Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Hill, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:41PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 7:32 PM EDT (23:32 UTC) Moonrise 6:48AMMoonset 7:29PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 256 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 256 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge over the area will settle south through midweek. This will result in light winds but seas will be slow to subside due to a persistent east swell. Southerly winds are forecast to increase late in the week ahead of a weak cold front.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 5 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday march 27th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Hill, FL
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location: 29.22, -81.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 281913
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
312 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017

Discussion
Tonight-Wednesday... Surface high pressure ridge over the area will
slide south as a frontal boundary moves offshore the eastern
seaboard. The front won't affect the local area, but a slight
increase in moisture will occur. Weak ridging aloft will build
overhead on Wed and produce subsidence, keeping the moisture
shallow, so dry weather will continue.

Will carry a chance of fog overnight, but the dry ground should
continue to keep it shallow/brief. Any lingering wildfires
producing significant smoke could lead to local visibility problems
on some highways again.

Min temps will continue to slowly modify and should mainly be in the
lower 60s. A little more westerly wind flow on Wed should allow max
temps along the coast to reach the mid 80s. A few upper 80s are
likely over the interior.

Thu... Flat ridge will continue across S fl with low level flow
veering to the se/s in the afternoon. High temps will reach 83-84
near the east coast and around 87 across the interior. Enough low
level moisture and low level convergence aided by the inland moving
east coast sea breeze will support a low chance for late afternoon
showers mainly north of sanford.

Thu night... Se/sse low level flow will increase some Thu night and
stay elevated around 10 mph along the beaches. Dry weather is
expected with lows mainly in the lower to mid 60s.

Fri-tue... An intense upper cyclone over the central CONUS early in
the period remains forecast to track eastward and off of the mid
atlc coast Sat afternoon. This will push a weak surface trough
across the area on sat, preceded by a broken band of showers and
isolated storms which should weaken in coverage/intensity upon
approach to CWA Fri aftn/evening, all in association with some
energy aloft ahead of the large upper cyclone to the north. Some
residual moisture lingering around and especially south of kmco may
allow for additional light precipitation ahead/along approaching
trough Sat across the southern half of our cwa. Much drier/stable
air moves back into the area behind the trough Sat night/sun.

Temperatures will remain well above normal with l-m80s along the
coast and u80s inland for highs and lows mainly in the 60s areawide.

The medium range models continue to differ on the next low pressure
system for early next week. The GFS remains slower and drags this
disturbance across the area on tue. The faster ECMWF continues to
push this system into ecfl on Mon lingering it around thru tue.

Added a slight chance for thunder mainly to the northern interior on
Monday afternoon and may need to consider for Tuesday as well with
later forecasts.

Aviation
Vfr with light winds over the next 24 hours. Some patchy fog is
possible early Wednesday morning but confidence is not high enough
to include in tafs at this time. Visibility restrictions will again
be possible near any wildfires.

Marine
Tonight-wed... Continued good boating conditions with light southwest-
west winds due to weak high pressure ridge settling to south
florida. Lingering east swells could produce rough conditions near
inlets during the outgoing tide.

Wed night-thu... Se winds mainly 7-12 knots with seas 3-4 ft in an
east swell expected.

Thu night into the weekend... Winds will increase to 15-20 knots thu
night into Friday with seas building to at least scec levels
offshore. A front will move across the waters Friday night and allow
winds to switch to westerly by Saturday morning. Flow will then
weaken into Sat night and return to the e/se by Sunday afternoon.

Highest storm chances will occur Friday afternoon into Friday
evening ahead of the next front.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 62 84 64 83 / 0 0 0 10
mco 63 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 10
mlb 63 84 64 83 / 0 0 0 10
vrb 60 84 63 83 / 0 0 0 0
lee 63 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 20
sfb 63 87 64 87 / 0 0 0 10
orl 64 88 66 87 / 0 0 0 10
fpr 59 82 61 84 / 0 0 0 0

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Lascody
mid-long term... .Volkmer
aviation... Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 32 mi107 min SE 8 75°F 1016 hPa64°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 46 mi32 min SSE 14 G 15 71°F 69°F1015.7 hPa (-0.5)
RCYF1 49 mi44 min 76°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 60 mi44 min ESE 2.9 G 8 76°F 74°F1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL3 mi39 minESE 410.00 miA Few Clouds76°F59°F56%1015 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi42 minESE 410.00 miClear75°F60°F61%1015.2 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi45 minSE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F59°F54%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmW3CalmCalmSW4S7NW6CalmE9E8E9E7E6E4
1 day agoE5E4CalmCalmE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5NE7E7NE10E8E11E8E8E9
2 days agoE6E3E5E54E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34E8E8E10E9
G15
E10E116SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:38 AM EDT     -0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:47 AM EDT     4.64 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:57 PM EDT     -0.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:11 PM EDT     4.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40.2-0.5-0.6-01.12.43.64.44.64.23.11.80.5-0.4-0.7-0.30.723.44.44.94.73.8

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach Shores, Sunglow Pier, Florida
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Daytona Beach Shores
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:43 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:58 AM EDT     4.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:03 PM EDT     -0.68 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:16 PM EDT     4.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.60.4-0.4-0.50.11.22.43.54.34.64.23.42.10.8-0.3-0.7-0.30.82.13.44.34.84.63.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.