Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 7:23 PM Moonrise 3:03 AM   Moonset 2:39 PM

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GMZ755 Expires:202405040800;;562609 Fzus52 Ktae 031917 Cwftae
coastal waters forecast for florida national weather service tallahassee fl 317 pm edt Fri may 3 2024
gulf coastal waters from the mouth of the suwannee river to okaloosa-walton county line out to 60 nm.
seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves - .along with the occasional height of the average highest 1/10 of the waves.
gmz730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775-040800- apalachee bay or coastal waters from keaton beach to ochlockonee river fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from mexico beach to apalachicola fl out 20 nm- coastal waters from ochlockonee river to apalachicola fl out to 20 nm- coastal waters from suwannee river to keaton beach fl out 20 nm- waters from mexico beach to okaloosa walton county line fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from apalachicola to mexico beach fl from 20 to 60 nm- waters from suwannee river to apalachicola fl from 20 to 60 nm- 317 pm edt Fri may 3 2024 /217 pm cdt Fri may 3 2024/
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest late this evening, then becoming northeast after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds, becoming south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Saturday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Monday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Tuesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Wednesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 317 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis -
high pressure in the atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 3 feet into the weekend. There is a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FXUS62 KTAE 031751 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 151 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 1040 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Made a few minor tweaks to the PoP forecast increase it slightly.
Otherwise, no other changes were made.

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Onshore flow continues today and tonight as the Bermuda high remains parked off to the east. Mid to upper level riding is expected to weaken a bit and shift further south with the ridge axis closer to the FL Peninsula. This along with increasing moisture across the area will allow for a bit more coverage of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Forecast soundings show DCAPE near 800-900 J/kg this afternoon, so a few of the storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds the primary hazard. High temperatures today are forecast a tiny bit cooler than yesterday due to the increase in cloud cover and the shifting of the ridge axis to the south. Highs are still forecast in the upper 80s to low 90s with lows overnight in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are possible Saturday afternoon as an H5 shortwave moves through the Southeast. A few showers and storms are possible along the sea breeze as it pushes inland. However, the best opportunity for rain will be closer to the shortwave in southwestern Georgia. Additional showers and storms are possible Sunday as the shortwave lifts out of the region.
Highs will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s around the region both days with lows in the middle to upper 60s Saturday night.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Showers and thunderstorms remain possible Monday afternoon, mainly along the I-75 corridor, before ridging aloft takes over the rest of the work week. Surface high pressure situated between Bermuda and the Bahamas coupled with H85 temperatures climbing to between 18 to 20C will support highs in the lower to middle 90s by the middle of next week. An increase in low-level moisture will also push overnight lows from the middle 60s Monday and Tuesday night to the upper 60s to lower 70s, even away from the coast, by Wednesday night. While records are not explicitly forecast, one or two locations could flirt with their record highs Wednesday and/or Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Mainly VFR conds away from t-storms with a south to SW wind and mix of upper/lower clouds. Isolated convection is expected to focus mainly around the interstate corridors this aftn. Highest confidence in being impacted by thunder is VLD where an evening tempo group was introduced amidst prevailing VCTS. Lingering showers appear likely tonight, then MVFR cigs/vsbys aim to develop in the pre-dawn hrs at ECP/TLH. Better convective coverage is fcst tmrw just after the end of this TAF cycle.

MARINE
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

High pressure in the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Warm and moist conditions will continue today and over the weekend with rain chances increasing on Saturday. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and evening, with more widespread showers and storms possible all day Saturday. Winds may fluctuate between southeast and southwest over the next several days. A seabreeze is likely to develop and move inland each afternoon. Very good to excellent dispersions are also likely each afternoon with very high mixing heights.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

The last of the Flood Warnings from the April 10/11th flood event will be cancelled sometime this morning as the Suwannee River at Manatee Springs drops below Minor Flood stage. Several sites along the Suwannee remain in Action Stage along with the Aucilla at Lamont and St Marks at Newport.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible the next couple of days and could lead to localized 0.25 to 0.75 inches of rain.
Outside of that, no flooding is anticipated at this time over the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 89 68 87 66 / 20 10 60 20 Panama City 85 69 85 68 / 10 10 20 10 Dothan 89 68 88 66 / 20 20 40 20 Albany 90 68 87 65 / 20 30 70 30 Valdosta 89 68 85 66 / 40 40 70 30 Cross City 89 66 87 66 / 20 10 50 20 Apalachicola 80 69 80 70 / 10 10 10 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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Apalachicola
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Fri -- 04:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:05 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:48 PM EDT     1.38 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:39 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Apalachicola, Apalachicola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

St. George Island, 12th St. W (Bayside), St. George Sound, Florida, Tide feet

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