Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 6:50PM Thursday October 19, 2017 10:27 AM EDT (14:27 UTC) Moonrise 6:12AMMoonset 6:07PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 845 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Rest of today..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas up to 9 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night.
Saturday..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters choppy. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sunday..East southeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Monday..South southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 845 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Synopsis.. High pressure will be to the north of the region through Saturday, then to the northeast later in the weekend. A strong cold front is expected to cross the region from the west Monday night into Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ormond-by-the-Sea, FL
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location: 29.4, -81.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 191229
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
829 am edt Thu oct 19 2017

Update Continued NE flow pattern today... With winds decreasing
slightly across coastal SE ga later in the day. Radar has been
showing a few bands of moderate-heavy showers. Much of our model
guidance has not handled this well... Though a few hi-res solutions
hint at these bands gradually shifting a little southward during
the day. Will limit chance pops to coastal counties of st. Johns
and flagler... Slight chance pops further inland. Made slight
adjustments to high temp forecast today based on the latest
consensus guidance.

Will let coastal flood advisory expire after 11am high tide
cycle in SE ga... And will maintain all other warnings advisories
as we continue to see minor-moderate flood stage reached on the
st. Johns and continued moderate onshore flow along the coast of
ne fl.

Aviation Goes-16 clearly showing the lower conditions with rain
bands along coastal counties of NE fl and low CIGS gainesville to
ocala. Tafs reflect expectation ofVFR conditions... With areas of
lower conditions through mid morning. NE flow continues over taf
sites with occasional gusts to 20-25 kts late morning thru
afternoon.

Marine No signficant changes for next cwf issuance. High pressure
will be to the north of the region through Saturday, then to the
northeast later in the weekend. A strong cold front is expected to
cross the region from the west Monday night into Tuesday.

Rip currents: high risk through Friday due to moderate onshore
flow and rough surf.

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 80 55 82 57 0 0 0 0
ssi 79 70 79 67 20 10 0 10
jax 79 68 82 64 20 20 20 20
sgj 80 74 81 70 40 20 30 20
gnv 82 67 84 63 20 20 10 10
ocf 83 68 86 64 10 20 10 0

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Friday evening for coastal duval-
coastal nassau-flagler-st. Johns.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for coastal
nassau.

Coastal flood warning until 6 am edt Friday for clay-coastal
duval-flagler-inland duval-putnam-st. Johns.

Ga... High rip current risk through Friday evening for coastal camden-
coastal glynn.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for coastal
camden-coastal glynn.

Am... Small craft advisory until noon edt Friday for waters from
altamaha sound ga to fernandina beach fl from 20 to 60 nm-
waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl from 20 to
60 nm-waters from st. Augustine to flagler beach fl from 20
to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Friday for coastal waters
from altamaha sound to fernandina beach fl out 20 nm-
coastal waters from fernandina beach to st. Augustine fl
out 20 nm-coastal waters from st. Augustine to flagler
beach fl out 20 nm.

Wolf peterson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 19 mi102 min ENE 7 76°F 1022 hPa70°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 33 mi27 min N 18 G 21 77°F 78°F1020.8 hPa (+1.1)
RCYF1 37 mi39 min 77°F
41117 41 mi35 min 79°F7 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ormond Beach, Ormond Beach Municipal Airport, FL7 mi37 minN 07.00 miShowers in Vicinity75°F71°F89%1020 hPa
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL15 mi34 minN 710.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F75°F90%1019.8 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
G15
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NW10NW10NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:20 AM EDT     0.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:40 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:49 PM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.90.90.80.50.3-0-0.2-0.2-0.10.20.50.80.910.90.70.40.1-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.4

Tide / Current Tables for Ormond Beach, Halifax River, Florida
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Ormond Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:05 AM EDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:33 PM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:43 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.70.60.50.30.10-0.100.20.40.60.80.80.70.60.40.30.10-00.10.30.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.