Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Eastpoint, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 4:44PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 4:10 AM CST (10:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:40AMMoonset 8:24PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ755 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Out 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 210 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning. Isolated Thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of rain in the evening, then slight chance of rain after midnight.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Rain likely.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of rain.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of rain.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters mostly smooth.
Saturday..West winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Destin Out To 60 Nm 210 Am Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Synopsis.. Easterly winds between 10 and 15 knots will prevail through today, with resultant seas of 2 to 3 feet. Winds will shift to the northeast from west to east beginning late this afternoon through Wednesday morning, as a weak low pressure system moves across the area. Wind speeds are expected to remain above 10 knots through the remainder of the period, with cautionary conditions possible across western waters Wednesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eastpoint, FL
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location: 29.72, -84.89     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 210744 aaa
afdtae
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service tallahassee fl
244 am est Tue nov 21 2017

Near term [through today]
The inverted trough that moved into the eastern gulf this evening
continues to move west across the northeast gulf this morning. Some
showers have developed along the convergent leading edge of the
trough along and just offshore of the western big bend coast. As an
upper-level shortwave in the central gulf this morning moves
eastward across the region today, expect the westward progress of
the surface trough to cease. The surface feature will link up with
the upper wave, strengthen, and gradually move back to the northeast
through today. As the trough deepens inland with the passage of the
upper wave, expect isentropic ascent to strengthen and spread inland
as well. While the more scattered moderate to heavier rain will
continue to be focused on the trough's leading edge (over the
apalachicola and chattahoochee rivers), light rain will fill in
further eastward through the afternoon. Expect afternoon highs to
peat in the upper 60s west of the aforementioned river boundary, and
in the lower 70s to the east.

Short term [tonight through Thursday]
Active weather will continue through the short term period, with
ongoing showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms expected to be
ongoing this evening across much of the tri-state region. This is
courtesy of a developing surface low over the northeast gulf of
mexico, associated with a passing upper level shortwave trough, the
first in a series of shortwave troughs expected to traverse the
region through the end of the weekend. The second shortwave trough
and associated surface low will generate more widespread showers
across the region, with the best chances existing across the eastern
fl panhandle big bend through south central ga Wednesday afternoon
through Wednesday night. Severe weather is not expected with either
system, as instability will remain modest at best and shear weak.

Modest pwat values through the period will limit rainfall efficacy,
thus lowering the flood threat. In all, a general 1 to 2 inches of
rainfall accumulation can be expected through Thursday morning,
mainly across the aforementioned areas. Other locales in the tri-
state region can expect accumulations to generally remain less than
1 inch.

Temperatures will remain near average for highs through the period,
with upper 60s to low 70s expected. Overnight lows will remain
elevated due to cloud cover and ongoing precipitation, with
readings in the 50s expected.

Long term [Thursday night through Tuesday]
Conditions will gradually clear across the region thanksgiving day,
giving way to drier and slightly cooler conditions for the remainder
of the week and through the weekend. Near average temperatures will
persist through much of the period, as the overall upper level
pattern will remain stagnant, with ridging across the west and
troughing over the eastern conus. The latest operational model
guidance indicates the potential for another cold front to sweep
across the region late this weekend, but differences on how much of
a cool down would occur from model to model remain at this time.

Aviation [through 06z Wednesday]
Vfr low-level cloudiness will fill in overnight, with light rain and
near MVFR ceilings possible along the coast near ecp around sunrise.

Light rain will spread inland and fill in to the east through the
afternoon. As it does so, ceilings will fall into MVFR
restrictions.

Marine
Easterly winds between 10 and 15 knots will prevail through today,
with resultant seas of 2 to 3 feet. Winds will shift to the
northeast from west to east beginning late this afternoon through
Wednesday morning, as a weak low pressure system moves across the
area. Wind speeds are expected to remain above 10 knots through the
remainder of the period, with cautionary conditions possible across
western waters Wednesday night.

Fire weather
Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next
several days, with rain in the forecast through Thursday night.

Hydrology
In all, a general 1 to 2 inches of rainfall accumulation can be
expected through Thursday morning, mainly across the eastern fl
panhandle and big bend through south central ga. Other locales in
the tri-state region can expect accumulations to generally remain
less than 1 inch. Drier conditions are expected to resume by this
weekend.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 72 56 71 56 67 50 30 30 70 40
panama city 69 55 71 54 67 50 10 20 40 20
dothan 67 51 69 49 66 40 10 20 40 10
albany 72 54 70 52 65 40 40 20 70 30
valdosta 73 56 72 55 64 40 40 40 70 60
cross city 73 56 74 58 70 70 40 40 70 60
apalachicola 71 58 72 56 69 60 30 30 70 30

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Harrigan
short term... Pullin
long term... Pullin
aviation... Harrigan
marine... Pullin
fire weather... Harrigan
hydrology... Pullin


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL 5 mi40 min N 6 G 7 55°F 64°F1016.7 hPa
APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL 5 mi85 min NNE 5.1 52°F 51°F
SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL 22 mi70 min SE 22 G 23 70°F 1016.3 hPa (-2.2)60°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 39 mi76 min NE 2.9 G 6 58°F 1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Apalachicola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NE10
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G10
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N8
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NE4
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E1
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G8
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Apalachicola, Apalachicola, FL7 mi17 minNE 510.00 miLight Rain55°F54°F96%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from AAF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE6NE7NE9NE8E6E9
G17
E11E95E5NE4E4NE3NE5N3NW5N5N3N4N4N4NE6NE5
1 day agoN14
G23
N13N14
G20
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G22
N12
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G18
N10NW11N14
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N8N10N6N5N5N5N7N5N5N6N7N10N7NE6NE7
2 days agoNE3NE4NE3NE3E5S5S65S8S9S10S9SW7SW7SW7SW9SW11SW11SW14SW10SW9SW13SW10N13
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Cat Point, Apalachicola Bay, Florida
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Cat Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:54 AM EST     1.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:39 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:25 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:28 PM EST     1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:07 PM EST     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.31.61.71.61.310.60.30-0.1-0.100.30.60.91.21.41.51.41.10.80.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for St. George Island, Rattlesnake Cove, St. George Sound, Florida
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St. George Island
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:34 AM EST     2.08 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:39 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:07 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:41 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:08 PM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:49 PM EST     1.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.92.12.11.91.510.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.40.81.21.51.81.81.81.61.41.31.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tallahassee, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.