Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 7:49 PM Moonrise 4:12 AM   Moonset 5:31 PM

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GMZ435 Vermilion And West Cote Blanche Bays- 949 Am Cdt Mon May 6 2024
Rest of today - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters choppy. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy. Thursday - South winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday - North winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. Friday night - Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 949 Am Cdt Mon May 6 2024
Synopsis - A light to moderate onshore flow and seas of two to four feet will prevail for much of the upcoming week. No precipitation is expected over the coastal waters until Thursday afternoon into Thursday night with the passage of a cold front. Offshore flow will develop behind the front Friday through the weekend.

FXUS64 KLCH 061142 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 642 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

A warm and muggy early morning ongoing across the region although, thankfully, with a clear radar for the first time in several days.
As expected, areas of fog have developed once again where winds have become light or calm and it's expansion is easily observable on night fog satellite channels. Expect fog to continue expanding through the morning, but widespread dense fog isn't anticipated. Where winds have remained generally above five knots, the mixing has kept clouds off the surface streaming around 1.5kft. Visibilities should improve no later than 14Z.

Winds will gradually increase through the day in response to a deepening surface low over the central plains that will initialize a severe weather outbreak across Oklahoma and Kansas. Forecast winds look to remain below advisory criteria, but will be in the 15-18 knot range by this afternoon gusting to 25. A moisture plume being advected into the central plains low will get some lift from a weak shortwave traversing the region this afternoon to initialize isolated to scattered convection. The highest PoPs will be across central Louisiana and interior Southeast Texas along the trajectory of the highest moisture. Activity should wane by about 22Z as the shortwave lifts off to the Northeast.

The central plains low will keep winds elevated enough tonight into Tuesday morning to prevent any significant fog formation.
Drier mid level air streaming up the Texas gulf coast Tuesday will allow for the first day in over a week that should have zero precipitation anywhere across Southeast Texas or Southwest Louisiana. The downside is that with the lack of rainfall, temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 80s Tuesday afternoon and then into the lower 90s Wednesday across central Louisiana and interior Southeast Texas. As has been advertised, this will push heat indices Wednesday afternoon close to triple digits for the first time since last fall.

Jones

LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Thursday will start off unseasonably warm and dry before a cold front sags south into the area. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with dewpoints in the 70s. This will yield heat indices at and below the 100 degree mark. As the front works into the area, we will see isolated to scattered showers ramp up mainly across the northern half of the CWA

The rest of the long term will be more mild with temperatures at or below climatological normals. At the surface a weak ridge will build in over the weekend. Aloft, model guidance differs this far out. We could see isolated showers return to the forecast as early as Sunday with a disturbance moving in over the Rockies and into the Plains.

Stigger/87

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Visibility restrictions from fog will improve over the next couple of hours with all fog dissipated no later than 14Z. Ceilings are expected to fluctuate between VFR and MVFR through the late morning becoming predominantly VFR this afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across parts of central Louisiana potentially impacting AEX through the afternoon.
While a few thunderstorms are not out of the question in the vicinity of the coastal terminals, probabilities are very low and were not explicitly mentioned at this time.

Southerly winds will increase through the morning and remain between 12-15 knots with gusts to 25 through the afternoon and evening. Winds will remain elevated overnight which will prevent fog redevelopment, but IFR ceilings are expected in lieu of fog beginning around 04Z through Tuesday morning.

Jones

MARINE
Issued at 252 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

A light to moderate onshore flow and seas of two to four feet will prevail for much of the upcoming week. No precipitation is expected over the coastal waters until Thursday afternoon into Thursday night with the passage of a cold front. Offshore flow will develop behind the front Friday through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 85 71 87 71 / 50 10 10 0 LCH 84 74 84 73 / 20 0 0 0 LFT 86 75 87 75 / 30 0 0 0 BPT 85 73 87 74 / 10 10 0 0

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Southwest Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:46 AM CDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:25 AM CDT     1.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:58 PM CDT     1.49 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:30 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:05 PM CDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Southwest Pass, Vermilion Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet

Lighthouse Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:02 AM CDT     2.24 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:11 AM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:41 AM CDT     1.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:14 PM CDT     1.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:30 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:21 PM CDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Lighthouse Point, Louisiana, Tide feet

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Lake Charles, LA,