Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shoreacres, TX
May 1, 2024 8:19 AM CDT (13:19 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:35 AM Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 1:29 AM Moonset 12:06 PM |
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 725 Am Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Today - Southeast winds around 10 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters smooth, becoming choppy. Patchy fog early this morning. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon.
Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall late.
Thursday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall early in the morning.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Saturday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 725 Am Cdt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
moderate onshore winds are expected through early next week. Caution flags will be issued later today. Winds may flirt with advisory levels on Thursday. Shower and Thunderstorm chances begin to increase today and persist through the rest of the work week, mainly for the galveston bay area and its adjacent waters. Although the strongest storms are expected to remain inland, an isolated stronger storm or two cannot be fully ruled out.
moderate onshore winds are expected through early next week. Caution flags will be issued later today. Winds may flirt with advisory levels on Thursday. Shower and Thunderstorm chances begin to increase today and persist through the rest of the work week, mainly for the galveston bay area and its adjacent waters. Although the strongest storms are expected to remain inland, an isolated stronger storm or two cannot be fully ruled out.
Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 011155 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 655 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Active weather pattern returns today and Thursday with periods of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the overnight hours through Thursday.
In the near term, stratus and patchy fog will continue to develop across portions of SE TX early this morning. Fog is not expected to be as widespread as yesterday, and is expected to burn early this morning. Low clouds/stratus, on the other hand, will continue through the day, with just some improvement in the afternoon.
Increasing warm air advection, and daytime heating will help to spark isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late this morning into the afternoon hours.
The primary concerns in the short term portion of the forecast revolve around excessive rainfall and convection risks this evening into Thursday. Model guidance continues to support scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing across north central Texas and into Southeast TX later today as a strong upper-level trough moves through on the nose of a strengthening LLJ. West to southwest flow aloft, strong forcing and instability and 0-6 km bulk shear around 25-40 knots will support strong updrafts with these storms. There is a moderate to high probability that this activity will initiate with a supercellular development to our west, eventually evolving into a linear MCS as storms move over our forecast area. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with any strong to severe thunderstorms.
This system is progged to be progressive; but latest trends continue to show excessive rainfall over areas where recently had significant rainfall/flooding. For this reason, WPC placed us under a Moderate Risk (level 3 of 4) and a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4)of excessive rainfall today/tonight in their Day 1 Outlook and in a Slight Risk in their Day 2 (Thursday). Most of this activity is progged to be north of I-10. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches can be expected north of I-10, with isolated higher amounts of 5 to 8 inches possible. Up to an inch of rain will be possible for areas south of I-10 (lower amounts towards the coast). The greatest threat of heavy rainfall and strong to severe storms should gradually diminish on Thursday during the day.
A Flood Watch has been issued generally for counties north of the Houston metro area from late this evening through Thursday evening.
Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
JM
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Several mid to upper level disturbances embedded in the quasi zonal flow aloft will continue to move over the region through early this weekend. During the early morning hours on Friday, another pulse of low level moisture will move in from the Gulf waters maintaining PWs between 1.5 to 1.8 inches, in particular over the Piney Woods region. In addition, there's the indication of mid level vort maxes moving over the northern half of Southeast Texas on Friday. Another thing to note is that although the low level jet is at its strongest on Thursday, it may still be present on Friday. Based on this set up, confidence of seeing a few more rounds of showers and thunderstorms on Friday is increasing. For now, the best chances for showers and storms would be Friday morning into early afternoon. Models show very dry air along the mid levels moving into the region in the afternoon and could help suppress some of the rainfall, however, good instability and low level moisture remains throughout the day and could combine with the vort maxes to help maintain isolated to scattered storms over portions of Southeast Texas through late afternoon or early evening. A lull in activity can be expected Friday night and Saturday morning, although we will need to keep an eye on a few more vort maxes that are to pass through Saturday morning. On Saturday afternoon, another round of storms look to develop mainly over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region, where moisture and instability remains highest. There will be some capping in place, thus, hopefully PoPs may not be as high as they are currently forecasted (~30-50%).
One important thing to note is that the higher PoPs are once again located along and east of I-45 and north of I-10. With the expected rainfall to occur today and Thursday (in particularly over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region) along with the potential for localized flash flooding and river flooding, the additional rainfall on Friday and Saturday could aggravate the situation even more. Remember, rivers can see water levels increasing several hours to days after the main rainfall event.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast and have multiple ways to receive warnings.
By early next week, fairly tranquil conditions can be expected as mid to upper level riding dominates the local weather pattern. This will result in dry but warmer conditions with highs reaching the upper 80s to low 90s early next week (some locations may reach the mid 90s). PWs will range between 1.4 to 1.8 inches and with dewpoints mainly in the low 70s, conditions will feel even warmer as well as muggy.
24
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 648 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
MVFR to occasional IFR conditions due to low clouds/stratus will continue to develop and surge northward during the day. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible with the best chances overnight. Gusty erratic winds and reduced visibility can be expected with any strong storm. Southeasterly winds will strength this afternoon around 10 to 15 knots.
JM
MARINE
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Moderate onshore winds are expected through much of the forecast period. Winds may flirt with Advisory levels on Thursday. Seas will generally range between 4 to 6 feet over the offshore waters and 2 to 5 feet over the nearshore waters. Also, strong rip currents could occur across the Gulf facing beaches over the next few days. Periods of showers and storms can be expected through the end of the work week.
24
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
River flooding continues, particularly along portions of the Trinity and San Jacinto rivers. The following river points continue to remain at or above flood stage as of this morning:
- Trinity River (Goodrich): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Liberty): Moderate Flood Stage, rising to Major Flood Stage today - Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate Flood Stage - Trinity River (Romayor): Action Stage, rising to Minor Flood Stage today - Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Minor Flood Stage - Menard Creek (Rye): Moderate Flood Stage - San Jacinto (New Caney): Major Flood Stage
Additional rainfall over the next few days, both over the area and upstream, may result in further water level rises and prolonged river flooding. Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through flooded areas or roadways. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/)
as the river flood threat continues.
24
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 85 70 83 72 / 40 70 60 30 Houston (IAH) 84 72 84 72 / 30 40 40 30 Galveston (GLS) 80 73 80 73 / 30 20 20 30
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday evening for with gusts TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-300.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 655 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Active weather pattern returns today and Thursday with periods of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the overnight hours through Thursday.
In the near term, stratus and patchy fog will continue to develop across portions of SE TX early this morning. Fog is not expected to be as widespread as yesterday, and is expected to burn early this morning. Low clouds/stratus, on the other hand, will continue through the day, with just some improvement in the afternoon.
Increasing warm air advection, and daytime heating will help to spark isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late this morning into the afternoon hours.
The primary concerns in the short term portion of the forecast revolve around excessive rainfall and convection risks this evening into Thursday. Model guidance continues to support scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing across north central Texas and into Southeast TX later today as a strong upper-level trough moves through on the nose of a strengthening LLJ. West to southwest flow aloft, strong forcing and instability and 0-6 km bulk shear around 25-40 knots will support strong updrafts with these storms. There is a moderate to high probability that this activity will initiate with a supercellular development to our west, eventually evolving into a linear MCS as storms move over our forecast area. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with any strong to severe thunderstorms.
This system is progged to be progressive; but latest trends continue to show excessive rainfall over areas where recently had significant rainfall/flooding. For this reason, WPC placed us under a Moderate Risk (level 3 of 4) and a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4)of excessive rainfall today/tonight in their Day 1 Outlook and in a Slight Risk in their Day 2 (Thursday). Most of this activity is progged to be north of I-10. Widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches can be expected north of I-10, with isolated higher amounts of 5 to 8 inches possible. Up to an inch of rain will be possible for areas south of I-10 (lower amounts towards the coast). The greatest threat of heavy rainfall and strong to severe storms should gradually diminish on Thursday during the day.
A Flood Watch has been issued generally for counties north of the Houston metro area from late this evening through Thursday evening.
Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
JM
LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Several mid to upper level disturbances embedded in the quasi zonal flow aloft will continue to move over the region through early this weekend. During the early morning hours on Friday, another pulse of low level moisture will move in from the Gulf waters maintaining PWs between 1.5 to 1.8 inches, in particular over the Piney Woods region. In addition, there's the indication of mid level vort maxes moving over the northern half of Southeast Texas on Friday. Another thing to note is that although the low level jet is at its strongest on Thursday, it may still be present on Friday. Based on this set up, confidence of seeing a few more rounds of showers and thunderstorms on Friday is increasing. For now, the best chances for showers and storms would be Friday morning into early afternoon. Models show very dry air along the mid levels moving into the region in the afternoon and could help suppress some of the rainfall, however, good instability and low level moisture remains throughout the day and could combine with the vort maxes to help maintain isolated to scattered storms over portions of Southeast Texas through late afternoon or early evening. A lull in activity can be expected Friday night and Saturday morning, although we will need to keep an eye on a few more vort maxes that are to pass through Saturday morning. On Saturday afternoon, another round of storms look to develop mainly over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region, where moisture and instability remains highest. There will be some capping in place, thus, hopefully PoPs may not be as high as they are currently forecasted (~30-50%).
One important thing to note is that the higher PoPs are once again located along and east of I-45 and north of I-10. With the expected rainfall to occur today and Thursday (in particularly over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region) along with the potential for localized flash flooding and river flooding, the additional rainfall on Friday and Saturday could aggravate the situation even more. Remember, rivers can see water levels increasing several hours to days after the main rainfall event.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast and have multiple ways to receive warnings.
By early next week, fairly tranquil conditions can be expected as mid to upper level riding dominates the local weather pattern. This will result in dry but warmer conditions with highs reaching the upper 80s to low 90s early next week (some locations may reach the mid 90s). PWs will range between 1.4 to 1.8 inches and with dewpoints mainly in the low 70s, conditions will feel even warmer as well as muggy.
24
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 648 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
MVFR to occasional IFR conditions due to low clouds/stratus will continue to develop and surge northward during the day. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible with the best chances overnight. Gusty erratic winds and reduced visibility can be expected with any strong storm. Southeasterly winds will strength this afternoon around 10 to 15 knots.
JM
MARINE
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Moderate onshore winds are expected through much of the forecast period. Winds may flirt with Advisory levels on Thursday. Seas will generally range between 4 to 6 feet over the offshore waters and 2 to 5 feet over the nearshore waters. Also, strong rip currents could occur across the Gulf facing beaches over the next few days. Periods of showers and storms can be expected through the end of the work week.
24
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
River flooding continues, particularly along portions of the Trinity and San Jacinto rivers. The following river points continue to remain at or above flood stage as of this morning:
- Trinity River (Goodrich): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Liberty): Moderate Flood Stage, rising to Major Flood Stage today - Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate Flood Stage - Trinity River (Romayor): Action Stage, rising to Minor Flood Stage today - Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Minor Flood Stage - Menard Creek (Rye): Moderate Flood Stage - San Jacinto (New Caney): Major Flood Stage
Additional rainfall over the next few days, both over the area and upstream, may result in further water level rises and prolonged river flooding. Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through flooded areas or roadways. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/)
as the river flood threat continues.
24
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 85 70 83 72 / 40 70 60 30 Houston (IAH) 84 72 84 72 / 30 40 40 30 Galveston (GLS) 80 73 80 73 / 30 20 20 30
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch from this evening through Thursday evening for with gusts TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-300.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 3 mi | 49 min | ESE 12G | 74°F | 77°F | 29.88 | ||
| EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 12 mi | 49 min | SE 8.9G | 78°F | 77°F | 29.89 | ||
| NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 16 mi | 49 min | S 5.1G | 74°F | 29.87 | |||
| GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX | 24 mi | 49 min | SE 9.9G | 75°F | 77°F | 29.88 | ||
| GRRT2 | 24 mi | 49 min | E 7G | 75°F | 77°F | 29.86 | ||
| GTOT2 | 25 mi | 49 min | SE 5.1G | 75°F | 78°F | 29.86 | ||
| RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 27 mi | 49 min | SSE 12G | 74°F | 78°F | 29.90 | ||
| HIST2 | 32 mi | 49 min | SE 4.1G | 74°F | 82°F | 29.92 | ||
| LUIT2 | 40 mi | 49 min | ESE 8.9G | 76°F | 77°F | 29.88 | ||
| KGVW | 42 mi | 24 min | E 8.9 | 75°F | 73°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEFD ELLINGTON,TX | 9 sm | 25 min | E 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.90 | |
| KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX | 15 sm | 26 min | ESE 07 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 70°F | 83% | 29.90 | |
| KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX | 16 sm | 26 min | ESE 05 | 8 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.91 |
Clear Lake
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:28 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:37 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 10:44 AM CDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:07 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:11 PM CDT 0.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:28 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:37 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 10:44 AM CDT -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:07 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:57 PM CDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:11 PM CDT 0.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.8 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| 0.5 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0 |
| 9 am |
| -0.1 |
| 10 am |
| -0.2 |
| 11 am |
| -0.2 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -0 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Bolivar Roads
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:27 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:32 AM CDT -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:36 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:54 PM CDT 2.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:06 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:28 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:55 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:27 AM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:32 AM CDT -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:27 AM CDT Last Quarter
Wed -- 06:36 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 08:36 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:54 PM CDT 2.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:06 PM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 07:28 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:55 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Bolivar Roads, Texas Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.5 |
| 1 am |
| -1.7 |
| 2 am |
| -1.9 |
| 3 am |
| -2.1 |
| 4 am |
| -2.1 |
| 5 am |
| -1.9 |
| 6 am |
| -1.6 |
| 7 am |
| -1.1 |
| 8 am |
| -0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.8 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,
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