Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shoreacres, TX
April 29, 2024 12:20 AM CDT (05:20 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:37 AM Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 9:53 AM |
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 1031 Pm Cdt Sun Apr 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am cdt Monday - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers this evening. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers after midnight. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall early this evening. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall after midnight. Some Thunderstorms may be severe with heavy rainfall late.
Monday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Showers with Thunderstorms likely early in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the morning.
Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Tuesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots late. Bay waters smooth, becoming slightly choppy late. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Wednesday - Southeast winds around 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy, becoming choppy in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to around 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy, becoming slightly choppy after midnight.
Thursday - Southeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.
Thursday night - Southeast winds around 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1031 Pm Cdt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
moderate to strong onshore winds and hazardous seas will continue through late tonight. Minor coastal flooding is expected in vulnerable locations at times of high tide. There is a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Sunday afternoon through Tuesday. Winds will gradually decrease late Sunday night into Monday, with lingering high seas keeping conditions hazardous through Monday. Generally moderate onshore flow will persist through the rest of the week.
moderate to strong onshore winds and hazardous seas will continue through late tonight. Minor coastal flooding is expected in vulnerable locations at times of high tide. There is a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Sunday afternoon through Tuesday. Winds will gradually decrease late Sunday night into Monday, with lingering high seas keeping conditions hazardous through Monday. Generally moderate onshore flow will persist through the rest of the week.
Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 290245 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 945 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 918 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
The Tornado Watch was extended until 11pm for parts of the area.
Though isolated severe cells are occurring, and will probably continue for a while, this appears to be transitioning to a flooding event. Scattered cells have evolved into more of a east- west oriented linear line...perpendicular to the 30-35kt llvl inflow from the Gulf. IR imagery depicts a classic "<" from the Brazos Valley across the northern 1/3 of our counties. This implies a favorable environment for training heavy rain.
Widesrpead2-5" has fallen across northern parts, with a TRA gage at Caney Creek @ Fryday measuring 8.24" as of this writing (and still raining). We've seen 5 minute rainfalls of about 1/2".
Expect some very serious flooding to occur over parts of the area...exceptionally dangerous because it is at night.
This system isn't in a hurry to go anywhere. Cold pool should eventually nudge it south overnight into the metro area and eventually off the coast. Have pulled the Flash Flood Watch south into Montgomery and Liberty Counties. Have held off, for now, adding locations further south. Reason being the low level jet and higher PW axis should be trending eastward after midnight.
Will be closely monitoring things overnight, and cannot rule out a further southward flood watch expansion into the metro area.
Regardless, Houston metro and coastal areas should still anticipate some localized heavy rain and the associated impacts (local street flooding, rises on some creeks/streams/bayous).
A very strong reminder...don't drive into water covered roadways!
47
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
Light showers are currently ongoing across portions of SE Texas this afternoon, with stronger/severe storms ongoing over portions of Northeast Texas. SPC's mesocale analysis depicts ample instability across SE Texas, with SFC CAPE values of 2500-4000 J/KG, 3km ML CAPE of 5-150 J/KG. MU LIs of -6 to -8, LCL heights of 500-1000m, and midlevel lapse rates of 6.5-7.5 DegC/km. Ample shear remains present throughout the region as well, with Effective Bulk shear around 40- 50 knots and 3km SRH of 150-250 m2s2. 3km EHI values range from 3-5, Supercell Composite values of 8-12, Sig Tor Parameter values of 1-2, and Large Hail Parameter values of 8-16. Enhanced Stretching Potential values of 1-2 are currently focused west of I-45 just north of the US-59 corridor right now, coinciding with higher VTP values of 2-4. Model consensus and current observations suggest isolated/scattered shower/thunderstorm development across SE Texas this afternoon, with a larger line/cluster of storms forming this evening over portions of the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods along a frontal boundary. This complex of thunderstorms should move east/southeasterly overnight, pushing offshore Monday morning.
A Tornado Watch is in effect for areas north of the US-59 corridor until 9 PM Tonight. These discrete storms will be capable of producing all severe hazards, including damaging winds, large hail, and even a few tornadoes. Additionally, these storms will also be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, with some models suggesting the potential for training storms. A Flood Watch is currently in effect across the northern third of our CWA until 10 AM Monday. Rainfall totals will largely be up to 2" though isolated higher amounts of 3-5" or higher will be possible. Locations outside of the current watch areas will still be under a Marginal to Slight Risk of Severe Weather/Excessive rainfall tonight into Monday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast for additional updates, and be sure to have multiple ways of receiving warnings tonight.
The severe weather & heavy rainfall threat come to an end on Monday as this complex of thunderstorms pushes offshore. Isolated showers & storms will be possible Monday night/early Tuesday due to lingering moisture. Otherwise, expect much more benign weather with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s to lower 70s.
03
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
With an active west to southwest flow aloft, a series of disturbances will be moving across the area through much of this period. With precipitable water values remaining on the elevated side, a persistent onshore flow, and a stalling cold front, look for periods of showers and thunderstorms across the area for much of the week, generally higher inland (up north) and lower closer to the coast. Each day, expect high temperatures in the 80s and low temperatures in an upper 60s to lower 70s range. 42
AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Shower/thunderstorm development increasing across the northern half of Southeast Texas. Embedded strong-severe cells will be capable of producing all wx modes (strong winds, hail, heavy rain and isolated tornadoes). Look for this activity to become more organized/linear this evening...eventually tracking into the metro area overnight (6-10z) and toward the coast thereafter.
Prevailing MVFR cigs will become IFR in/near the strongest cells.
May see some fog/low cig develop once the precip passes late tonight followed by gradual improvement into the mid-late morning hours Mon. VFR areawide during the afternoon. 47
MARINE
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Moderate to strong onshore winds (still at around 20 knots this afternoon) and hazardous seas (10 feet at Buoy 42019 at 2 PM CDT)
will continue through late tonight. Minor coastal flooding is expected in vulnerable locations at times of high tide (mainly during the day today). There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms, with the best chances from this evening through Monday morning, and then again during the day on Tuesday (look for higher winds/seas/bays in and near any storms). Winds will gradually decrease late tonight into Monday, with lingering high seas keeping conditions hazardous through much of the day on Monday. Generally moderate onshore flow will persist through the rest of the upcoming week. 42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 68 86 68 84 / 100 0 10 30 Houston (IAH) 71 86 71 84 / 90 20 20 50 Galveston (GLS) 72 80 72 79 / 80 90 20 50
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch through Monday morning for TXZ163-164-176>179-195- 196-198>200.
Beach Hazards Statement through Monday morning for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Monday for GMZ330-335-350- 355-370-375.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 945 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 918 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
The Tornado Watch was extended until 11pm for parts of the area.
Though isolated severe cells are occurring, and will probably continue for a while, this appears to be transitioning to a flooding event. Scattered cells have evolved into more of a east- west oriented linear line...perpendicular to the 30-35kt llvl inflow from the Gulf. IR imagery depicts a classic "<" from the Brazos Valley across the northern 1/3 of our counties. This implies a favorable environment for training heavy rain.
Widesrpead2-5" has fallen across northern parts, with a TRA gage at Caney Creek @ Fryday measuring 8.24" as of this writing (and still raining). We've seen 5 minute rainfalls of about 1/2".
Expect some very serious flooding to occur over parts of the area...exceptionally dangerous because it is at night.
This system isn't in a hurry to go anywhere. Cold pool should eventually nudge it south overnight into the metro area and eventually off the coast. Have pulled the Flash Flood Watch south into Montgomery and Liberty Counties. Have held off, for now, adding locations further south. Reason being the low level jet and higher PW axis should be trending eastward after midnight.
Will be closely monitoring things overnight, and cannot rule out a further southward flood watch expansion into the metro area.
Regardless, Houston metro and coastal areas should still anticipate some localized heavy rain and the associated impacts (local street flooding, rises on some creeks/streams/bayous).
A very strong reminder...don't drive into water covered roadways!
47
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
Light showers are currently ongoing across portions of SE Texas this afternoon, with stronger/severe storms ongoing over portions of Northeast Texas. SPC's mesocale analysis depicts ample instability across SE Texas, with SFC CAPE values of 2500-4000 J/KG, 3km ML CAPE of 5-150 J/KG. MU LIs of -6 to -8, LCL heights of 500-1000m, and midlevel lapse rates of 6.5-7.5 DegC/km. Ample shear remains present throughout the region as well, with Effective Bulk shear around 40- 50 knots and 3km SRH of 150-250 m2s2. 3km EHI values range from 3-5, Supercell Composite values of 8-12, Sig Tor Parameter values of 1-2, and Large Hail Parameter values of 8-16. Enhanced Stretching Potential values of 1-2 are currently focused west of I-45 just north of the US-59 corridor right now, coinciding with higher VTP values of 2-4. Model consensus and current observations suggest isolated/scattered shower/thunderstorm development across SE Texas this afternoon, with a larger line/cluster of storms forming this evening over portions of the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods along a frontal boundary. This complex of thunderstorms should move east/southeasterly overnight, pushing offshore Monday morning.
A Tornado Watch is in effect for areas north of the US-59 corridor until 9 PM Tonight. These discrete storms will be capable of producing all severe hazards, including damaging winds, large hail, and even a few tornadoes. Additionally, these storms will also be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, with some models suggesting the potential for training storms. A Flood Watch is currently in effect across the northern third of our CWA until 10 AM Monday. Rainfall totals will largely be up to 2" though isolated higher amounts of 3-5" or higher will be possible. Locations outside of the current watch areas will still be under a Marginal to Slight Risk of Severe Weather/Excessive rainfall tonight into Monday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast for additional updates, and be sure to have multiple ways of receiving warnings tonight.
The severe weather & heavy rainfall threat come to an end on Monday as this complex of thunderstorms pushes offshore. Isolated showers & storms will be possible Monday night/early Tuesday due to lingering moisture. Otherwise, expect much more benign weather with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s to lower 70s.
03
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
With an active west to southwest flow aloft, a series of disturbances will be moving across the area through much of this period. With precipitable water values remaining on the elevated side, a persistent onshore flow, and a stalling cold front, look for periods of showers and thunderstorms across the area for much of the week, generally higher inland (up north) and lower closer to the coast. Each day, expect high temperatures in the 80s and low temperatures in an upper 60s to lower 70s range. 42
AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Shower/thunderstorm development increasing across the northern half of Southeast Texas. Embedded strong-severe cells will be capable of producing all wx modes (strong winds, hail, heavy rain and isolated tornadoes). Look for this activity to become more organized/linear this evening...eventually tracking into the metro area overnight (6-10z) and toward the coast thereafter.
Prevailing MVFR cigs will become IFR in/near the strongest cells.
May see some fog/low cig develop once the precip passes late tonight followed by gradual improvement into the mid-late morning hours Mon. VFR areawide during the afternoon. 47
MARINE
Issued at 405 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Moderate to strong onshore winds (still at around 20 knots this afternoon) and hazardous seas (10 feet at Buoy 42019 at 2 PM CDT)
will continue through late tonight. Minor coastal flooding is expected in vulnerable locations at times of high tide (mainly during the day today). There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms, with the best chances from this evening through Monday morning, and then again during the day on Tuesday (look for higher winds/seas/bays in and near any storms). Winds will gradually decrease late tonight into Monday, with lingering high seas keeping conditions hazardous through much of the day on Monday. Generally moderate onshore flow will persist through the rest of the upcoming week. 42
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 68 86 68 84 / 100 0 10 30 Houston (IAH) 71 86 71 84 / 90 20 20 50 Galveston (GLS) 72 80 72 79 / 80 90 20 50
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch through Monday morning for TXZ163-164-176>179-195- 196-198>200.
Beach Hazards Statement through Monday morning for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Monday for GMZ330-335-350- 355-370-375.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 3 mi | 51 min | ESE 21G | 75°F | 76°F | 29.80 | ||
| EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 12 mi | 51 min | SSE 20G | 77°F | 77°F | 29.81 | ||
| NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 16 mi | 51 min | SSW 8G | 76°F | 29.78 | |||
| GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX | 24 mi | 51 min | SSE 20G | 79°F | 76°F | 29.80 | ||
| GRRT2 | 24 mi | 51 min | SE 13G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.79 | ||
| GTOT2 | 25 mi | 51 min | S 11G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.78 | ||
| RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 27 mi | 51 min | SSE 18G | 75°F | 80°F | 29.82 | ||
| HIST2 | 32 mi | 51 min | SE 7G | 76°F | 82°F | 29.83 | ||
| LUIT2 | 40 mi | 51 min | SE 12G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.82 | ||
| KGVW | 42 mi | 26 min | SE 27 | 75°F | 73°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEFD ELLINGTON,TX | 9 sm | 26 min | SSE 18G24 | 5 sm | Overcast | Mist | 77°F | 73°F | 89% | 29.82 |
| KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX | 15 sm | 27 min | S 18G29 | 9 sm | Overcast | 77°F | 73°F | 89% | 29.81 | |
| KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX | 16 sm | 27 min | S 11G25 | 7 sm | Overcast | 77°F | 73°F | 89% | 29.84 |
Tide / Current for Barbours Cut, Morgans Point, Galveston Bay, Texas
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Barbours Cut, Morgans Point, Galveston Bay, Texas, Tide feet
Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:46 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:39 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:33 AM CDT 2.04 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:52 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:37 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:54 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:46 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:39 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 08:33 AM CDT 2.04 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:52 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:37 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:54 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -2.1 |
| 1 am |
| -1.9 |
| 2 am |
| -1.6 |
| 3 am |
| -1.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 2 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.8 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.9 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,
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