Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Flagler Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 8:17PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 3:00 AM EDT (07:00 UTC) Moonrise 3:55AMMoonset 4:58PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
.small craft exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..South southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 5 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely late in the evening. A slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely through the night. Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 6 seconds. Inland waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters rough. Showers with Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday..West southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Friday..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..South winds around 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Synopsis.. Unsettled weather will continue over the area through Wednesday under prevailing southwest flow. Waves of showers and Thunderstorms will bring locally heavy rainfall. A cold front will push south of the local waters late Wednesday with strong winds and small craft advisory conditions into Thursday. High pressure will build over south florida Friday and Saturday as winds and seas relax.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flagler Beach, FL
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location: 29.48, -81.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 230140
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
940 pm edt Mon may 22 2017

Much needed rainfall continues...

Record precipitable water value for the date of 2.06" measured
at jax this evening...

Update Prevailing SW steering flow focused the heaviest and
most widespread rainfall this afternoon and evening generally
along and east of a jesup ga to gainesville fl line as the
stronger west coast sea breeze interacted with lingering old
outflow boundaries and river/lake/sea breezes across the eastern
half of the forecast area. Locally heavy rainfall with 2-3 inches
of measured rainfall in 2 hours was realized in some locations,
with wet downburst winds due to heavy precip loading causing some
tree and structure damage.

For the remainder of the night the best chances of passing showers
and isolated tstorm activity will be across SE ga... And especially
along and near the altamaha river basin where a quasi-stationary
frontal zone meandered and was being over-ridden by passing mid
level short wave trough vorticity from the wsw. This forcing
combined with an unseasonably moist airmass will continue to bring
waves of locally heavy rainfall across portions of SE ga through
the night... With amounts potentially up to 2-3 inches in places.

Most locations welcome this needed rainfall but given the
relatively short duration of heavy rainfall flooding potential
will exist especially in areas that have training convection, or
waves of showers and storms following the same path near the altamaha
river tonight.

Rain chances will increase early Tue morning form the gulf coast
region where radar and satellite trends indicated an MCS forming
south of la. Recent short range forecast models started to
indicate outflow from this system sparking some early morning
convection moving inland across our suwannee river valley zones
Tuesday morning.

Muggy and warm temperatures will continue overnight under partly
to mostly cloudy skies. Some low stratus and ground fog will be
possible Tue morning especially where locally heavy rainfall feel
this afternoon/evening.

Aviation Showers and potentially an isolated tstorm will be
most probable at ssi over the next several hours. Elsewhere
prevailingVFR expected until after midnight with the potential
for low stratus and patchy ground fog due to high ground moisture
at all NE florida terminals due to rainfall today. Based early
morning restrictions to MVFR at gnv on persistence and ifr at
vqq. Another wave of showers and tstorms expected Tuesday with
activity first likely impacting gnv and ssi.

Marine Small craft exercise caution winds sse 15-20 kts this
evening with fading convection will veer more ssw after midnight.

Combined seas of 2-4 ft will continue due to prevailing offshore
flow.

Rip currents: low risk of rip currents Tuesday.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Amg 71 80 69 79 / 40 70 70 80
ssi 73 83 73 81 / 50 60 60 80
jax 70 86 72 83 / 40 60 60 80
sgj 72 87 73 83 / 40 50 40 80
gnv 69 86 72 82 / 10 50 60 80
ocf 71 86 73 81 / 10 40 50 80

Jax watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Enyedi/nelson/mcginnis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 13 mi76 min SSW 1.9 72°F 1016 hPa70°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 27 mi61 min SSW 8 G 9.9 72°F 79°F1015 hPa (-1.0)
RCYF1 31 mi43 min 82°F
41117 36 mi39 min 78°F4 ft

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Daytona Beach International Airport, FL21 mi68 minS 410.00 miOvercast72°F71°F97%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from XFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm--------------------CalmCalmCalmW4NW5NW5W4NW5CalmCalm43
1 day agoCalmCalm--------------------CalmCalmNW6NW6NW6NW6N5W5N5N7W5Calm
2 days agoW5----------------------CalmCalmW5W10W10W10NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Smith Creek, Flagler Beach, Florida
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Smith Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:49 AM EDT     1.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:12 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.110.80.50.30.10.10.20.40.60.8110.90.80.50.20-0.1-00.20.50.81

Tide / Current Tables for Bings Landing, Matanzas River, Florida
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Bings Landing
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:51 AM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:28 AM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:00 PM EDT     -0.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:14 PM EDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.30.10.50.810.90.70.40-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.10.50.91.21.41.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.