Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sanford, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:16PM Saturday May 25, 2019 6:50 AM EDT (10:50 UTC) Moonrise 12:21AMMoonset 11:21AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 329 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Today..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 6 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 329 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis..High pressure over the west atlantic will gradually shift southward and eventually extend across central florida into early next week. A gentle to moderate easterly breeze will continue across the waters into the weekend, with winds becoming south to southeast into early next week. SWells will slowly diminish through the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday may 22nd. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sanford, FL
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location: 28.83, -81.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 250912
afdmlb
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service melbourne fl
510 am edt Sat may 25 2019

Discussion
Hot and dry weather pattern to persist through next week...

Moderate rip current risk expected through the holiday weekend...

today-tonight... Hot and dry conditions to persist today as strong
ridge aloft remains across the southeast united states. Ridge axis
of weak sfc high pressure over the west atlantic settles slightly
south across volusia county. This will slightly weaken low level
onshore flow across northern half of central florida to start the
day, but winds still increase up to 10-15 mph into the afternoon
with inland progression of the sea breeze. Temps should be slightly
warmer than yesterday, especially inland, with highs forecast to
reach the mid 90s over lake county. Farther east across the interior
upper 80s to low 90s expected for MAX temps, with mid 80s forecast
along the coast. While still not very humid, with dewpoints ranging
from the mid-upper 60s over the interior, heat index values will
still be able to reach the mid to upper 90s making it feel even
warmer. Along the coast heat index values will MAX out closer to the
upper 80s to low 90s.

Skies will remain clear to mostly clear across the region through
tonight. Temperatures will fall into the upper 60s to low 70s late,
except mid 70s along coastal areas south of the CAPE that keep an
elevated onshore flow.

Next week... The strong SE CONUS mid level ridge will gradually
settle southward over the top of florida through Thursday, then
flatten and retrograde into the gomex on Friday-Saturday. At the
surface, the atlantic ridge axis will settle into the central CWA by
Monday, and then the southern half of the area from Tuesday onward.

Resulting southerly and even southwesterly wind flow, albeit light,
will allow temps to climb a few more degrees, reaching the mid 90s
over the interior and NE from mid to late week.

W r t the actual numbers, will continue to cap maxes, but this time
a degree higher (96f) than the 95f that was used yesterday. This
lines up well with the new ecm mos, which shows maxes no higher than
that (the lone exception in the guidance is 97f Tue at mco). The
widespread 97-99f maxes of the GFS for Sunday through Tuesday look a
little too high. Nevertheless, next week, including the remainder of
the memorial day weekend, will be hot well above normal.

With the ridge a little slower to break down this model cycle, the
small TS chances around lake o on Thursday have been removed, however
the slow trend toward increasing moisture and chances for diurnal
convection continues for Friday (20) and Saturday (20-30).

Aviation Very brief MVFR CIGS around 3kft possible from kvrb-
ksua through early this morning from low level clouds pushing
onshore. Otherwise,VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours.

Marine Today-tonight... Ridge axis of high pressure over the west
atlantic settles across the volusia county waters today, with
onshore winds ranging from 5-10 knots north of the CAPE and around
10-15 knots to the south. Seas will range from 2-3 feet, except up
to 4 feet over the gulf stream waters south of the cape.

Sunday-Wednesday... Low level flow will veer from light east-se on
Sunday to s-sw by Tuesday and beyond. A brief increase in S to sw
flow late Monday-Monday night could briefly nudge seas up to 4ft
offshore. Otherwise. Speeds below 15kt with a diurnal enhancement
near shore by the ecsb circulation and seas 2-3ft.

Fire weather The hot and dry weather pattern across the area
will persist through the holiday weekend into next week, with rain
chances remaining out of the forecast through next Thursday. This
will allow all fuel types (especially widespread type 7 fine fuels
typical of florida to dry become more receptive for fire growth with
a moderate to high afternoon probability of ignition each day.

Climate Record high and high-min temperatures through Monday...

loc date hi-max hi-min
dab 25-may 97 2000 75 1991
mco 98 1962 74 2014
sfb 99 1962 74 2000
mlb 95 2000 79 2015
vrb 95 1949 77 1991
fpr 96 1917 78 1933
dab 26-may 100 1953 76 2015
mco 99 1953 74 2015
sfb 100 1962 74 2015
mlb 95 1962 79 2015
vrb 97 1975 77 2015
fpr 98 1949 77 1933
dab 27-may 97 1967 75 1998
mco 100 1962 76 1953
sfb 100 1962 75 2000
mlb 95 1962 76 2015
vrb 98 1953 79 1991
fpr 95 1902 77 1991

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 87 69 90 71 0 0 0 0
mco 91 70 93 71 0 0 0 0
mlb 86 75 87 73 0 0 0 0
vrb 85 72 88 70 0 0 0 0
lee 94 70 95 73 0 0 10 0
sfb 91 70 93 70 0 0 0 0
orl 91 71 93 72 0 0 0 0
fpr 85 71 87 70 0 0 0 0

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Weitlich
long term dss... Cristaldi


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi50 min ESE 4.1 G 6 75°F 82°F1020 hPa (-0.0)
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 57 mi65 min W 1.9 66°F 1020 hPa66°F
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi40 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 78°F 1019.2 hPa69°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL5 mi57 minW 310.00 miFair69°F66°F90%1019 hPa
Orlando Executive Airport, FL19 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair72°F68°F87%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from SFB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3NE3NE3E7E6NE8NE11NE7NE8NE10NE9E6E10E6E5E5E4NE3CalmSE3S3S3S4W3
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2 days agoE5SE4SE7E5SE4NE8NE8NE11E12E14E12E11E15E12E7E5E5E6E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:46 AM EDT     2.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:19 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:03 PM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.12.221.71.310.70.50.50.81.11.51.81.91.81.61.30.90.60.40.40.61

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:43 AM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:23 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:59 PM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:34 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.22.22.11.81.41.10.80.60.60.81.21.61.921.91.61.310.70.50.50.71.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.