Tuesday, November20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Smyrna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 5:28PM Tuesday November 20, 2018 2:18 PM EST (19:18 UTC) Moonrise 4:04PMMoonset 4:03AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 1000 Am Est Tue Nov 20 2018
This afternoon..North winds around 15 knots diminishing to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Wednesday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 8 to 10 feet. Showers likely.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 7 to 9 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Est Tue Nov 20 2018
Synopsis..A cold front will pass over the waters later today. The front will be preceded by scattered showers and a few possible storms. A high pressure ridge will build into the southeast states through mid week. Expect increasing northerly winds this afternoon into evening, becoming northeast Thursday, and east by Friday, with slowly building seas by late week.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds becoming north to northwest around 14 to 17 knots with seas around 5 to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, november 18th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Smyrna Beach, FL
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location: 29.02, -80.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 201433
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
933 am est Tue nov 20 2018

Update
Morning surface analysis analyzed a cold front extending from the
western carolinas through central georgia into the fl panhandle
with a pre-frontal trough bisecting east central florida. Out
ahead of this front, moisture pooling and shortwave energy aloft
have generated scattered showers and isolated thunder, some of
them producing heavy rainfall, north of orlando. Ascent is further
being aided by being in the right entrance region of a 100-kt jet
north of the area. Elsewhere, considerable mid and high clouds
were being observed.

Through the rest of the day, winds will shift northerly behind
the pre-frontal trough with shower chances increasing from north
to south as shortwave energy traverses the area. Highest precip
chances will be from orlando to the CAPE northward from this
morning through mid afternoon, and then areas farther south from
early afternoon through early evening. Heavy rainfall and brief
gusty winds will be the main concerns, but cold temperatures aloft
will also support a low lightning chance. The actual cold front
will begin working its way through the area this evening into
tonight, bringing some drier air and cooler temperatures in behind
it. Bumped up pops across the north and raised temperatures a
couple of degrees for afternoon highs across the south. Otherwise,
no other changes planned.

Aviation
Vfr conditions with considerable mid-high level clouds expected
outside scattered showers and isolated storms today. Highest
chances will be from ism-tix through mid afternoon and then
terminals south from early afternoon through this evening. Will
monitor for any ifr MVFR tempo group restrictions especially at
dab, sfb, lee this morning for +shra +tsra. Cold front will begin
moving the area this evening bringing in some drier air and
decreasing cloud cover.

Marine
Through tonight... Tapered back winds slightly today from inherited
forecast although winds are still expected to increase from north
to south during the day as the pressure gradient increases over
the waters. Winds near around 15 knots will bring increased seas
but mainly over the outer waters this afternoon. Winds and seas
are expected to remain just below headline criteria attm. Seas
will average around 3 to 4 ft near shore and 4 to 5 ft offshore.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 72 57 74 55 60 10 10 10
mco 77 60 77 57 40 10 0 0
mlb 81 62 78 60 40 20 10 10
vrb 81 63 79 62 40 30 10 10
lee 75 56 75 54 50 10 0 0
sfb 74 58 77 56 60 10 0 0
orl 77 60 77 58 50 10 0 0
fpr 82 64 79 62 40 30 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Combs kelly glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 45 mi30 min N 5.1 G 7 70°F 76°F1018.3 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi93 min SE 1 67°F 1019 hPa61°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi48 min 76°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 52 mi28 min NW 16 G 19 73°F 3 ft1017.1 hPa70°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL4 mi31 minNNE 47.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F66°F83%1017.6 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL14 mi25 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F68°F87%1016.9 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL22 mi2.5 hrsNNE 65.00 miFog/Mist68°F66°F94%1019.3 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL24 mi25 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F66°F81%1016.9 hPa

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9NE9NE7NE5NE5NE5NE5NE5----------------CalmCalmN6NE3N8N7N3N4
1 day agoN10N10N6N5N5N5CalmCalm----------------CalmN3N3N9N9N8N10NE10
2 days agoNE10N8N8N8N6N6NW5NW4----------------NW4NW4N6N9N9N10N10N10

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.