West University Place, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for West University Place, TX

May 8, 2024 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM
Moonrise 5:42 AM   Moonset 8:05 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 1035 Am Cdt Wed May 8 2024

Today - South winds near 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy to choppy.

Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. Patchy fog late.

Thursday - South winds around 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters slightly choppy. Patchy fog in the morning.

Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, easing to around 10 knots late in the evening, backing to northeast after midnight. Bay waters slightly choppy, easing to smooth in the late evening and overnight.

Friday - Northeast winds 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Friday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Saturday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.

Saturday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to slightly choppy.

Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers.

Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1035 Am Cdt Wed May 8 2024

Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
fetch of moderate onshore winds will maintain somewhat elevated seas for the next several days. Mariners should note high flows from area rivers, creeks, and streams will lead to above normal water levels and strong currents in the bays and intercoastal water way well into midweek and can make navigation difficult. The next cold front pushes off the coast late Thursday night and early Friday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West University Place, TX
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Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 081800 AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 100 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

New AVIATION

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

We are now solidly into May, and the forecast is looking very May-like. We are beginning to climb into our summer heat, and multiple days will carry a very conditional thunderstorm threat.
The chance for any storms at all will be low...but any isolated storm that does manage to get going may become strong to severe.
A few key points on the week to come: - Today and tomorrow will feature highs in the upper 80s and low 90s. Heat index values look to peak out around or just above 100 degrees - not the hottest we'll see, but the hottest we've seen in a while, and could be hazardous to unacclimated bodies that go too hard out in that heat.
- This heat will also provide a pool of fuel for any storm that manages to form in spite of a stout cap. The best chance for an isolated strong to severe storm will be mainly north of the Houston metro, with a bit better and wider chance Thursday than today. SPC's severe weather outlooks are at a slight risk, level 2 of 5, in the northernmost portion of our area, and higher even north of that.
- After a too-short break, we'll be back on the lookout for locally heavy rainfall by Sunday. In their experimental Day 5 outlook for excessive rain, WPC shows a slight risk, level 2 of 4, centered roughly along I-10 and covering the bulk of our area. This far out, it's important not to get too tied to the specific location of these risk areas, as they can shift from day to day, particularly looking several days out. The presence of this slight risk area should be a signal to everyone in Southeast Texas to keep an eye on how the forecast for Sunday and early next week evolves.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday Night)
Issued at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

College Station remains the only primary climate site to have reached 90 degrees in 2024, picking up their hottest day of the year so far. However, everyone else is gonna give it a good shot today and tomorrow, with high temperatures right around 90 degrees expected for two more days. Pair that with dewpoints in the 70s, and we can look for heat index values to peak out near or above 100 degrees for all but the immediate Gulf Coast both days. For those that spend time strenuously working and may be interested in the Wet Bulb Globe Temperature, our forecast corresponds a moderate to high risk of heat illness, and indicates a need to begin factoring in the impact of heat to outdoor work, especially for unacclimated folks (pretty much all of us right now).

Just to re-emphasize what I wrote above in the synopsis: even though this is not even close to the hottest we'll get this summer, as far as heat stress is concerned, it's much more relevant that this stretch is the hottest it's been in some time.
Heat illness numbers can spike at lower levels early in the warm season, as people will get going a little too much for what their body is acclimated to. So even though these numbers may not be eye-popping to you, it's a good time to practice spending more time indoors, or at least out of the sun, and taking more frequent rest and water breaks.

Beyond the impact of the heat itself, a lot of heat and humidity also indicates plenty of fuel available for strong thunderstorms...if any manage to get going. And that is an extremely big "if" today and tomorrow. The main catalyst for severe weather in the US will be far north of our area, and unlikely to overcome the strong cap built out by solid southwest flow just above the surface today. There does look to be a very weak upper shortwave trough rolling through later today, and may be just enough support for vertical motion that we get an isolated storm going. If a storm can tap into that available instability, it can easily become strong to severe. Today especially, that threat should be confined to the very northernmost portions of our area of responsibility (and really beyond that for more significant threats). Large hail and damaging wind gusts would be the primary hazards. A brief tornado isn't impossible, but it is a lower concern relative to hail and wind.

Tomorrow looks much the same as today when it comes to storms. A very conditional threat where there's plenty of instability to tap into, but will require any storms to get going in the first place.
Like yesterday, we'll again be looking for a weak shortwave trough to stream through and provide a bit of help to any developing storm updrafts, likely late Thursday afternoon into the evening.
The key difference from today is that the southwest flow at low levels that should build out a strong cap are expected to break down at some point tomorrow. This could make it easier for isolated to widely scattered storms to break out. The severe threat is again higher to the north of the Houston metro, but the weaker capping flow allows for some severe threat to expand across more of Southeast Texas. A slight risk area (level 2 of 5)
covers the northern bulk of the area, roughly north of I-10, and an enhanced risk area (level 3 of 5) comes up right to the edge of the boundary between our forecast area and that of our colleagues in Fort Worth. That means that it probably behooves folks in Burleson, northern Brazos, Madison, and Houston counties to keep a wary eye up to the northwest, as a small change in expectations could result in a greater severe threat for them. Large hail is the primary hazard to watch out for tomorrow, with damaging wind gusts coming in a close second. Like today, a tornado can't be totally ruled out, but is not as great a concern as the other severe hazards.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

A weak cold front will push off the coast during the early morning hours of Friday, ushering in drier and slightly cooler weather into the early weekend. Expect mostly clear skies during the day, with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Lows overnight will be in the 60s with isolated locations in the upper 50s.

Surface high pressure slides east through the Southern Plains on Saturday, allowing onshore flow to gradually return during the day.
Remnants of the frontal boundary starts to gradually lift north as a warm front later in the day, suppling additional moisture and bringing PWs of 1.5-1.8 inches. Lifting from the boundary will be further supplemented by weak impulses aloft from a cutoff low over the Desert Southwest. This should produce scattered showers and storms, beginning over out west/southwestern Saturday evening and spreading to the remainder of SE Texas into Sunday morning. Around this point, the closed low/trough will be near the TX/OK Panhandle, providing additional lift overhead. Combining this forcing with the lifting warm sector should allow for more widespread showers/thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon. Forecast soundings also suggest high precipitation efficiency in this environment, favoring the potential for locally heavy rainfall. WPC has portions of SE Texas under a Slight (level 2/4) to Marginal (level 1/4) Risk of excessive rainfall for Mother's Day on Sunday.
We'll get more specifics on how this next system will unfold over the next few days.

Shower/storm activity decreases overnight into Monday as the aforementioned upper trough slides eastward into the Mississippi River Valley. Lingering moisture will keep scattered/isolated rain chances throughout the day and into Tuesday as well.

AVIATION
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

A mix of MVFR to VFR cigs currently across SE Texas sites and S-SE winds are generally at 10-15 KTS with some higher gusts on occasion. There is also lingering HZ over the area, which is limiting vis to 4-6 SM at some locations. Cigs are slow to lift today but are expected to lift a little more and scatter out this afternoon and early evening. Some sites, however, could continue to see MVFR cigs through the entire period. Expect the MVFR cigs to return for most, if not all, of SE Texas however. Areas of patchy fog could also reduce vis during the overnight to early Thu morning period.

Another gradual improvement is expected late Thu morning into early afternoon for both cig and vis conditions. Later in the afternoon to evening hours, SH/TS could develop, in particular over areas north of the I-10 corridor. Some of these storms could be strong to severe and may produce large hail and strong gusty winds. Another hazard to note is that lvl WS could occur over sites north of IAH mid afternoon through late evening.

24

MARINE
Issued at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Light to moderate onshore flow is expected through Thursday ahead of a frontal boundary. This persistent fetch will bring seas of 3-5 feet in the Gulf and elevated tide levels along the coast. High flows from rivers, creeks and streams will lead to above normal water levels in the bays and intercoastal water way today, which may make navigation difficult at times. A weak cold front pushes offshore during the early morning hours of Friday. Moderate north to northeasterly winds develop in the fronts wake, warranting caution flags into the weekend. Onshore flow returns Saturday evening, with rain chances increasing into Sunday as our next weather system pushes through the region.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 340 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024 Updated at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

There are low chances for thunderstorms today and Thursday, but is not expected to result in any additional flooding concerns.
Rivers will remain swollen for days (possibly weeks), however. Do NOT go around barricades and stay out of the floodwaters. Do NOT return to homes until officials deem that it is safe.

Minor to major river flooding continues for parts of Southeast Texas, particularly along portions of the Trinity, San Jacinto, and Navasota rivers. The following river points are either at or forecast to go into Moderate or Major flood stage as of Tuesday afternoon:

- Trinity River (Liberty): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Goodrich): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Moss Bluff): Major Flood Stage - Trinity River (Crockett): Rising to Moderate tonight - Trinity River (Riverside): Moderate Flood Stage - East Fork San Jacinto (New Caney): Moderate Flood Stage - Navasota River (Normangee): Moderate Flood Stage

Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS AHPS website and/or the new NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as the river flood threat continues. 

Also of note is that the downstream runoff from the previous rainfall will cause continued rises along the Brazos River through the end of the week. The Brazos River at Sugar Land, Rosharon, and West Columbia are forecast to rise into minor flood stage at the end of the work week and through the weekend.

24/Luchs

CLIMATE
Issued at 407 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Two record high minimum temperature records for the date of May 7 were at least matched in the Houston area yesterday. The City of Houston record high minimum for the day was tied at 77. This matches the old record from 2002. At Hobby, the record for the highest minimum temperature for the date was broken. The low of 78 bested the old record of 77 degrees from 2003.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 90 73 90 66 / 10 10 30 20 Houston (IAH) 90 75 90 71 / 10 10 20 20 Galveston (GLS) 84 75 86 73 / 10 10 10 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk until midnight CDT tonight for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ370-375.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX 5 mi49 min SSW 8G15 85°F 29.62
MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX 20 mi49 min ESE 12G14 84°F 77°F29.65
EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX 29 mi49 min SSE 12G14 85°F 80°F29.66
GRRT2 38 mi49 min SE 8.9G11 79°F 82°F29.65
GTOT2 41 mi49 min S 7G12 81°F 79°F29.64
GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX 42 mi49 min S 12G14 81°F 79°F29.65
LUIT2 46 mi49 min ESE 5.1G9.9 81°F 81°F29.66
RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX 47 mi49 min SSE 9.9G14 79°F 84°F29.68


Wind History for Morgans Point, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX 6 sm14 minSSE 1310 smMostly Cloudy86°F75°F70%29.64
KEFD ELLINGTON,TX 13 sm13 minSSE 108 smMostly Cloudy86°F75°F70%29.64
KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX 15 sm14 minSSE 106 smOvercast Haze 86°F75°F70%29.66
KAXH HOUSTONSOUTHWEST,TX 16 sm12 minS 0610 smOvercast88°F77°F70%29.65
KSGR SUGAR LAND RGNL,TX 17 sm14 minSSW 115 smOvercast Haze 88°F77°F70%29.63
KIAH GEORGE BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL/HOUSTON,TX 18 sm14 minS 11G174 smOvercast Haze 88°F75°F66%29.63
Link to 5 minute data for KMCJ


Wind History from MCJ
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas
   
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Lynchburg Landing
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Wed -- 03:51 AM CDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:40 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:54 PM CDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:04 PM CDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.1
2
am
-0.1
3
am
-0.3
4
am
-0.3
5
am
-0.2
6
am
-0
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.6
9
am
1
10
am
1.3
11
am
1.4
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
1.4
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
1
11
pm
0.8


Tide / Current for Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas
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Clear Lake
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Wed -- 04:52 AM CDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:41 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:02 PM CDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:53 PM CDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:01 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:03 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:17 PM CDT     0.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clear Lake, Harris Co. Park, Texas, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.2
2
am
-0.1
3
am
-0.3
4
am
-0.4
5
am
-0.4
6
am
-0.4
7
am
-0.2
8
am
0.1
9
am
0.3
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
0.7
11
pm
0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Houston/Galveston, TX,





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