Saturday, October21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
New Smyrna Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:48PM Saturday October 21, 2017 11:38 AM EDT (15:38 UTC) Moonrise 8:01AMMoonset 7:21PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ570 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 20-60 Nm- 1018 Am Edt Sat Oct 21 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Today..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Isolated showers.
Tonight..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 6 feet. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1018 Am Edt Sat Oct 21 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge along the eastern seaboard will push east over the western atlantic into early next week. Breezy east winds will become southerly by Monday as a cold front approaches from the west. The front is forecast to move across the local waters Tuesday with a period of northwest winds and building seas Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..East winds up to 20 knots with seas 7 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday october 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Smyrna Beach, FL
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location: 29.02, -80.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 211303
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
900 am edt Sat oct 21 2017

Discussion
High pressure over the mid-atlantic will produce another breezy day
with easterly (onshore) flow. Morning CAPE sounding shows continued
very dry air in the mid levels (700-300mb) with moisture confined to
upper and lower levels of the troposphere. Hi res vis Sat imagery
shows the (high) cirrus pushing eastward and the (much) lower
stratocumulus pushing westward. Sensible weather today looks quite
similar to yesterday with breezy E winds and occasional clouds with
a passing sprinkle light shower especially along the coast. A little
higher moisture to the south should support a little higher coverage
of showers this aftn over the treasure coast. Agree with spc's
update of day1 convective potential to remove thunder from ec fl.

Current forecast in good shape and no significant updates needed.

Aviation
MainlyVFR through the next 24 hours in continued breezy onshore
(east) flow. Just enough moisture exists in the low-levels for
isolated light rain showers over the atlantic to push toward the
coast. And just enough of a subsidence inversion to cause stratocu
to pancake and produce ocnlVFR cigs. Hard pressed to include even
vcsh this morning but will likely need it for fpr sua later in the
day and it's already advertised along the coast tonight.

Marine
Data from NOAA and scripps buoys this morning describe poor to
hazardous boating conditions on the atlantic waters with east winds
15 to 20 knots causing steep waves 6 to 7 feet. Choppy conditions
expected on the intracoastal waters. Small craft advisory continues
for most of the adjacent atlantic except nearshore volusia where
choppy 5 to 6 foot seas require a caution headline.

Hydrology
The middle and upper saint johns river basin remains in major flood
stage above lake harney near geneva, in moderate flood stage near
cocoa, deland, and at astor. A brief respite in significant rainfall
accumulation will allow for a steady state or very slow decline in
the river levels through this weekend.

Some additional rainfall is forecast for Monday and Tuesday, which
could cause river levels to temporarily level off. Dry weather is
forecast from Wednesday through late week, which should allow for
the slow recession in water levels to continue, however, the river
will remain above flood stage for several more weeks.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 84 73 86 73 20 30 50 30
mco 87 71 89 72 10 10 50 20
mlb 86 78 87 76 20 30 50 30
vrb 86 77 87 75 20 30 50 30
lee 88 70 88 72 0 10 50 20
sfb 86 71 87 73 10 20 50 20
orl 87 71 87 73 10 10 50 20
fpr 85 77 86 75 20 30 40 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt early this morning for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory until 10 am edt Sunday for flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Kelly johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 45 mi51 min ENE 12 G 16 81°F 80°F1022.9 hPa
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 47 mi114 min E 9.9 79°F 1024 hPa65°F
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi48 min 80°F4 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 52 mi39 min E 18 G 23 80°F 81°F1021.3 hPa (+1.6)69°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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NE13
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NE7
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NE12
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NE8
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NE16
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N18
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N13
G21
N14
G19
N10
G15
NE9
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G15
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G13
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G19
NE11
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL4 mi52 minE 10 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds82°F62°F51%1022.3 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL14 mi46 minE 10 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F66°F58%1022 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL22 mi49 minE 10 G 167.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F64°F58%1022.3 hPa
Orlando / Sanford Airport, FL24 mi46 minE 1210.00 miA Few Clouds82°F64°F56%1021.5 hPa

Wind History from EVB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE13
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E13E10E10
G16
----------------E10E10E10
G19
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1 day agoNE13NE13
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NE10NE14NE14NE14----------------E8E8E8NE13E11
2 days agoE18
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NE12NE12E12E7----------------NE10NE10NE10NE10NE12

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub)
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Ponce De Leon Inlet South
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:01 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:11 AM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:26 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:19 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.61.810.50.30.51.11.92.73.33.63.532.31.50.90.60.61.11.72.433.43.3

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Daytona Beach Shores
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:20 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:43 AM EDT     4.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:55 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:55 PM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.50.60.10.20.91.933.84.44.54.13.32.31.30.50.20.61.42.33.23.94.13.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.