Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Micanopy, FL
April 27, 2024 3:22 PM EDT (19:22 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:48 AM Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 11:01 PM Moonset 8:05 AM |
GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 233 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
.small craft advisory in effect - .
Tonight - East winds around 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Monday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Tuesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 233 Pm Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
Synopsis - High pressure with a tight pressure gradient continues over the E gulf waters with winds around 20 kts and seas 4-7 ft to produce hazardous small craft advisory conditions through the evening surge and tonight. Brief decrease in easterly winds Sunday morning before another afternoon into evening increase with periods of scec/sca likely into early next week. High pressure remains in the region as winds slightly decrease into mid week with the afternoon sea breeze returning.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 271754 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 154 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Isolated to widely scattered light showers will stream east to west as a coastal trough works inland through the rest of the afternoon. Strong high pressure centered around 1034 mb near the Mid-Atlantic coast will build south through the afternoon off the Delmarva coast towards sunset with breezy easterly winds 15-20 mph gusting to 30-35 mph along the coast and about 10-20 mph west of I-95. Despite breaks in the clouds owing to initially partly cloudy skies before mid and high level clouds increase from the west, the onshore flow will limit highs to the upper 70s near the coast and lower 80s.
Tonight, easterly winds will gradually wind down after sunset to 8-12 mph and 5-10 mph after midnight with winds persisting longer along the coast to 10-20 mph with gusts 25-30 mph through midnight and then subsiding to 10-15 mph well after midnight as the high weakens further and sinks southward to near the NC Outer Banks.
Mostly cloudy skies expected as mid and high level clouds linger, that should remove the possibility of fog inland tonight. Lows will be warmer at the coast in the onshore flow mid to upper 60s and lower 60s inland where air is a bit drier.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Sunday...High pressure ridge axis remains north of the region across the Carolinas and breezy Easterly flow will continue across NE FL/SE GA, with strongest winds at the Atlantic Beaches at 15-20G25-30 mph and mixing down to 10-15G20-25mph over inland areas by the afternoon hours. The onshore flow will continue to keep temps slightly below normal with highs in the mid/upper 70s for the Atlantic Coastal counties and into the 80-85 range over inland areas. While an isolated coastal shower cannot be ruled out, overall measurable rainfall chances will remain in the "silent" 10-15% range with the ongoing forecast.
Sunday Night...Not much change with the pattern other than a slight shift to a Southeast steering flow through the overnight hours which will lead to less wind than is expected tonight and will allow for skies to become mostly clear over inland areas with Strato-Cu clouds still pushing onshore along the Atlantic Coast.
Low temps expected to fall into the upper 50s inland and remain in the 60s along the Atlantic Coast. Slightly less wind and cloud cover over inland areas may lead to some patchy fog development, but chances of any significant fog remain too low to include in the forecast at this time.
Monday...High pressure ridge axis attempts to shift slowly southward into the NE FL/SE GA region which will allow for the steering flow to become more South-Southeast and lead to temps returning to more normal levels with highs in the middle 80s over inland areas and around 80 along the Atlantic Coastal areas. While the SE surface flow will onshore and expect East Coast sea breeze to develop and move inland, there will be a 10-15% chance of a sprinkle or shower as it moves inland, but will continue to keep any measurable rainfall "silent" in the ongoing forecast.
Monday Night...Ridge axis will remain across the region with a light southerly steering flow under Mostly clear skies. Temps will nudge upwards to slightly above normal levels with lows in the lower 60s inland and mid/upper 60s along the Atlantic Coast.
Slightly stronger signal for some patchy late night dense fog by sunrise Tuesday morning over inland areas, but too early to add to the ongoing forecast, but something to monitor.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Tuesday...The newer 12Z GFS/NAM model runs are suggesting a weaker frontal boundary pushing into the region from NW with some widely scattered shower/isolated storm activity during afternoon/evening hours, which could interact with local sea breezes, but the ECMWF model remains too dry with this feature for much in the way of measurable rainfall so will continue ongoing "silent" forecast with PoPs of 10-15%. Best chances for any rainfall will likely across across inland SE GA. Ahead of this feature, Max temps will push into the upper 80s/near 90 over inland areas with 80-85 temps along the Atlantic Coast.
Wednesday through Saturday...With weak high pressure ridge lingering in the region through the end of the week and approaching frontal boundary from the Northwest, expect mainly diurnal sea breezes to slowly push inland each day, but any significant moisture remains limited and rainfall chances remain on the low end in the 10-20% range, but cannot be ruled out on any day along the sea breeze, while longer range models are suggesting that better rainfall chances will exist by next weekend as possible stronger frontal boundary pushes closer to the region.
While rainfall forecast remains low to moderate, models are suggesting above normal temps through this period with a moderate to high confidence of daily highs around 90 degrees over inland areas and in the lower/middle 80s closer to the Atlantic Coast.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Mainly VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF period. Earlier showers have progressed inland of the Northeast Florida TAF sites with easterly winds elevated to 10-15 knots as strong high pressure builds southward off the New England and Mid-Atlantic coasts while a coastal trough remains over the coastal waters.
This coastal trough may continue enough convergent showers approaching the sites from the Atlantic to warrant VCSH this afternoon, but probability of higher coverage is too low to include in this TAF set. Pinched gradient between the trough moving onshore as the high builds south will create winds 15-20 knots at the coastal TAF sites SGJ/SSI/CRG with gusts 25-30 knots and winds 12-15 knots inland with gusts of 20-25 knots. Marine stratocumulus will continue overnight under increasing mid level and high level clouds with winds diminishing after 00Z inland to around 5 knots or less while lowering to around 10 knots at the coast after 06Z-08Z. Mid level clouds will exit to the east Sunday with VFR cumulus/marine stratocumulus and some high level clouds with less breezy conditions from the east 10-15 knots gusting to around 20 knots.
MARINE
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Strong high pressure to the north northeast near the Mid-Atlantic coast will sink southward down the eastern seaboard through this evening with breezy easterly winds as a coastal trough over the northeast Florida waters tightens the local pressure gradient and Small Craft Advisory conditions the northeast Florida nearshore waters and all of the offshore waters. Slightly less winds and seas will bring Small Craft exercise caution conditions to the Georgia nearshore waters. Isolated showers will shift westward with the trough over the waters through this early evening. The high will slowly weaken overnight as it shifts southward near the North Carolina Outer Banks with winds diminishing near shore.
Small Craft Advisory conditions will persist offshore through Sunday morning. Winds and seas will further subside late Sunday into Sunday night as weaker high pressure anchors off the southeastern seaboard early next week, followed by prevailing winds shifting to southerly towards midweek.
Rip Currents: High Risk of Rip currents at all area beaches today.
A high risk is expected at all area beaches again on Sunday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Moderate Flooding continues over portions of the lowers Santa Fe River near Three Rivers Estates, but should lower into minor flooding by late Sunday, then remaining in minor flood through next week. Minor flooding also continues along portions of the Santa Fe River near Hildreth through early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 62 82 57 85 / 10 10 0 0 SSI 66 75 65 78 / 10 10 0 0 JAX 65 79 61 83 / 10 10 0 0 SGJ 67 78 64 81 / 0 10 0 0 GNV 62 83 59 86 / 10 10 0 0 OCF 62 85 59 87 / 0 10 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ124-125-133- 138.
GA...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for GAZ154-166.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ470-472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 154 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, HYDROLOGY
NEAR TERM
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Isolated to widely scattered light showers will stream east to west as a coastal trough works inland through the rest of the afternoon. Strong high pressure centered around 1034 mb near the Mid-Atlantic coast will build south through the afternoon off the Delmarva coast towards sunset with breezy easterly winds 15-20 mph gusting to 30-35 mph along the coast and about 10-20 mph west of I-95. Despite breaks in the clouds owing to initially partly cloudy skies before mid and high level clouds increase from the west, the onshore flow will limit highs to the upper 70s near the coast and lower 80s.
Tonight, easterly winds will gradually wind down after sunset to 8-12 mph and 5-10 mph after midnight with winds persisting longer along the coast to 10-20 mph with gusts 25-30 mph through midnight and then subsiding to 10-15 mph well after midnight as the high weakens further and sinks southward to near the NC Outer Banks.
Mostly cloudy skies expected as mid and high level clouds linger, that should remove the possibility of fog inland tonight. Lows will be warmer at the coast in the onshore flow mid to upper 60s and lower 60s inland where air is a bit drier.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Sunday...High pressure ridge axis remains north of the region across the Carolinas and breezy Easterly flow will continue across NE FL/SE GA, with strongest winds at the Atlantic Beaches at 15-20G25-30 mph and mixing down to 10-15G20-25mph over inland areas by the afternoon hours. The onshore flow will continue to keep temps slightly below normal with highs in the mid/upper 70s for the Atlantic Coastal counties and into the 80-85 range over inland areas. While an isolated coastal shower cannot be ruled out, overall measurable rainfall chances will remain in the "silent" 10-15% range with the ongoing forecast.
Sunday Night...Not much change with the pattern other than a slight shift to a Southeast steering flow through the overnight hours which will lead to less wind than is expected tonight and will allow for skies to become mostly clear over inland areas with Strato-Cu clouds still pushing onshore along the Atlantic Coast.
Low temps expected to fall into the upper 50s inland and remain in the 60s along the Atlantic Coast. Slightly less wind and cloud cover over inland areas may lead to some patchy fog development, but chances of any significant fog remain too low to include in the forecast at this time.
Monday...High pressure ridge axis attempts to shift slowly southward into the NE FL/SE GA region which will allow for the steering flow to become more South-Southeast and lead to temps returning to more normal levels with highs in the middle 80s over inland areas and around 80 along the Atlantic Coastal areas. While the SE surface flow will onshore and expect East Coast sea breeze to develop and move inland, there will be a 10-15% chance of a sprinkle or shower as it moves inland, but will continue to keep any measurable rainfall "silent" in the ongoing forecast.
Monday Night...Ridge axis will remain across the region with a light southerly steering flow under Mostly clear skies. Temps will nudge upwards to slightly above normal levels with lows in the lower 60s inland and mid/upper 60s along the Atlantic Coast.
Slightly stronger signal for some patchy late night dense fog by sunrise Tuesday morning over inland areas, but too early to add to the ongoing forecast, but something to monitor.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Tuesday...The newer 12Z GFS/NAM model runs are suggesting a weaker frontal boundary pushing into the region from NW with some widely scattered shower/isolated storm activity during afternoon/evening hours, which could interact with local sea breezes, but the ECMWF model remains too dry with this feature for much in the way of measurable rainfall so will continue ongoing "silent" forecast with PoPs of 10-15%. Best chances for any rainfall will likely across across inland SE GA. Ahead of this feature, Max temps will push into the upper 80s/near 90 over inland areas with 80-85 temps along the Atlantic Coast.
Wednesday through Saturday...With weak high pressure ridge lingering in the region through the end of the week and approaching frontal boundary from the Northwest, expect mainly diurnal sea breezes to slowly push inland each day, but any significant moisture remains limited and rainfall chances remain on the low end in the 10-20% range, but cannot be ruled out on any day along the sea breeze, while longer range models are suggesting that better rainfall chances will exist by next weekend as possible stronger frontal boundary pushes closer to the region.
While rainfall forecast remains low to moderate, models are suggesting above normal temps through this period with a moderate to high confidence of daily highs around 90 degrees over inland areas and in the lower/middle 80s closer to the Atlantic Coast.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Mainly VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF period. Earlier showers have progressed inland of the Northeast Florida TAF sites with easterly winds elevated to 10-15 knots as strong high pressure builds southward off the New England and Mid-Atlantic coasts while a coastal trough remains over the coastal waters.
This coastal trough may continue enough convergent showers approaching the sites from the Atlantic to warrant VCSH this afternoon, but probability of higher coverage is too low to include in this TAF set. Pinched gradient between the trough moving onshore as the high builds south will create winds 15-20 knots at the coastal TAF sites SGJ/SSI/CRG with gusts 25-30 knots and winds 12-15 knots inland with gusts of 20-25 knots. Marine stratocumulus will continue overnight under increasing mid level and high level clouds with winds diminishing after 00Z inland to around 5 knots or less while lowering to around 10 knots at the coast after 06Z-08Z. Mid level clouds will exit to the east Sunday with VFR cumulus/marine stratocumulus and some high level clouds with less breezy conditions from the east 10-15 knots gusting to around 20 knots.
MARINE
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Strong high pressure to the north northeast near the Mid-Atlantic coast will sink southward down the eastern seaboard through this evening with breezy easterly winds as a coastal trough over the northeast Florida waters tightens the local pressure gradient and Small Craft Advisory conditions the northeast Florida nearshore waters and all of the offshore waters. Slightly less winds and seas will bring Small Craft exercise caution conditions to the Georgia nearshore waters. Isolated showers will shift westward with the trough over the waters through this early evening. The high will slowly weaken overnight as it shifts southward near the North Carolina Outer Banks with winds diminishing near shore.
Small Craft Advisory conditions will persist offshore through Sunday morning. Winds and seas will further subside late Sunday into Sunday night as weaker high pressure anchors off the southeastern seaboard early next week, followed by prevailing winds shifting to southerly towards midweek.
Rip Currents: High Risk of Rip currents at all area beaches today.
A high risk is expected at all area beaches again on Sunday.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 151 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Moderate Flooding continues over portions of the lowers Santa Fe River near Three Rivers Estates, but should lower into minor flooding by late Sunday, then remaining in minor flood through next week. Minor flooding also continues along portions of the Santa Fe River near Hildreth through early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 62 82 57 85 / 10 10 0 0 SSI 66 75 65 78 / 10 10 0 0 JAX 65 79 61 83 / 10 10 0 0 SGJ 67 78 64 81 / 0 10 0 0 GNV 62 83 59 86 / 10 10 0 0 OCF 62 85 59 87 / 0 10 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ124-125-133- 138.
GA...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for GAZ154-166.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ470-472-474.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CKYF1 | 47 mi | 53 min | NE 11G | 78°F | 76°F | 30.18 | ||
| GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL | 57 mi | 98 min | ESE 8.9 | 77°F | 30.30 | 65°F | ||
| SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL | 59 mi | 23 min | E 14G | 73°F | 74°F | 30.27 | 73°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KGNV GAINESVILLE RGNL,FL | 11 sm | 29 min | E 11G20 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 63°F | 54% | 30.24 |
Tide / Current for Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida
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Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT 2.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:02 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 12:57 PM EDT 2.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:56 PM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:58 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT 2.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EDT 3.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:02 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 12:57 PM EDT 2.87 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:56 PM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:58 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.8 |
| 1 am |
| 2.8 |
| 2 am |
| 2.9 |
| 3 am |
| 3 |
| 4 am |
| 3.2 |
| 5 am |
| 3.5 |
| 6 am |
| 3.6 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.5 |
| 10 am |
| 3.3 |
| 11 am |
| 3 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 3 |
Welaka
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:52 AM EDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:02 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 12:21 PM EDT 3.59 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:10 PM EDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:47 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:52 AM EDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 09:02 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 12:21 PM EDT 3.59 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:10 PM EDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 11:57 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Welaka, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.6 |
| 2 am |
| 3.6 |
| 3 am |
| 3.6 |
| 4 am |
| 3.6 |
| 5 am |
| 3.7 |
| 6 am |
| 3.9 |
| 7 am |
| 3.9 |
| 8 am |
| 3.9 |
| 9 am |
| 3.8 |
| 10 am |
| 3.7 |
| 11 am |
| 3.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.6 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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