Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Glencoe, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 7:42PM Thursday March 30, 2017 2:42 AM EDT (06:42 UTC) Moonrise 8:16AMMoonset 9:40PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1013 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 1013 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge over east central florida will settle south and east through Thursday, resulting in light winds. Seas will be slow to subside due to a persistent easterly swell. Winds will increase out of the south and southwest late Thursday through Friday ahead of an approaching disturbance, then become southeast again by early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 5 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday march 27th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Glencoe, FL
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location: 29.01, -80.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 300100
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
900 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Update
Current... Another benign sea breeze collision ongoing over N lake/
w orange/nw osceola counties. Clouds near and west of the collision
area will linger for a few hours before dissipating, leaving clear
skies overhead. Dry/stable air mass not terribly conducive to fog
formation, and forecast update will only go with patches across lake
county and around lake okeechobee. Otherwise, just the usual minor
tweaks to sky/temps/wind grids account for current conditions.

Aviation Vfr. Skc through about 14z... Few-sct045-060 thereafter
with lcly bkn cigs.

Marine Se winds below 10kt with seas 3-4ft in an 11s swell,
which will linger overnight into Thursday. Made a small tweak to
show a slightly longer period than indicated by wnawave/nwps model
guidance, per current NOAA buoy obs.

Update/aviation... Cristaldi
dss/impact wx... Bragaw

Prev discussion /issued 316 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017/
Thursday... High pressure will drift eastward from the bahamas and
also move east off the mid atlantic coast. This will allow low level
flow to veer to the south with high temperatures into the lower to
mid 80s along the immediate coast and in the upper 80s for the
interior. The east coast sea breeze will form along the east coast
by early afternoon and push inland into late afternoon and early
evening. Pwats nudge up to 1.1-1.2 across interior sections in the
afternoon which should produced a healthy cumulus field. Will keep
forecast dry with models not indicating any QPF across the nrn
interior late though late day sea breeze convergence could produce a
shower or two near sunset. Long period east swells will keep the rip
current risk elevated at east coast beaches.

Thu night-fri night... Approaching disturbance aloft will bring an
increase in rainfall chances by Friday. A warm late march night for
thurs with lows in the mid 60s. On Friday, temperatures will climb
toward the mid/upper 80s southern sections and a few degrees lower
north with earlier timing of clouds/precip moving into the area.

Sufficient increase in moisture coupled with disturbance aloft
expected to produce scattered showers and a few storms. Have
scattered pops in all areas along with slight thunderstorm mention
for the afternoon hours. A few showers may linger into the evening
across the southern sections. Overnight mins into Sat morning will
remain below normal... With low/mid 60s most areas.

Previous forecast discussion for this weekend into next week...

weekend... A transitory ridge will become established over the area
with pleasant but warm temperatures expected and scattered
cloudiness at most. Onshore breezes will develop along the coast
each afternoon... Breezy at times due to the seasonally strong
thermal contrast in the coastal zone. Highs in the m-u80s inland
with overnight lows 60-65.

Extended... Another disturbance is shown apchg the area during mon.

This feature initially looks a little more defined than the previous
one, and a window for development of sct storms should exist at
least over the northern portion of the peninsula late Monday and
into tue. As ul energy driving the system pulls away from the area,
a lingering boundary sagging into the central peninsula tue-wed may
help in local pcpn development diurnally.

Sct rain coverage is indicated for the period ATTM through Tue then
becoming isold at midweek.

Aviation
Vfr prevailing at all sites. East coast sea breeze moving inland
should reach the interior sites around 21z to 22z this afternoon
turning winds easterly around 10 kt. After sunset this evening winds
will be light and variable. Some patchy fog is possible Thursday
morning but have left out for the time being.

Marine
Tonight... Se winds to 10 knots this evening will veer to the south
overnight. Seas will continue 3-4 ft in an east swell.

Thu... S winds to 10 knots in the morning will become SE 10-15 knots
near shore in the afternoon. Seas will remain in the 3-4 ft range
mainly in an east swell.

Thu night-Monday... Southerly winds will pick up Thursday night then
veer more SW Friday ahead of approaching disturbance. Seas will
build as this occurs, especially the offshore legs and may need some
headlines by late Thursday night. Also, some offshore moving storms
possible on Friday. Boating conditions will improve by Saturday with
high pressure pattern over area. Winds again veer to south and begin
to increase late Sunday into Mon as the next low pressure system
moves into SE states.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 63 85 66 81 / 0 10 10 40
mco 65 88 65 84 / 0 10 10 40
mlb 65 84 68 83 / 0 0 10 30
vrb 62 85 68 83 / 0 0 0 30
lee 65 88 65 82 / 0 10 10 40
sfb 65 88 65 83 / 0 10 10 40
orl 66 87 65 83 / 0 10 10 40
fpr 61 85 67 83 / 0 0 0 30

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Volkmer
mid-long term... .Glitto
aviation... Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 46 mi43 min SW 5.1 G 7 73°F 75°F1017.7 hPa (-0.5)
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi58 min Calm 68°F 1018 hPa67°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 49 mi22 min 73°F2 ft

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL4 mi4.9 hrsESE 610.00 miA Few Clouds72°F64°F78%1017.3 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL12 mi50 minS 510.00 miFair71°F63°F78%1017 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL21 mi50 minS 310.00 miFair71°F59°F66%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------CalmCalmW4W5W4CalmE6E8E8E10E10E10E10SE6SE6SE6
1 day ago----------------CalmCalmCalmW3--CalmE9E10E10E10SE10SE10SE10SE10SE5SE5
2 days ago----------------Calm--CalmCalmN4E6NE7NE8NE8NE8NE10NE10E10E10E5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:55 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:00 AM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:16 PM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:34 PM EDT     3.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
32.21.30.5-0.1-0.300.71.52.32.93.12.92.31.40.5-0.2-0.5-0.40.21.11.92.73.2

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida
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Ponce Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:09 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 AM EDT     3.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:30 PM EDT     -0.59 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:50 PM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.12.51.60.6-0-0.3-0.10.51.32.12.83.23.12.51.60.7-0.1-0.5-0.5-00.81.72.53.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.