Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sugarmill Woods, FL

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Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 8:06PM Sunday August 19, 2018 10:09 AM EDT (14:09 UTC) Moonrise 2:11PMMoonset 12:23AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 345 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Today..Southwest winds around 5 knots increasing to around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots after midnight, then becoming south toward morning. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming southwest around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 345 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
Synopsis.. High pressure will remain over the region for the next several days. Winds and seas will be briefly higher near Thunderstorms, otherwise no headlines are expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sugarmill Woods, FL
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location: 28.72, -82.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 191306
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
906 am edt Sun aug 19 2018

Update
Increased mean layer moisture this morning as seen in 12z
sounding with light steering flow. Current radar imagery showing
scattered coastal showers and isolated thunderstorms before
the sea breeze develops. Expect another warm and humid
august day with increased coverage of diurnal and boundary
interaction thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening
hours with best chances around i-75 corridor and inland
areas. Latest grids and forecasts on track.

Aviation
Continue to expectVFR conditions most areas today outside
of convection where experience brief localized MVFR ifr
cigs vsbys from around 18z-00z.

Prev discussion issued 345 am edt Sun aug 19 2018
short term (today - Monday)...

after an usually dry august day for much of the area yesterday, a
more typical pattern will resume today as moisture surges back into
the area from the south. Pw values return to the 1.5-2.0 range this
afternoon and this combined with the presence of the gulf and
atlantic sea breezes should allow for sct coverage of afternoon
storms across interior portions of the forecast area. Rain chances
likely a touch lower near the immediate gulf coast but still isolated
to scattered in nature. Surface ridge placement will keep a similar
pattern in place for Monday. Temperatures will top out around
seasonal norms in the lower 90s.

Long term (Monday night - Sunday)...

strong high pressure near bermuda will continue to influence the
weather keeping an east through southeast wind flow across florida
through the middle of next week. This pattern will favor shower storm
development along the east coast of florida earlier in the afternoon
and then progressing westward through late afternoon and into the
evening hours. By late Tuesday next week, a stronger upper trough
approaches the region from the northwest and will suppress the upper
ridge to the south near the bahamas through the end of next week.

This will result in a wind shift change to the south-southwest which
will result in showers storms developing earlier in the day and
moving from west to east. Warm and humid conditions will continue
through the period. Daytime high temps in the low 90s with heat
indices between 100 and 105 degrees can be expected daily.

Marine...

western atlantic high pressure stretches across florida and out over
the gulf of mexico through the weekend with an axis meandering
across central florida that then drops down over south florida
during early next. The pressure gradient remains relaxed with the
main concern being locally higher winds and seas near showers and
thunderstorms.

Fire weather...

ample moisture will be in place through the period keeping fire
weather concerns low.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 92 77 91 78 30 20 20 20
fmy 90 75 91 76 40 10 40 20
gif 93 75 93 75 50 30 50 30
srq 90 77 91 78 30 10 20 20
bkv 92 74 91 75 40 20 30 30
spg 91 78 91 78 20 10 20 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for coastal
charlotte-coastal lee-coastal sarasota.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine fire weather... 25 davis
upper air... 05 carlisle
decision support... 19 hurt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 20 mi136 min E 1.9 G 4.1 79°F 1017.7 hPa
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 37 mi70 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 86°F 1018.2 hPa (+1.7)74°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 41 mi76 min ESE 5.1 G 6 84°F 1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Crystal River Airport, FL10 mi75 minN 0 miFair81°F73°F79%1018.3 hPa
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL19 mi77 minSE 310.00 miFair79°F73°F85%1018.5 hPa

Wind History from CGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNW4E3CalmCalmW5W4W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE3CalmCalmW6W7CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3
2 days agoSE5SE4SE5CalmCalmNW4
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CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE9SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5

Tide / Current Tables for Chassahowitzka, Chassahowitzka River, Florida
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Chassahowitzka
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Sun -- 12:20 AM EDT     0.27 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:52 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:10 PM EDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:34 PM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Halls River bridge, Homosassa River, Florida
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Halls River bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:27 AM EDT     0.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:15 PM EDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:29 PM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.