Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sanford, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday May 24, 2018 9:39 PM EDT (01:39 UTC) Moonrise 2:47PMMoonset 2:33AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 405 Pm Edt Thu May 24 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 405 Pm Edt Thu May 24 2018
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will sag southward across north florida through Friday night, resulting in a weakening east to southeast breeze across local waters. Boating conditions will then deteriorate over memorial day weekend, with the development and northward movement of a tropical low pressure system over the eastern gulf of mexico. Expect increasing winds and building seas, with increasing chances for squally showers and isolated lightning storms.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 21st. 38 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sanford, FL
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location: 28.83, -81.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 250132
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
930 pm edt Thu may 24 2018

Discussion
Rap40 analysis shows the WRN flank of the bermuda ridge axis has
been disrupted by broad frontal trof over the carolinas deep south.

This has resulted in a southward shift of the ridge axis into
central fl, creating a sfc low lvl pgrad that is roughly parallel to
the orientation of the fl peninsula. Steady SE flow prevails thru
the h100-h70 lyr will push increasing moisture in from the
bahamas... Evng raobs measured pwat values increasing from arnd 1.75"
at ktbw to 2.00" at mynn, while h100-h70 mean rh increases from 60-
70pct along the i-4 corridor, to btwn 80-90pct over the NRN bahamas.

Lcl wx radar network shows diurnal convection concentrated along the
big bend region and moving nw... Only a few low-topped shra in the
gulf stream.

Increasing precip chances overnight as the low mid lvl moistures
works its way into central fl. However, strength of the h85-h50
steering flow is blo 10kts, resulting in slow precip motion. Any
shras that form will therefore have to spend a longer time over the
cooler shelf waters, limiting the potential for measurable precip to
the coastal zones with pops blo 50pct.

Aftn fcst package looks good with chc shras incrsg from slgt chc
thru early mrng to chc along the space treasure coasts in the
predawn hrs. Min temps will be near the current sfc dewpoints in the
u60s l70s.

Aviation Thru 26 00z.

Sfc winds: thru 25 06z... E SE 8-13kts bcmg E SE AOB 3kts. Btwn
25 12z-25 15z... Bcmg E SE 8-13kts... Coastal sites S of kmlb ocnl sfc
g18-22kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 25 09z... PrevailingVFR with cigs AOA fl120... E
of ktts-kobe slgt chc MVFR shras. Btwn 25 09z-25 12z... E of komn-
kobe slgt chc MVFR shras... Coastal sites S of kmlb chc MVFR
shras slgt chc ifr tsras. Aft 25 12z... W of klee-kvrb nmrs MVFR
shras sct ifr tsras... E klee-kvrb chc MVFR shras slgt chc ifr
tsras.

Marine
Troffing over the carolinas deep south has disrupted the WRN flank
of the bermuda ridge axis, resulting in a somewhat loose pgrad over
the LCL atlc. Favorable boating conds overnight as the east-to-west
pgrad generates a light to gentle E SE breeze. Seas 2-3ft nearshore
and 3-4ft offshore. Chc of shras thru early morning, bcmg a chc of
shras and a slgt chc tsras in the predawn hrs.

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
radar impact wx... ... .Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41118 41 mi70 min 78°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi52 min ESE 5.1 G 8.9 78°F 82°F1019.5 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 57 mi115 min SE 7 79°F 1020 hPa74°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi50 min ESE 9.7 G 12 79°F 78°F2 ft1018.1 hPa74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL5 mi47 minESE 710.00 miFair78°F70°F76%1017.8 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL19 mi47 minE 610.00 miFair80°F70°F71%1018.2 hPa

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE8SE7SE5SE5S6S4S3S3CalmE4E3SE4SE5S6CalmCalmNE6E12E11E13E13SE13E11E7
1 day agoSE5E3SE5S3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE5S5SE7CalmSE6E3NE4E12E12SE8SE10SE9
2 days agoE3E3E4CalmE6SE4E4CalmE3E5CalmSE7SE9SE10SE8S8SE12SE7S17
G28
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Tide / Current Tables for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
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Ponce Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:20 AM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:46 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:57 PM EDT     2.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.61.31.92.52.82.82.41.81.10.40-0.10.20.81.52.12.72.92.72.21.60.90.3

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:04 AM EDT     2.81 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:32 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:45 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:41 PM EDT     2.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.81.422.62.82.72.21.60.90.3-0-00.411.62.32.72.82.621.40.70.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.