Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Micanopy, FL
May 19, 2024 7:17 PM EDT (23:17 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:32 AM Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 3:56 PM Moonset 3:10 AM |
GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 216 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Tonight - West winds around 10 knots, becoming northwest late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Monday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night - Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: north 1 foot at 3 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - Northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: north 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds, becoming northeast 1 foot at 2 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Wednesday night - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Thursday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 216 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis - Persistent long period swells from the S gulf are keeping seas elevated into Monday. A frontal boundary will continue to slowly moving across the se gulf tonight with a few showers or Thunderstorms across the waters. Weak high pressure gradually builds into the region by mid week with winds and seas slowly subsiding.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 192315 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 715 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 704 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Outflow boundary that originated in SE GA has pushed into NE FL extending from coastal Duval County through the northern Suwannee Valley this early evening. The outflow will continue to push southward this evening with surface cool front lagging behind near the Altamaha River Basin. Most residual and isolated convection remains along and ahead of the outflow boundary. The cool front is expected to push through most of the forecast region during the overnight hours. The convection mainly be isolated to widely scattered over the land areas the remaining daylight hours, become isolated during the mid to late evening. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Line of showers and storms are currently skirting the Altamaha River Basin in SE GA along the cold front. Showers and storms will begin to develop across SE GA and eventually towards NE FL once the cold front begins to meander south during the late afternoon.
Main concern for any storms which do develop will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, as DCAPE values hover around the 1000 J/kg range. Activity will shift towards the coast during the early evening hours. Isolated Coastal showers will linger through the overnight hours over the SE GA coast, with some activity possible during the pre-dawn morning hours along the coast in NE FL. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s for inland locations, with coastal locations hovering near the 70 mark. Current forecast has these trends well in hand with only minor and subtle changes to the POPS to mirror the forecast convective chances over the next few hours.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast. Winds will die down in the evening hours, with skies becoming mostly clear inland.
Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60's staying in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Tuesday, weather will be similar to monday just a bit drier, causing lower chances of 20-40% for storms and precipitation for NE FL in the morning and afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure continues to build into the area Wednesday with an upper level ridge moving in from the west. Expect mostly clear skies for the rest of the week, becoming partly cloudy Friday afternoon. Models show the next best chance for rain will be over the weekend in the afternoon and evening igh pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.hours as PWAT values increase to 1.5"+ and an upper level trough moves into the area.
Temperatures will slowly climb into the 90s by Thursday and stay through the weekend with overnight temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR clouds around at this time with scattered to broken cumulus around 3500-4500 ft. First signs of convection so far over inland southeast GA, but deepening cumulus field will result in chance of showers and storms rest of the aftn with TEMPO groups in place, with lowest confidence for SGJ and GNV at this time. Could be strong gusty winds that accompany storms around SSI and then near JAX by 22z and 00z, respectively. Showers and storms expected to diminish in coverage and intensity after 02z-04z time frame as frontal boundary sags southward. Low clouds will begin to develop overnight into Monday morning that may be close to IFR but mainly MVFR. Sfc winds prevail from the west about 8-12 kt and will shift to northerly and northeast by Monday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast Georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents:Low risk of Rip Currents for the remainder of the day for all area beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents is forecast for NE FL and SE GA beaches Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 85 65 84 63 / 80 10 10 0 SSI 86 69 80 70 / 60 20 10 0 JAX 89 67 81 66 / 30 20 30 0 SGJ 89 68 81 69 / 40 30 30 10 GNV 87 67 83 62 / 20 10 50 0 OCF 87 68 86 65 / 20 10 50 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 715 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 704 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Outflow boundary that originated in SE GA has pushed into NE FL extending from coastal Duval County through the northern Suwannee Valley this early evening. The outflow will continue to push southward this evening with surface cool front lagging behind near the Altamaha River Basin. Most residual and isolated convection remains along and ahead of the outflow boundary. The cool front is expected to push through most of the forecast region during the overnight hours. The convection mainly be isolated to widely scattered over the land areas the remaining daylight hours, become isolated during the mid to late evening. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Line of showers and storms are currently skirting the Altamaha River Basin in SE GA along the cold front. Showers and storms will begin to develop across SE GA and eventually towards NE FL once the cold front begins to meander south during the late afternoon.
Main concern for any storms which do develop will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, as DCAPE values hover around the 1000 J/kg range. Activity will shift towards the coast during the early evening hours. Isolated Coastal showers will linger through the overnight hours over the SE GA coast, with some activity possible during the pre-dawn morning hours along the coast in NE FL. A northeasterly flow will become established during the overnight hours as the cold front clears the area and high pressure begins to build down from the northeast. Overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s for inland locations, with coastal locations hovering near the 70 mark. Current forecast has these trends well in hand with only minor and subtle changes to the POPS to mirror the forecast convective chances over the next few hours.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast. Winds will die down in the evening hours, with skies becoming mostly clear inland.
Overnight temperatures will be in the low to mid 60's staying in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Tuesday, weather will be similar to monday just a bit drier, causing lower chances of 20-40% for storms and precipitation for NE FL in the morning and afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
High pressure continues to build into the area Wednesday with an upper level ridge moving in from the west. Expect mostly clear skies for the rest of the week, becoming partly cloudy Friday afternoon. Models show the next best chance for rain will be over the weekend in the afternoon and evening igh pressure wedges down the east coast Monday with an upper level trough in place. Onshore flow will allow the sea-breeze to make itself well inland, pulling some PWAT values of 1-1.4" along with it. Rain and storm potential will be between 25-45% in the morning along the coast and inland to the 301 corridor, increasing inland for NE FL to 50-60%. Chances drop below 10% after sunset. Partly cloudy skies and onshore winds will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s area wide with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.hours as PWAT values increase to 1.5"+ and an upper level trough moves into the area.
Temperatures will slowly climb into the 90s by Thursday and stay through the weekend with overnight temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR clouds around at this time with scattered to broken cumulus around 3500-4500 ft. First signs of convection so far over inland southeast GA, but deepening cumulus field will result in chance of showers and storms rest of the aftn with TEMPO groups in place, with lowest confidence for SGJ and GNV at this time. Could be strong gusty winds that accompany storms around SSI and then near JAX by 22z and 00z, respectively. Showers and storms expected to diminish in coverage and intensity after 02z-04z time frame as frontal boundary sags southward. Low clouds will begin to develop overnight into Monday morning that may be close to IFR but mainly MVFR. Sfc winds prevail from the west about 8-12 kt and will shift to northerly and northeast by Monday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 303 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
A slow moving cold front will continue to drift southward over the coastal waters through the afternoon, with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the coming hours into the evening. Some of these storms may contain strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Breezy flow from the north- northeast overnight into Monday behind the cold front. Wind speeds will be near small craft advisory levels over the southeast Georgia waters Monday morning. High pressure builds directly over the waters during the middle part of next week.
Rip Currents:Low risk of Rip Currents for the remainder of the day for all area beaches. A moderate risk of rip currents is forecast for NE FL and SE GA beaches Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 85 65 84 63 / 80 10 10 0 SSI 86 69 80 70 / 60 20 10 0 JAX 89 67 81 66 / 30 20 30 0 SGJ 89 68 81 69 / 40 30 30 10 GNV 87 67 83 62 / 20 10 50 0 OCF 87 68 86 65 / 20 10 50 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KGNV GAINESVILLE RGNL,FL | 11 sm | 24 min | W 12 | 10 sm | Clear | 86°F | 64°F | 49% | 29.87 |
Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT 3.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:31 AM EDT 2.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:05 PM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:50 PM EDT 2.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT 3.57 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:31 AM EDT 2.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:05 PM EDT 3.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:50 PM EDT 2.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.5 |
| 1 am |
| 3.5 |
| 2 am |
| 3.6 |
| 3 am |
| 3.5 |
| 4 am |
| 3.3 |
| 5 am |
| 3.1 |
| 6 am |
| 3 |
| 7 am |
| 2.9 |
| 8 am |
| 2.9 |
| 9 am |
| 2.9 |
| 10 am |
| 3 |
| 11 am |
| 3.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 3 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.2 |
Buffalo Bluff
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:45 AM EDT 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:08 PM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:59 PM EDT 0.69 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT 1.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:07 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:45 AM EDT 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:08 PM EDT 1.30 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:59 PM EDT 0.69 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.3 |
| 1 am |
| 1.4 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1 |
Jacksonville, FL,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE