Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Micanopy, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:34PM Thursday June 22, 2017 4:31 PM EDT (20:31 UTC) Moonrise 4:11AMMoonset 6:04PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 405 Pm Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
Tonight..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming southeast overnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots becoming southwest during the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming west around 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north around 5 knots overnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..North winds around 5 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming northeast overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds around 5 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming south overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 405 Pm Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
Synopsis..High pressure will remain over the region through early next week with rather light winds shifting onshore and increasing some near the coast each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. During this timeframe, the only marine concern will be locally gusty winds and rough seas in and near any Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Micanopy, FL
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location: 29.53, -82.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 221840
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
240 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017

Heat indices near 105 on Friday with less storm activity...

Near term tonight-Friday
Rest of this afternoon evening... Lingering moist airmass with
pwats near 2 inches will continue the threat of scattered showers
and storms mainly over inland areas between the i-95 and i-75
corridors of NE fl SE ga as the sea breezes move inland from both
coasts. High pressure ridging and warm air aloft will suppress the
intensity of the storms but a few with heavy rainfall, gusty
winds and frequent lightning still possible with mergers this
evening as they drift off to the north at 10-15 mph. Activity
should fade after sunset over inland NE fl then end by midnight.

Overnight... Drier airmass aloft will continue to slowly filter in
from the south around the WRN atlc ridge and expect mainly mostly
clear to partly cloudy skies with a few high clouds at times. Lows
still above normal and muggy in the lower to middle 70s inland and
upper 70s along the coast.

Friday... WRN atlc ridge across the region will rotate a rather dry
airmass aloft northward into NE fl and coastal SE ga with pwats of
1.5" or less and this combined with ridging warm air aloft should
just about shut down the atlc coast sea breeze convection with
rainfall chances across NE fl coastal SE ga less than 20% while
the old moisture axis will be shunted further NW into inland SE ga
and the suwannee river valley of north fl where scattered
afternoon evening storms will be possible. Main story tomorrow
will be the heat humidity as temps inland soar into the lower to
middle 90s inland upper 80s at the coast and support heat indices
of 100-105 for NE fl and peak values around 105 degrees across
inland SE ga.

Short term Friday night through Saturday night
Strong east-west upper ridge over fl Sat sat night... With subsidence
limiting coverage of sea breeze convection. May also see a few showers
or t-storms affect our far northern counties in s-ctrl ga with weak
surface trough approaching from nw. Hot conditions Sat with high temps
in lwr-mid 90s inland... Around 90 coast... Low temps lwr-mid 70s inland...

mid-upr 70s coast.

Long term Sunday through Thursday
East-west upper ridge over the area Sunday gets suppressed southward
as strong shortwave digs SE toward mid-atlantic states mon-tue.

Model guidance suggests an increased rain chances this period as
weak cold front moves across forecast area with high pressure
buiding further N across oh valley region. Latest forecast will
show higher pops spreading southward during the period. Front stalls
washes out over our southern counties... With guidance suggesting
precip chances wed-fri confined along and south of i-10 corridor.

Slightly lower temps expected wed-fri... With high temps in the mid-upr 80s
and low temps in the upr 60s-lwr 70s.

Aviation
Scattered convection pushing inland will support vcsh at
ssi crg sgj until about 21z otherwise vcts at jax vqq gnv until
around 00z. Overall mainlyVFR conds except for possible MVFR
conds if any of the shower storm activity directly impacts the
terminals mainly at inland sites.VFR with a few high clouds
tonight. Some lower level stratus possible towards sunrise 09-12z
Friday morning but have left out of the forecast for now.

Marine
Southerly flow around 15 knots with seas 3-5 ft through tonight.

A slight increase is possible Friday into Saturday to 15-20 knots
and scec headlines may be required briefly at times.

Rip currents: moderate risk in the sideshore southerly flow and
afternoon SE sea breezes. Breakers in the 2-3 ft range.

Climate
Gainesville kgnv has received 14.24" rainfall so far this month
which currently ranks 3rd all-time for the month of june. The
all-time record is 16.34" set in 2012 (mostly due to TS debby).

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 73 93 74 93 30 30 20 10
ssi 77 86 78 90 10 10 0 10
jax 73 92 74 93 20 10 0 20
sgj 74 89 75 90 20 10 0 20
gnv 72 93 73 93 50 10 10 30
ocf 72 93 73 91 40 10 10 30

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Wolf hess nelson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RCYF1 44 mi43 min 90°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 47 mi31 min WSW 5.1 G 7 86°F 1017.5 hPa (-1.3)76°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 57 mi106 min SE 11 86°F 1019 hPa78°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 59 mi31 min SE 12 G 14 79°F 81°F1018.5 hPa (-1.2)

Wind History for Cedar Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Gainesville, Gainesville Regional Airport, FL10 mi38 minSSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds91°F73°F56%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from GNV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6NW3CalmS8N5SE7E5E4CalmSE3CalmSE4CalmCalmNE3E4S6SE73SE7S6
G16
SE75S6
1 day agoSE7NE6NE9E5NE5E3E4E5E7SE8SE6SE6SE4E5E5E6SE8SE11S10
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2 days agoS6CalmS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3E3E4E8E8SE7SE6SE8SE6SE8SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida
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Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:31 AM EDT     0.38 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:03 AM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT     0.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:46 PM EDT     -0.84 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.30.40.40.2-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.30.10.30.30.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.8-0.7

Tide / Current Tables for Welaka, St. Johns River, Florida
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Welaka
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:20 AM EDT     0.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:53 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:28 AM EDT     0.10 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:02 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:38 PM EDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:06 PM EDT     0.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:15 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.40.50.50.40.40.20.10.10.10.10.10.10.30.40.40.40.30.20.1-0000

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.