Sunrise 6:36 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 4:26 AM   Moonset 5:44 PM

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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 945 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
This afternoon - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Thursday - South winds 10 knots, becoming 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Thursday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Friday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 945 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis - Favorable boating conditions are expected this week as high pressure over the western atlantic remains in control. A more dominant offshore flow will develop late in the week as the atlantic ridge axis slips south of the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, may 2nd.
45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 061328 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 927 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

DISCUSSION

Current-Tonight...East-west oriented surface ridge axis to lie across the central FL peninsula over the next 24 hours. Models suggest some drier air infiltrating along the Treasure Coast and adjacent coastal waters during the day, with highest PWATS (1.60 inches) across the interior and I-4 corridor. While we cannot rule out an ISOLD sprinkle/shower along the coast this morning, highest PoPs likely in the afternoon-early evening in association with the inland moving ECSB and eventual boundary interactions, especially W of I-95 and across the I-4 corridor where highest PoPs (30pct) will reside. Steering flow remains weak, with storm motion slow/erratic, once again. Locally heavy rainfall in a spot or two cannot be ruled out. Aloft, shortwave ridging will push into the western Atlc ahead of approaching weak shortwave troughing that passes across the state late today.

Morning SE winds 5-10 mph will transition to ESE with speeds increasing to 10-15 mph (highest along the coast) and some stronger gusts expected as the ECSB ventures inland. Afternoon highs similar to the previous day, with M80s at the coast and U80s-90F inland.
Lows tonight continue warm/mild well into the 60s and L70s.

AVIATION
Generally VFR conds prevailing. Greatest moisture across the I-4 corridor this afternoon/early evening, carrying SCT SHRA & ISOLD TSRA over this area. "Vicinity" and "TEMPO" wording to be added as necessary and reductions to MVFR for CIGs /VSBYS in/around convection. SE morning winds 5-10 kts will transition ESE 10-15 mph (highest along the coast) with some higher gusts as the sea breeze pushes inland. Wind speeds diminish this evening, once again, becoming light SRLY late in the night.

MARINE
Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure ridging across the central FL peninsula with SE/ESE winds 10-15 kts, becoming more SRLY later this evening/overnight and diminishing to 6-12 kts. Seas continue 2-3 ft. ISOLD showers forecast and perhaps an ISOLD lightning storm along the Brevard/Volusia coasts in the afternoon- early evening, surrounding sea breeze formation and a few of these cells which could kick back toward the coast and Intracoastals. A few showers and storms across the inland lakes along and north of I- 4 in the late afternoon and evening.

FIRE WEATHER
Today
Previous
Decreasing moisture will result in min RHs dropping to around 40 pct across the western interior this afternoon. Winds SE 5-10 mph this morning back to ESE and increase to 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph this afternoon behind the sea breeze. Isolated lightning storms possible, mainly along and north of I-4.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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