Tuesday, October16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Hill, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 6:53PM Tuesday October 16, 2018 2:11 PM EDT (18:11 UTC) Moonrise 1:13PMMoonset 11:56PM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 1009 Am Edt Tue Oct 16 2018
This afternoon..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1009 Am Edt Tue Oct 16 2018
Synopsis..A gentle to moderate onshore breeze will remain in place through mid week as the high pressure ridge axis remains north of the area. Deteriorating boating conditions expected late this week as onshore winds and seas increase as a weakening frontal boundary moves into the waters Thursday night into Friday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday october 16th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Hill, FL
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location: 29.22, -81.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 161327
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
927 am edt Tue oct 16 2018

Update
Drier air in place over the area this morning compared to this
time yesterday with morning xmr sounding coming in with 1.60
inches of precipitable water. The influence of the persistent
mid upper-level high pressure along with this drier air will keep
most places rain-free with above normal temperatures once again.

The hrrr and local WRF are hinting at a stray shower or two across
western orange into lake and northwest volusia counties this
afternoon, but the chances still appear too low to include in the
forecast.

High temperatures will be near record high territory this
afternoon in spots (see climate section below) with temps
climbing into the upper 80s near 90 along the coast and low 90s
inland. Inherited forecast in good shape, and no updates are
needed.

Aviation
Vfr conditions with ese winds at or below 10 kt this afternoon
becoming light after sunset this evening.

Marine
Today... Seas of 2-3 feet can be expected with ese SE winds around
10 kt north of sebastian inlet and 10-15 kt for the nearshore and
offshore waters to the south.

Climate
Record highs for Tuesday oct. 16 and Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year
dab 16-oct 91 1936 17-oct 90 1925
mco 16-oct 95 1925 17-oct 95 1925
sfb 16-oct 92 1971 17-oct 90 1952
mlb 16-oct 90 1959 17-oct 90 1975
vrb 16-oct 92 2009 17-oct 90 1974
fpr 16-oct 91 2009 17-oct 93 1906
record warm lows for Tuesday oct. 16 and Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year
dab 16-oct 77 1933 17-oct 76 1998
mco 16-oct 74 1959 17-oct 74 1989
sfb 16-oct 74 2017 17-oct 72 1959
mlb 16-oct 79 2007 17-oct 75 2007
vrb 16-oct 78 2007 17-oct 79 1990
fpr 16-oct 78 2016 17-oct 77 1985

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 90 73 89 72 10 10 10 10
mco 92 73 93 73 10 10 10 10
mlb 90 76 90 75 10 10 10 10
vrb 89 75 89 74 10 10 10 10
lee 93 73 93 74 10 10 10 10
sfb 92 73 93 73 10 10 10 10
orl 93 74 93 75 10 10 10 10
fpr 89 74 89 74 10 10 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Combs sedlock glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 32 mi87 min SE 7 87°F 1021 hPa77°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 46 mi72 min SE 11 G 12 82°F 84°F1020 hPa (-1.1)
RCYF1 49 mi42 min 83°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 60 mi42 min SE 8 G 12 86°F 84°F1020.3 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL3 mi19 minE 10 G 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F78°F73%1018.2 hPa
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL8 mi22 minESE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F75°F66%1018.6 hPa
New Smyrna Beach Municipal Airport, FL12 mi25 minSE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F77°F70%1019 hPa

Wind History from DAB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9E9E8E7E63E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3545Calm
1 day agoNE12E10E9NE9E9E8E8E7E4E6E5E4E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE3E4E3
2 days agoNE8NE12NE9NE9NE9NE6E4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E4E6E7

Tide / Current Tables for Daytona Beach (Ocean), Florida
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Daytona Beach (Ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:53 AM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EDT     1.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:23 PM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:52 PM EDT     1.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.73.83.63.12.51.91.51.41.62.12.83.54.14.44.443.42.621.51.41.62.1

Tide / Current Tables for Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida (2)
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Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:58 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:32 AM EDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:46 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:18 PM EDT     1.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.42.52.42.11.81.41.10.90.91.11.51.92.32.52.62.52.21.91.51.31.21.21.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.