Panama City 85 69 85 68 / 10 0 20 10 Dothan 89 68 88 66 / 20 10 50 20 Albany 90 68 87 65 / 30 20 70 30 Valdosta 89 68 85 66 / 30 20 70 20 Cross City 89 66 87 66 / 10 10 40 10 Apalachicola 80 69 80 70 / 10 0 20 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Cedar Key
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:48 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:26 AM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:17 PM EDT     1.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:09 PM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cedar Key, Way Key, Florida, Tide feet

Suwannee River entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:47 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:17 AM EDT     3.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:25 PM EDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:14 PM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Suwannee River entrance, Florida, Tide feet

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