Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sanford, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:32PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 6:30 PM EST (23:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:34PMMoonset 11:33PM Illumination 44% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 530 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely late.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of rain in the morning.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday..North winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 530 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..A wave of low pressure will lift northeast across north florida tonight, generating increasing south to southwest winds over the waters. This wave will push significant cold front south of the waters on Thursday and into the florida straits by Thursday night. A moderate to fresh northwest to north breeze behind the front will generate poor to hazardous boating conditions Thursday night into Friday, especially in the gulf stream.
Gulf stream hazards..South to southwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas building to 5 to 7 feet north of sebastian inlet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday november 12th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 32 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sanford, FL
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 28.83, -81.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kmlb 142102
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
400 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Discussion
Currently tonight...

transitional wx pattern in play as central fl switches from a
convective sea breeze regime to a isentropic rain cold air advection
pattern. Latest obs and Sat pics show the east coast sea breeze
pushing west of the i-95 corridor by early aftn, and hints of the
west coast breeze dvlpg south of the i-4 corridor. Kmlb radar
showing isold pockets of convection dvlpg along the along the east
coast breeze. Ktbw radar quiet over land, but showing a extensive
line of precip that appears to be largely stratiform in nature... A
few embedded shras tsras noted along the leading edge of an
expansive stratified cloud deck extending from the bay of campeche to
the oh river valley. Low mid lvl analysis shows a deep cut off low
in the vcnty of the ARKLATEX driving by a very strong h30-h20 jet
streak extending from the lwr ms valley to new england.

Lcl WRF hrrr models showing a sea breeze collision occurring along
and west of the of the fl turnpike by sunset, advecting eastward
thru late evng as h100-h70 mean flow veers to S sw. Aft midnight,
however, these models diminish precip coverage intensity greatly,
most likely due to the fact that they focus on convective precip.

Latest rap40 analysis showing strong isentropic lift occurring ahead
of the cloud line, a wx pattern that suppo.Fire weather...

fri-sun... Much drier airmass builds into the area Friday behind the
cold front. Min rh values in the upper 30s to low 40s currently
forecast over the interior for Friday afternoon. A weak onshore flow
will then develop into the weekend, which will gradually modify the
dry airmass in place and keep min rh above critical values. Rts
stratiform precip instead of convective precip.

As the cut off low lifts NE under the influence of the jet, this
area of isentropic lift will combine with a low lvl convergence line
extending from the yucatan peninsula acrs central fl to generate
widespread precip over the space coast i-4 corridor... Likely precip
over the treasure coast lake-o region. GFS model moves a large area
of mid lvl omega lift acrs central fl overnight, but little in the
way of h30-h20 divergence, suggesting that the wx pattern will shift
from convective precip to stratiform precip overnight.

Pwat values increasing to 1.75"-2.00", but evenly distributed thru
the column with no distinct saturation lyr. H85-h50 dewpoint
depressions drop to btwn 3-5c, h100-h70 mean rh increasing to 80-
90pct. While precip coverage will be high, total QPF values will be
slow, generally btwn 0.25"-0.50". Sfc low lvl winds veering to a
light srly flow will combine with thick cloud cover will keep temps
in the m u60s along and north of i-4 to the l m70s along the
space treasure coasts... 10-15f abv avg.

Thu Thu night... Embedded within deep strong SW flow, the cut-off
low will lift acrs the tn oh valleys and into the great lake region
thru the day where it will be absorbs by a much larger independent
storm system over canada. As it does, it will crank a cold front
through much of central fl by daybreak, and into the fl straits nrn
bahamas by sunset. Precip chances will decrease acrs central fl from
nw to se... FROPA timing suggests slgt chc of light rain over the i-4
corridor space coast, chc light rain treasure coast lake-o... QPF blo
0.10.

Tricky temp forecast given the timing of the fropa. Persistent cloud
cover will combine with onset of cold air advection early in the day
to limit temp rise to just a few degrees from the i-4 corridor cape
canaveral northward... Maxes in the u70s l80s south of i-4 and cape
canaveral will be no more than 10f from the morning mins. Cold air
advection beginning in earnest Thu night with clearing skies and
steady NW sfc low lvl winds. Min temps to drop significantly
overnight... Into the l m40s north of i-4... U40s l50 interior south
of i-4 to sebastian inlet... And m u50s treasure coast.

Fri-sun... .Fire weather...

fri-sun... Much drier airmass builds into the area Friday behind the
cold front. Min rh values in the upper 30s to low 40s currently
forecast over the interior for Friday afternoon. A weak onshore flow
will then develop into the weekend, which will gradually modify the
dry airmass in place and keep min rh above critical values. Cold
front shifts south of florida with high pressure over the northern
gulf coast maintaining a dry and cool northerly flow across the area
into late week. After morning temps in the 40s and 50s, highs will
only reach the mid to upper 60s over much of the area Friday, except
low 70s along the treasure coast. Airmass is slowly modified as low
level winds veer onshore into the weekend, but airmass remains quite
dry, keeping rain chances out of the forecast. Temperatures will
drop again into the 40s and low 50s over much of the region Friday
night, and then highs will rise into the 70s this weekend with lows
in the 50s Saturday night.

Mon-wed... (modified previous discussion)
by Monday, another area of high pressure will move from central u.S.

To the southeast and mid-atlantic coast, keeping quiet weather
conditions over land and isolated to scattered showers over the
waters through Wednesday. A few of these showers may push onshore
along the coast, but otherwise it will remain mostly dry into early-
mid next week. Temperature wise, highs will generally range from the
mid-upper 70s and lows will range from the 50s to low 60s along
coastal locations south of the cape.

Aviation Thru 15 18z.

Sfc winds: thru 15 03z... E NE 8-12kts. Btwn 15 03z-15 06z... Bcmg
s SE 4-6kts xcpt klee bcmg W SW 4-6kts. Btwn 15 07z-15 10z... N of
kism-kmlb bcmg W NW 4-6kts xcpt klee bcmg NW 7-10kts... S of kism-
kmlb bcmg W SW 3-5kts. Btwn 15 12-15 15z... Bcmg NW 8-12kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 15 04z... N of kgif-kevb lkly MVFR shras slgt chc
ifr tsras... S of kgif-kevb chc MVFR shras slgt chc ifr tsras. Btwn
15 04z-15 12z... N of kmlb-ksef wdsprd MVFR vsbys in -ra br CIGS btwn
fl010-020... S of kmlb-ksef lkly MVFR vsbys in -ra br CIGS btwn fl020-
030. Btwn 15 12z-15 15z... S of kmlb-ksef chc MVFR vsbys in -ra cigs
bcmg fl030-050... N of kmlb-ksef slgt chc MVFR vsbys in -ra CIGS btwn
fl040-060.

Marine
Tonight... East winds shifting to gentle to moderate S SW breeze
overnight as a cold front pushes thru central fl. Seas 3-4ft and up
to 5ft in the gulf stream at sunset... By daybreak building to 4-6ft
north of sebastian inlet (up to 7ft in the gulf stream), 3-5ft south
of the inlet. Thru midnight, sct nmrs shras... Slgt chc tsras. Aft
midnight, widespread light rain north of sebastian inlet, light rain
likely to the south.

Thu-thu night... Poor to hazardous boating conds as winds veer to a
gentle to moderate NW breeze thru the day, moderate to fresh
overnight as a post frontal surge of cold air works its way into the
region. Seas building to 5-6ft nearshore and 6-7ft offshore.

Decreasing light rain from NW to se.

Fri-mon... Northerly winds around 15 knots Friday will maintain poor
to hazardous boating conditions with rough seas up to 6 feet,
potentially up to 7 feet over the gulf stream. Winds then weaken and
veer to onshore through the weekend, with seas falling to 2-4 feet.

Developing weak low to the northeast will produce another northerly
surge into early next week, with winds potentially increasing to 15-
20 knots and seas up to 5-6 feet.

Fire weather
Fri-sun... Much drier airmass builds into the area Friday behind the
cold front. Min rh values in the upper 30s to low 40s currently
forecast over the interior for Friday afternoon. A weak onshore flow
will then develop into the weekend, which will gradually modify the
dry airmass in place and keep min rh above critical values.

Climate
Record highs for today, november 14th:
dab 86 2008
mco 88 2008
sfb 88 2008
mlb 87 1970
vrb 85 2008
fpr 88 1970
vero beach has the best chance to set a new record high today.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 68 72 43 64 60 30 10 0
mco 69 76 49 66 50 30 10 0
mlb 71 79 48 69 40 30 10 10
vrb 70 82 53 69 40 40 20 10
lee 66 70 45 66 60 30 0 0
sfb 68 73 46 66 50 30 10 0
orl 69 75 49 67 50 30 10 0
fpr 70 82 54 70 40 40 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Bragaw
long term impact wx... Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi30 min E 5.1 G 8 78°F 80°F1017.1 hPa (-0.6)
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 57 mi45 min NNE 11 73°F 1018 hPa73°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi20 min SE 9.7 G 12 81°F 1016.1 hPa74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
Last
24hr
SE8
G11
SE6
G9
S7
S6
S7
S5
SW4
S3
SW5
NW3
N7
N5
G8
N6
N4
N4
NE4
G7
NE6
G10
NE8
E8
NE8
E5
G9
E6
G10
E6
G9
E6
1 day
ago
SE9
G12
SE10
G13
SE11
SE11
G14
SE12
G15
S12
G15
S7
S8
G11
S6
G10
S4
SW4
SW2
S8
SE6
SE4
G7
S7
S9
SE6
SE4
G8
SE3
SE8
SE6
G10
SE6
G10
SE7
G10
2 days
ago
NE9
NE10
G13
NE9
G14
NE11
G17
NE11
G15
NE11
G15
NE11
G15
NE10
G14
NE9
G13
E8
G13
E10
G13
E7
G13
E6
G9
E6
G11
E9
G12
E8
G13
E11
G16
SE8
G12
E10
G15
SE13
G18
SE4
G11
SE10
SE9
G13
SE8
G13

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL5 mi37 minNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F75°F94%1015.8 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL19 mi37 minNE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F72°F88%1016 hPa

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last 24hrSE5S3CalmCalmNW4N8N10
G16
N8N12N8N7N5CalmNW5N5NE8E8E3NE3NE11NE10NE9NE4NE4
1 day agoE4SE6SE6S6S7S5S5S4S6S6S5S5S3S3S5S6S6S8S9S83S6SW4SE4
2 days agoNE4NE5NE4NE4NE4NE3NE3E3E4N3NE4N3NE4E5E7SE9E15SE14SE8SE8SE8E7E7E5

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:19 AM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:48 AM EST     0.82 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:00 PM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:34 PM EST     1.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:31 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.42.32.11.81.41.10.90.811.31.72.12.42.62.52.21.91.51.2111.21.51.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:16 AM EST     2.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EST     0.91 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:56 PM EST     2.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:39 PM EST     1.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:31 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.52.42.21.91.51.210.911.41.82.22.52.62.52.31.91.61.31.11.11.31.61.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.