Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eastpoint, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 7:39PM Monday May 29, 2017 2:46 AM CDT (07:46 UTC) Moonrise 9:42AMMoonset 11:33PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Destin Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 959 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light to moderate chop.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 foot. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 959 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Synopsis.. Southwesterly winds between 10 and 15 knots will prevail each afternoon through Tuesday evening with seas of 1 to 3 feet. Tuesday night, winds will turn northerly remaining around 10 knots before decreasing during the day Wednesday. Generally light winds and seas will persist through late week. Chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase from mid-week onward.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eastpoint, FL
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location: 29.72, -84.89     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 290549
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
149 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Aviation [through 06z Tuesday]
Periods of MVFR CIGS will continue through the early morning
hours at ecp and tlh as a low cloud deck moves eastward across
north fl. MVFR CIGS cannot be ruled out at other terminals but
chances are lower in SE alabama and SW georgia. Showers and
thunderstorms currently moving east across mississippi could reach
ecp and dhn around 12-15z but current models show gradual
weakening and eventually dissipation in SE alabama and the florida
panhandle. Scattered thunderstorms are possible during the late
afternoon and evening across our area, but confidence is low at
this time since a lot will depend on the evolution of this
morning's showers and thunderstorms to our west.VFR conditions
should prevail at all terminals during this afternoon and evening
although brief visibility reductions can't be ruled out.

Prev discussion [823 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Convection associated with the outflow boundary is pushing across
southeast alabama and will continue to push eastward into southwest
georgia. In addition, showers have developed across the florida
panhandle. Given this, have adjusted higher pops a little more
eastward with this afternoon update. SPC mesoanalysis shows sbcape
values around 3000-4000 j kg, however shear is minimal. Will have to
closely watch for storms to pulse up and produce some gusty winds or
small hail. Cannot completely rule out a severe storm, but would be
isolated. Convection should quickly diminish tonight after sunset
and thus limited the forecast to 10% pops for the first half of the
night. By early morning though, convection from overnight moving
across the southeast could push into the southeast alabama and given
this, have included low end pops (20-30%) across the northwest
portion of the cwa.

With the low level moisture overnight, expect low clouds again with
patchy fog to develop late tonight. This will also help to limit
cooling tonight and thus expect lows in the lower 70s Monday
morning, a few degrees above normal.

Short term [Monday through Tuesday night]
The short term will mark the beginning of a fairly active period as
a powerful, stagnant upper level low sets up over the hudson bay in
canada as a part of a bigger omega block in the northern jet stream.

A series of shortwaves rotating around the periphery of this low
(likely across the ohio river valley), influencing the weather
across the tri-state region. Increasing sub-tropical moisture will
prime the atmosphere for increased shower and thunderstorm activity
through the duration of the period. The storm prediction center has
portions of southeast alabama and southern georgia in a marginal
risk for severe weather Monday and Tuesday, as there will be plenty
of instability in place across the region. The limiting factor will
be shear, as forecast bulk shear values will generally remain below
30 kts, with the highest values remaining north and east of the
area. Nonetheless, hot, humid conditions with elevated shower and
storm chances are expected through the period. Afternoon highs will
range from the upper 80s to low 90s, with overnight lows in the
60s.

Long term [Wednesday through Sunday]
Active weather will continue through the long term period as the
aforementioned upper low remains in place across eastern canada.

A broad area of surface high pressure east of the area will
continue pull moisture into the region through the end of the
week, with a weak shortwave in the southern stream of the jet
traversing the area by late week next weekend, continuing the wet
and active pattern through next weekend. Shower and storm chances
will be highest during the afternoon and early evening hours
(peak heating). Afternoon high temperatures will generally run in
the upper 80s to low 90s and overnight lows in the upper 60s and
lower 70s.

Marine
Southwesterly winds between 10 and 15 knots will prevail each
afternoon through Tuesday evening with seas of 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday night, winds will turn northerly remaining around 10 knots
before decreasing during the day Wednesday. Generally light winds
and seas will persist through late week. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms will increase from mid-week onward.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns.

Hydrology
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across our
area from Monday through the remainder of the week. However, any
heavy rain should be localized and short-lived. As a result, no
widespread flooding concerns are anticipated and rivers are
expected to remain below flood stage at this time.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 91 70 91 70 91 30 10 30 20 20
panama city 88 74 88 72 85 40 10 20 10 20
dothan 88 71 88 69 88 50 20 50 30 30
albany 90 71 89 70 89 30 20 40 30 20
valdosta 92 71 92 69 91 30 10 30 30 30
cross city 91 70 92 70 92 10 0 10 10 30
apalachicola 86 72 87 72 87 20 0 10 10 20

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Dvd
short term... Fieux
long term... Pullin
aviation... Lahr
marine... Mcdermott
fire weather... Pullin
hydrology... Mcdermott


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 5 mi47 min N 2.9 G 4.1 76°F 80°F1016.6 hPa (+1.5)
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 5 mi62 min N 2.9 76°F 76°F
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 22 mi47 min W 8 G 8.9 78°F 1017.3 hPa (+1.3)75°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 39 mi113 min NW 6 G 8 77°F 1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL7 mi54 minNNE 39.00 miOvercast76°F75°F100%1016.5 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8W10W5W4NW4W7NW12NW10NW11W15W16W16W14W15
G21
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm5SW9W9SW13W12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E4S6S5S9S10S8S8SW9SW10SW7W8SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Cat Point, Apalachicola Bay, Florida
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Cat Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:26 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:40 AM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:04 PM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:25 PM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.2-00.20.60.91.21.41.51.51.30.90.80.811.31.61.81.71.61.30.90.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for St. George Island, Rattlesnake Cove, St. George Sound, Florida
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St. George Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:08 AM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:20 AM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:46 AM EDT     1.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:05 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.4-0.3-0.10.30.81.21.61.81.91.91.71.61.51.61.71.92.12.22.11.81.40.90.50.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.