Sunrise 6:26 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 11:19 AM   Moonset 12:40 AM

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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 341 Am Cdt Tue May 14 2024
Today - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, veering to north late. Bay waters smooth. Patchy fog early this morning. Tonight - North winds 5 to 10 knots, veering to southeast after midnight. Bay waters smooth. Wednesday - East winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots late. Bay waters smooth, rising to slightly choppy late.Wednesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Thursday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Thursday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds around 10 knots, veering to northwest after midnight. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy, easing to smooth after midnight. Saturday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, veering to east in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 341 Am Cdt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
mainly light north to northwest winds and low seas can be expected today. Winds will come back around to the south and southeast tonight and Wednesday, and this onshore flow will gradually strengthen and persist until another cold front moves off the coast at the end of the week. Caution flags might be needed for the strengthening winds and building seas. Our next chance of rain begins late Wednesday night and continues into the day on Friday. Drier weather can be expected over the weekend.

FXUS64 KHGX 140840 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 340 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

The short term will be dominated by surface high pressure and modest ridging aloft. In other words, the short term weather is actually quiet for once! Some communities may encounter fog this morning. Any fog should lift by mid-morning, yielding to a mostly sunny and warm day. The air will be drier, with afternoon dew points averaging in the low/mid 60s. Afternoon temperatures will generally be in the 85 to 90 degree range. Inland temps fall into the 60s tonight (70s at the coast). Couldn't rule out patchy fog development by Wednesday morning. Wednesday looks similar but with a little more mid/upper ridging than Tuesday. Therefore, afternoon temperatures are forecast to be a little hotter, averaging around 90 degrees for most inland areas (~mid 80s near the coast). Wednesday night is expected to be more humid and a tad warmer. There may even be a few showers after midnight. These showers are a harbinger of the active weather to come. But I will let the long term forecaster dwell on that topic.

Enjoy the calm while it lasts!

Self

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Still looking for our next best chance of rain in the Thursday-Friday time period as a series of disturbances move across the area in association with the next upper level trough. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are anticipated along with possible strong/severe storms as moisture levels rise and instability increases. We will need to keep an eye on how the models handle this next system. The current forecast has the highest rainfall totals from I-10 northward with the higher numbers the further northward you go. These higher totals up north (approaching 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts possible) are across locations that are already saturated, so we might end up needing another Flood Watch.
Once this system exits off to the east, a much drier forecast will cover the area over the weekend and into the start of next week.

With expected rains/clouds in the area on Thursday and Friday, look for high temperatures mainly in the 80s. With less clouds and no rain over the weekend and into the start of next week, look for high temperatures to warm from an upper 80s to low 90s range on Saturday to the lower 90s for a majority of inland locations on Monday. Morning lows in an upper 60s to low 70s range are anticipated for much of this period.

42

AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1124 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

Mid/high level cloudiness is in the process of thinning and moving off to the east. As this occurs overnight, expecting some fog to develop with wet ground and light winds in place. Currently seeing a few locations to our north flirt with IFR/LIFR conditions, and though confidence in specific locations/timing/details isn't overly high, see no reason some terminals in SE Tx experience this sometime overnight. SREF seems to favor LBX, CXO, UTS, CLL. Look for any low clouds/fog to burn off by mid morning with VFR conditions prevailing thereafter. Maybe some late night fog Tues night west of Highway 288 and south of I-10. 47

MARINE
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Mainly light north to northwest winds and low seas can be expected today.
Winds will come back around to the south and southeast tonight and Wednesday, and this onshore flow will gradually strengthen and persist until another cold front moves off the coast at the end of the week. Caution flags might be needed for the strengthening winds and building seas. Our next chance of rain begins late Wednesday night and continues into the day on Friday. A drier forecast can be expected over the weekend.

42

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 1124 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity and Brazos rivers. The next rounds of heavy rain are expected on Thursday/Friday, so be sure to stay up to date on the latest forecast information.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 86 64 89 68 / 0 0 0 20 Houston (IAH) 88 65 90 70 / 0 0 0 20 Galveston (GLS) 85 73 82 75 / 0 0 0 20

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for TXZ163-164- 176>179-196-198-199.

GM...None.

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Clear Lake
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:39 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:27 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:25 AM CDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:19 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:57 PM CDT     0.75 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet

Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:38 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:47 AM CDT     -1.77 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:27 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:39 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:05 PM CDT     1.70 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:18 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:19 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:04 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots

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