Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gainesville, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 6:26PM Saturday February 24, 2018 5:19 AM EST (10:19 UTC) Moonrise 1:03PMMoonset 2:06AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ454 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 422 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. Widespread dense fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the morning. Visibility 1 nm or less in the morning.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night.
Sunday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 9 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sunday night..South southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
Monday night..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 422 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis.. High pressure will settle south of the local waters and build across south florida today through Sunday. A weakening front will push across the waters on Monday with winds shifting to the northeast as high pressure builds northeast of the region through Tuesday. A warm front will lift across the waters Wednesday shifting winds back to the south ahead of a strong cold front which will cross the waters late in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gainesville, FL
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location: 29.71, -82.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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Fxus62 kjax 240812
afdjax
area forecast discussion
national weather service jacksonville fl
312 am est Sat feb 24 2018

Areas of dense morning fog today...

Near record warmth this weekend...

Near term Today and tonight...

persistent mean layer 1000-500 mb ridge axis offshore of the se
atlantic coast will shift ese through tonight which will
transition steering flow from sse to ssw with an increase in sw
tonight as the ridge axis settles across the southern fl
peninsula. An increase in moisture associated with an easterly
wave impacting the SE fl atlantic coast early this morning will
pivot northward across the peninsula through today, and will bring
an increased chance of showers this afternoon across our fl zones
roughly along and south of a live oak toward st. Augustine line
where low level convergence and diurnal instability will be
maximized between encroaching sea breezes. Resultant isolated to
scattered showers will drift back toward the atlantic coast after
sunset as SW steering flow increases, with a gradual decrease in
coverage expected through the night as diurnal instability is
lost, however, maintained a low 20% chance of showers for most of
ne fl through the pre-dawn hours Sunday. Refrained from inclusion
of tstorms today given persist mid level subsidence and dry air
with mean moisture between 700-500 mb per the gfs40 less than 25%
which will suppress deep convective growth.

Early morning fog will become dense at times both today and again
tonight. Dense fog advisories may be needed for portions of the
forecast area. Fog Sat night Sun morning favored across the suwannee
river valley and inland SE ga as low stratus layer advects inland
from the gulf of mexico.

Temperatures will continue to trend near record values, both for
daytime highs and also for overnight record high minimum
temperatures. Refer to climate section below for records.

Short term Sunday and Monday
Unseasonable warmth will continue with record MAX temps likely on
Sunday. Southwest flow will result in the warmest temperatures
occurring along the i-95 corridor both days. An atlantic
seabreeze may try to develop on Sunday but if it does it will be
pinned right at the coast. Beaches should still reach the lower
80s prior to the development of the seabreeze. No seabreeze on
Monday as southwest winds increase with breezy conditions expected
at inland locations. Monday should be the warmest day at the
beaches, with temps possibly reaching the mid 80s. We went above
guidance for MAX temps both days.

Gulf coast seabreeze will move well inland both days. Isolated
showers will be possible on Sunday as the seabreeze moves east
towards the atlantic coast. A cold front will stall northwest of
the area on Sunday and there is a low chance of showers at areas
west and north of a line from waycross to jesup.

The front will finally get pushed into southeast georgia late
Monday afternoon and then through northeast florida Monday night.

A pre-frontal line of scattered showers and possibly a few
thunderstorms will move into southeast georgia Monday afternoon.

This activity will weaken and diminish as the upper level energy
gets deflected north of the area. A few showers will be possible
across the suwannee valley region of northeast florida, but other
than that, most of northeast florida will remain dry as the front
moves through Monday night.

Long term Tuesday through Friday ...

although temperatures will cool some on Tuesday with northeast
winds in the wake of the front, temperatures will remain above
normal. The coolest readings however will be along the coast with
highs only around 70.

Winds quickly veer towards the south on Wednesday as a warm front
lifts north. Temperatures will warm back into the upper 70s to
lower 80s with the warmest readings across our southern zones.

Isolated light showers will be possible along the atlantic coast
in moist onshore flow along the seabreeze warm front. A better
chance for scattered showers will exist across inland southeast
georgia in conjunction with the warm front and weak upper level
impulse.

Thursday will be windy and warm as southwest flow increases in
advance of the next cold front. This cold front is expected to
move quickly across the area in the Thursday afternoon evening
timeframe. There appears to be just enough moisture forcing to
support at least a few showers along the frontal boundary late
Thursday afternoon and evening. Noticeably cooler drier air will
filter into the area with breezy northwest winds on Friday.

Aviation
Ifr conditions expected to impact the terminals this morning with
highest potential for lifr or lower at vqq and gnv. Fog will lift
into low cumulus field by 14z withVFR conditions expected today.

Potential for restrictions tonight, but confidence in ifr not as
high as previous nights given low clouds and low chances for
showers impacting NE fl terminals late this afternoon into
tonight. Included vcsh at gnv and sgj after 02z.

Marine
Prevailing winds sse 5-10 kts inner waters with 10-15 kts over
the outer waters today with combined seas 3-5 ft. Dropped the scec
headline for the outer waters given observed waves 3.6 ft greys
reef with potential again tonight for elevated scec seas as sse
winds increase. High pressure will shift sse of the region today
through Sunday night ahead of a weakening cold front. This front
will gradually shift south of the waters Monday into Monday night
as high pressure strengthens over the mid-atlantic region. Onshore
flow will return Tuesday, then winds veer quickly to the south
wed as a warm front lifts northward over the waters ahead of a
stronger frontal system which will impact the waters late in the
week with the potential for advisory conditions under wnw flow.

Rip currents: moderate risk this weekend.

Climate
Near record MAX temperatures and near record high minimum
temperatures expected today through Sunday.

Record high maximum temps for feb 24th
jax 88 1962
gnv 88 1962
amg 85 2012
ssi 84 2012
record high minimum temps for feb 24th
jax 68 1962
gnv 65 1909
amg 66 1996
ssi 63 2017
record high maximum temps for feb 25th
jax 85 2001
gnv 85 1962
amg 83 2001
ssi 80 2017
record high minimum temps for feb 24th
jax 66 1883
gnv 65 2001
amg 62 2001
ssi 62 2017

Preliminary point temps pops
Amg 86 61 84 61 10 10 30 20
ssi 74 63 79 63 10 10 10 10
jax 84 65 86 61 10 20 20 10
sgj 82 66 83 65 20 20 20 10
gnv 86 64 85 60 20 20 20 10
ocf 86 64 85 61 30 30 10 10

Jax watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Am... None.

Enyedi shuler


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RCYF1 40 mi50 min 73°F
CDRF1 - Cedar Key, FL 55 mi80 min SSE 12 G 13 71°F 1023.6 hPa (-1.2)67°F
SAUF1 - St. Augustine, FL 56 mi80 min S 1 G 1 67°F 67°F1024.1 hPa (-1.3)
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 57 mi95 min Calm 65°F 1026 hPa64°F

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Gainesville, Gainesville Regional Airport, FL3 mi27 minN 00.50 miFog60°F60°F100%1024.2 hPa
Keystone Airpark, FL16 mi25 minN 00.15 miOvercast64°F64°F100%1024 hPa

Wind History from GNV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3E3SE3CalmE6SE11
G16
E7E8S53SE6SE10E8E5E9E8E5SE5SE5SE4CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmN3SE3E7E10E9SE8SE6E7NE9NE8E9E8E7E8E4E4E4E3E4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSE5SE5SE3SE7SE12
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4E7E7SE7E5SE9E7E7E8E7E7SE7SE8SE6E5E4E5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Buffalo Bluff, St. Johns River, Florida
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Buffalo Bluff
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Sat -- 02:03 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:12 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM EST     0.84 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:59 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:22 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:20 PM EST     0.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.20.60.80.80.80.70.40.1-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.30.60.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Palatka, St. Johns River, Florida
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Palatka
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:02 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:56 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:43 AM EST     1.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:00 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:11 PM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:22 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:19 PM EST     0.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.10.20.60.9110.90.70.40.10-0.1-0.2-0.10.30.60.90.90.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Jacksonville, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.